Additional rains caused secondary crests on the Tarkio, Nodaway, and Missouri Rivers, from May 24, 2007 through May 30, 2007.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EAX wrote it up.
Additional rains caused secondary crests on the Tarkio, Nodaway, and Missouri Rivers, from May 24, 2007 through May 30, 2007.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 24, 2:40 AM CST, 5 hours 20 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 340 AM CDT THU MAY 24 2007 .DISCUSSION... VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE AND ATTENDANT SPEED MAX ROTATING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE LARGE UPPER TROUGH FINALLY STARTING TO MAKE THE NORTHERN TURN THROUGH ERN COLORADO/WRN KANSAS. SFC REFLECTION SHOWS CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED MESOLOW OVER SRN/SWRN KANSAS FINALLY STARTING TO MAKE HEADWAY EAST...AND PULL THE STUBBORN FRONTAL BOUNDARY WITH IT. SECONDARY SFC LOW FORMING IN NORTHERN KANSAS...ASSOCIATED WITH ORGANIZED LINEAR CONVECTIVE SYSTEM AND SUBTLE MCV LIFTING INTO SERN NEBRASKA. MEANWHILE...50+ KT LLJ AXIS POSITIONED FROM CNTRL OKLAHOMA TO NW MISSOURI CONTINUES TO FEED MOISTURE INTO UPDRAFTS STEADILY BECOMING MORE ELEVATED IN NATURE. MESOSCALE COLD POOL GENERATION...CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW...AND PROGRESSION OF RIGHT REAR ENTRANCE REGION OF UPPER JET SEGMENT TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE AREA SHOULD ALLOW CONTINUED PROGRESSION OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND CONVECTIVE LINE THROUGH THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS. SEVERE THREAT STILL LOOKS TO BE MINIMAL ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. TIMING OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE AND AVAILABLE INSTABILITY...ALONG WITH MARGINAL BULK SHEAR SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY WIDESPREAD SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. WILL MONITOR SHORT BOW SEGMENT CURRENTLY LOCATED NW OF TOPEKA AS IT HEADS TOWARDS NORTHEAST KANSAS/NW MISSOURI. FEEL OUTFLOW AHEAD OF THIS BOW AND DEPARTURE OF MCV INTO ERN NEBRASKA...ALONG WITH WEAKENING LLJ BECOMING MORE PARALLEL TO LINEAR CONVECTION WILL SIGNIFICANTLY LIMIT THE FORMATION OF FURTHER BOW SEGMENTS THIS MORNING. OF MORE CONCERN THIS MORNING IS THE FLOODING THREAT...PARTICULARLY OVER THE EXTREME NW CORNER OF MISSOURI. RADAR AND SATELLITE ESTIMATES 0.75-1.50 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS FALLEN OVER THIS AREA SINCE YESTERDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE ELONGATED CONVECTIVE LINE TARGETED TOWARDS THIS SAME AREA THIS MORNING. FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF WARNINGS TOWARDS THE DAYBREAK HOUR FOR HOLT...ATCHISON...AND NODAWAY COUNTIES...PROVIDED CONVECTIVE LINE HOLDS ITS INTENSITY AND RAINFALL RATES. WILL NEED TO MONITOR RIVERS AND STREAMS IN THE AREA...AS HEADWATER GUIDANCE HAS FALLEN TO JUST OVER AN INCH FOR THE TARKIO BASIN. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA...GIVEN THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE FRONT...HPC QPF GUIDANCE REMAINS WELL BELOW ANY FFG OR HEADWATER LIMITS. OTHERWISE...TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE VERY TRICKY...AND SOLELY DEPENDENT ON THE ARRIVAL OF PRECIPITATION AND FRONTAL PASSAGE. MOST LOCATIONS IN THE WESTERN CWA WILL SEE MORNING MAX TEMPS...WITH BETTER POTENTIAL DIURNAL WARMING TOWARDS CNTRL MISSOURI. ALSO...KEPT MORE CLOUD COVER OVER AREA FOLLOWING FRONTAL PASSAGE AS MODELS INDICATE FAIRLY EXTENSIVE STRATUS WITH RESIDUAL MOISTURE TRAPPED IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER. ONLY MINOR TWEAKS WERE MADE TO THE FORECAST BEYOND TONIGHT. SHORT RANGE MODEL PERFORMANCE HAD BEEN ABYSMAL THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS...AND HAVE VERY LOW CONFIDENCE IN ANY SOLUTION HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. IN GENERAL...FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO STALL SOMEWHERE OVER SRN MISSOURI...AND WASH OUT/LIFT NORTH DURING THE WEEKEND. GFS CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK PROBLEMS MOST LIKELY AID IN REPEATED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG THIS DIFFUSE BOUNDARY. WITH RISING HEIGHTS BEHIND THE EXITING WAVE...FEEL WARMING IN MIDLEVELS MAY LIMIT OVERALL CONVECTION...AND NAM-WRF MAY HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON THE SITUATION. VERY LOW CONFIDENCE THOUGH HEADING THROUGH THIS HOLIDAY WEEKEND. 21 && AVIATION... THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN NW OF THE TERMINALS MUCH OF THE NIGHT. THE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX WILL ARRIVE IN THE STJ-MKC CORRIDOR BETWEEN 11 AND 15Z WITH SEVERAL HOURS OF RAIN WITH PSBL EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORM THROUGH AT LEAST 18Z. MVFR TO BRIEFLY IFR CIGS AND VSBYS WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION. AN MVFR TO IFR STRATUS DECK MAY DEVELOP WITH THE AREA OF RAIN BY THE LATE MORNING HOURS. DB && .EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON THURSDAY FOR MOZ001-MOZ002-MOZ011. KS...NONE.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 549 AM CDT THU MAY 24 2007 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-251100- ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE- JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER- PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR- BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY- RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD- CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- 549 AM CDT THU MAY 24 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WAS MOVING THROUGH NORTHWEST MISSOURI EARLY THIS MORNING...AND WILL PROGRESS THROUGH THE OUTLOOK AREA DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. LIMITED INSTABILITY AND MARGINAL WINDS SHEAR WILL LIKELY KEEP THESE THUNDERSTORM BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. AREAS ACROSS FAR NORTHWEST MISSOURI MAY EXPERIENCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING THIS MORNING AS THUNDERSTORMS REPEATEDLY MOVE OVER THE SAME AREA. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON TODAY FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM MOUND CITY TO MARYVILLE...WITH AN URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR HOLT...NODAWAY..AND ATCHISON COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST MISSOURI UNTIL 930 AM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AS GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE SURGES NORTH AND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING THROUGH THE AREA TODAY LIFTS BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT. A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THE PRIMARY THREATS WITH THESE STORMS WOULD BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH FRIDAY...HOWEVER REPORTS OF FLOODING THIS MORNING WOULD BE APPRECIATED. 21
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
7 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Tarkio River near Fairfax crested at 21.10 feet, or 4.10 feet above flood stage.
The Nodaway River near Burlington Junction crested at 24.40 feet, or 1.40 feet above flood stage.
The Missouri River at Saint Joseph crested at 19.75 feet, or 2.75 feet above flood stage.
The Missouri River near Sibley crested at 24.70 feet, or 2.70 feet above flood stage.
The Missouri River near Napolean crested at 21.69 feet, or 4.69 feet above flood stage.
The Missouri River near Waverly crested at 23.04 feet, or 3.04 feet above flood stage.
The Missouri River near Miami crested at 21.90 feet, or 3.90 feet above flood stage.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, May 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 69350, 69351, 69352, 69353, 69354, 69355, 69356.