A stationary thunderstorm caused flash flooding in Taney County.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SGF wrote it up.
A stationary thunderstorm caused flash flooding in Taney County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 4, 5:45 PM CST, 2 hours earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 645 PM CDT WED JUL 4 2007 .UPDATE... THE LINE OF CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPED ALONG A WEAK CONVERGENCE ZONE WAS SAGGING SOUTHWARD ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS AND CENTRAL MISSOURI AT LATE AFTERNOON. THE ACTIVITY HAS ACTUALLY WEAKENED OVER THE PAST HOUR DESPITE MODERATE INSTABILITY WITH CAPES AROUND 2000 J/KG. THIS MAY BE IN PART DUE TO RELATIVELY DRY 700-300 MB LAYER WHICH IS DEPICTED BY THE RUC MODEL AND LATEST SPRINGFIELD UPPER AIR SOUNDING. OTHER ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THEA AREA BUT THIN NATURE OF THE CELLS SEEMS TO INDICATE THAT DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT IS TAKING PLACE. EXPECT BROKEN LINE TO SUB-SEVERE CONVECTION TO PUSH SOUTH INTO THE AREA THROUGH THE EVENING. WITH THE LACK OF SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING... EXPECT THE ACTIVITY TO DIMINISH FURTHER AFTER SUNSET. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE MAINTAINED UNTIL SUNSET BUT MAY BE CANCELLED PRIOR TO 10 PM EXPIRATION. FOSTER && .DISCUSSION... AS EXPECTED...LINGERING BOUNDARIES HAVE BEGUN TO ERUPT ACROSS THE MIDWEST. WE ARE CURRENTLY DEALING WITH SEVERAL WEAK FEATURES... WITH A LIGHT...NON DESCRIPT FLOW ALOFT. BUT IN THE PRESENCE OF STRONG INSTABILITY AND DECENT LAPSE RATES DUE TO AFTERNOON HEATING...STRONG CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT TWO MAIN BOUNDARIES ARE WORTH WATCHING FOR THIS NECK OF THE WOODS. THE FIRST IS THE WEAK FRONT ITSELF WHICH EXTENDS FROM NEAR KTOP THROUGH THE KC METRO AREA TO JUST SOUTH OF KUIN. A SECOND...MORE SUBTLE BOUNDARY EXTENDS OFF OF THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAK FRONT JUST SE OF KTOP THAT EXTENDS TO THE SOUTHWEST. ALL CONVECTION THAT HAS DEVELOPED THUS FAR HAS BEEN IN NO HURRY TO MOVE TO THE SOUTH AND GIVEN THE LACK OF BOUNDARIES ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA...IT APPEARS WELL BE RELYING ON THESE AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARIES MOVING INTO THE AREA BEFORE CONVECTION WILL BE OBSERVED. REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...UNLESS A DECENT COLD POOL CAN DEVELOP FROM CONVECTION TO OUR NORTH...SHRA/TSRA WILL ONLY SLOWLY APPROACH MY NORTHERN COUNTIES. ADDITIONAL MESOSCALE UPDATES ARE LIKELY TO HELP BETTER TIME CONVECTION MOVING INTO CENTRAL MO. BARRING ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OUT AHEAD OF THE MAIN BAND OF CONVECTION...STORMS SHOULD ENTER NORTHERN PORTIONS OF BENTON AND MORGAN COUNTIES BETWEEN 6 AND 7 PM. FOR THE MOST PART...I WOULD EXPECT MUCH OF THE CWFA...ESPECIALLY CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWFA...TO BE RAIN FREE WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHC FOR A FEW INSTABILITY BASED SHRA/TSRA. THE BEST CHANCES FOR THIS AREA REST SOLELY ON THE ABILITY OF CONVECTION TO HOLD TOGETHER AND MOVE IN FROM THE NORTH...WHICH WOULD LIKELY BE AFTER 10-11PM. WILL PLACE HIGHEST CHANCES FOR RAIN IN AND NEAR THE SVR TSRA WATCH BOX...AND TAPER POPS QUICKLY TOWARDS THE SOUTH. LOW END CHC POPS WILL BE MAINTAINED OVERNIGHT. THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...THE WEAK...AND LIKELY DISSIPATING FRONT WILL LINGER OVER THE AREA. GIVEN ANOTHER AFTERNOON OF DECENT HEATING...WILL LIKELY SEE SCT SHRA/TSRA ROUGHLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE I-44 CORRIDOR. ONCE AGAIN A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL EXIST...AS THE STRENGTH OF THE CONVECTION WILL BE INTIMATELY TIED TO THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY AND QUALITY OF LAPSE RATES AVAILABLE. LARGE SCALE FORCING AND CONVERGENCE WILL REMAIN PALTRY. MAX TEMPS WILL ONCE AGAIN REACH THE MIDDLE 80S TO NEAR 90F. CONVECTION SHOULD SUBSIDE AFTER SUNSET THUR EVENING...WITH LOWS REMAINING WARM IN THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S. FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE DISSIPATING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LOSE ITS INFLUENCE DURING THIS TIME FRAME. LITTLE IF ANY CHANGE IS NOTED IN THE LOW LEVEL THERMAL STRUCTURE OF THE ATMOSPHERE...AND WITH MORE IN THE WAY OF SUNSHINE EXPECTED HIGHS WILL REACH IF NOT GO A LITTLE ABOVE THE 90F MARK. IN THE EXTENDED...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...SIMPLY PUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW FOR THIS TIME FRAME. EACH MED RANGE MODEL OSCILLATES FROM RUN TO RUN...WITH AGREEMENT FLEETING. GENERAL EXPECTATIONS GIVEN WHAT FEW AGREED UPON SIGNALS WE CAN MUSTER FAITH IN SUGGESTS THAT THERE SHOULD BE AN EVENTUAL TRANSITION TO TROUGHING ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS. MEANWHILE THE WESTERN RIDGE WILL MARGINALLY DECREASE IN INTENSITY. THE END RESULT IS THAT THE MIDDLE OF THE NATION WILL BE PRONE TO EVOLVING BACK INTO A NORTHWEST FLOW REGIME. SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL LIKELY SEE A CONTINUATION OF DRY AND SEASONABLY WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS...HOWEVER TEMPS HAVE BEEN TEMPERED TO AT OR JUST BELOW AVERAGE AND POPS HAVE BEEN INCREASED TO LOW END CHC LEVELS FROM TUESDAY ONWARD. GAGAN && .AVIATION... ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL AFFECT THE SPRINGFIELD AND JOPLIN TERMINAL AREAS THROUGH TONIGHT AS A FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH. SCATTERED TO BROKEN VFR CEILINGS AROUND 6 KFT CAN BE EXPECTED WITH LOWER MVFR CEILINGS POSSIBLE IN THE SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP TOWARD SUNRISE THURSDAY. SCATTERED STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP WITH THE HEATING OF THE DAY THURSDAY. HOWEVER EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO BE THE RULE. FOSTER && .SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...NONE. KS...NONE. && WFO SGF
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 800 PM CDT WED JUL 4 2007 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-051800- BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON- ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS- LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON- LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE- TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- 800 PM CDT WED JUL 4 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING: THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA TONIGHT. DISCUSSION: ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE NIGHT AS A WEAK FRONT PUSHES SOUTH INTO THE OZARKS. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED DUE TO LIMITED INSTABILITY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE...BUT WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING THURSDAY MORNING AS A WEAK COLD FRONT SLOWLY SAGS THROUGH THE AREA. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE MISSOURI ARKANSAS BORDER FRIDAY AFTERNOON. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FROM MID AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. && THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE) GAGAN/FOSTER
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
411 PM CDT WED JUL 04 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0500 PM TSTM WND DMG SPARTA 37.00N 93.08W
06/30/2007 CHRISTIAN MO AMATEUR RADIO
FEW TREES SNAPPED. MINOR DAMAGE TO PORCH AND ROOF.
&&
AFOSTERThe Springfield radar (KSGF), 68 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 01:47 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Excessive rainfall from a thunderstorm caused numerous roads to experience flash flooding in Branson. Also, a section of Old Road in Hollister became impassable to motorists.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, July 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 46921.