Heavr rains cause minor to moderate flooding on portions of the Missouri and Grand Rivers, April 27th through April 29th.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EAX wrote it up.
Heavr rains cause minor to moderate flooding on portions of the Missouri and Grand Rivers, April 27th through April 29th.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 26, 11:30 PM CST, 30 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 1230 AM CDT FRI APR 27 2007 ...UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION... .DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 320 PM CDT THU APR 26 2007/ AFTERNOON WV IMAGERY DEPICTS LARGE UPR LVL STORM WHICH BROUGHT COPIOUS AMOUNT OF RAIN TO THE REGION...SPINNING ACROSS EASTERN IA AND NORTHERN IL. RAIN HAS FINALLY EXITED THE EXTREME EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON...HOWEVER AREA REMAINED ENTRENCHED WITH A THICK LAYER OF STRATUS WRAPPING AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF THE UPR LOW. OVERALL...MAIN CONCERNS IN THE FORECAST DEAL WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES TOMORROW...ALONG WITH TEMPERATURE TRENDS HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK. FOR TONIGHT...AREA WILL LIKELY REMAIN UNDER STRATUS DECK FOR MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. HOWEVER...HAVE SOME CONCERNS ABOUT FOG POTENTIAL OVER OUR WESTERN CWA. MODEL GUIDANCE DEPICTS CLR-SCT SKIES DEVELOPING AFTER 06Z. HOWEVER...FEEL THAT MODELS ARE CLEARING OUT CLOUD COVER A BIT PREMATURELY GIVEN THE FACT THAT A WEAK UPR LVL DISTURBANCE OVER MONTANA IS NIPPING AT THE HEELS OF THE GREAT LAKES LOW. FOR NOW...LEFT MENTION OF OUT OF THE GRIDS...HOWEVER LATER SHIFTS WILL NEED TO EVALUATE CLOUD TRENDS DURING THE EVENING HOURS. FOR FRIDAY...AFOREMENTIONED UPR LVL DISTURBANCE WILL QUICKLY SPEED INTO THE REGION. MODELS GUIDANCE HAS STILL STRUGGLED WITH THE TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM...WITH THE GFS FASTER THAN BOTH THE NAM/SREF/UKMET PROGS. WITH THIS IN MIND...SPLIT THE DIFFERENCE IN TIMING AND BROUGHT IN CHANCE POPS SOUTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM ST. JOSEPH TO CLINTON BY 18Z. NOT ALL THAT IMPRESSED WITH THE DYNAMICS OF THE SYSTEM...HOWEVER WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT ON THE 295-300K SFC...AND BROAD Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS WEST...AND EVENING HOURS SOUTHEAST. OTHER CONCERN FOR FRIDAY WAS TEMPERATURES...WITH CLOUD COVER INCREASING FROM THE WEST RATHER EARLY IN THE MORNING...LOWERED HIGHS BY A CATEGORY IN MANY AREAS. FURTHER TO THE EAST IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...SOME AREAS MAY BE ABLE TO REACH A LITTLE WARMER...HOWEVER DIURNAL CU FIELD AND INCREASING CIRRUS SHOULD TEMPER MOST HEATING BY THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. FOR THE WEEKEND...UPR LVL RIDGE BECOMES FIRMLY ESTABLISHED BRINGING MODERATING TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK. BEST CHANCE FOR FOG APPEARS TO BE ON SATURDAY MORNING...AS CLOUDS MAKE A QUICK RETREAT TO THE EAST...AND SFC HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN. SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL LIKELY BE THE WARMEST PORTIONS OF THE NEXT 7 DAYS...AS STRONG WAA AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES PUSH TEMPS INTO THE 80S. TEMPS MAY NEED TO BE RAISED FURTHER ON SUNDAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTHWEST...IF A MORE DOWNSLOPE TYPE OF LOW LVL FLOW LOOKS TO DEVELOP. LOOKING FURTHER INTO THE MEDIUM RANGE PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST...LONG WAVE TROUGH BEGINS TO PUSH INTO THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CONUS. AT THE SAME TIME...NORTHERN STREAM DISTURBANCE RIDING OVER THE RIDGE WILL PUSH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTHWARD TOWARDS THE REGION ON TUESDAY. GUIDANCE IS IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT IN SENDING SEVERAL MID-LVL DISTURBANCES THROUGH THE CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE UNITED STATES. THIS WILL LIKELY MAKE FOR A RETURN OF AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS APPEARING BY TUESDAY. FOR NOW...ADDRESSED THE ISSUED BY ADDING LOW CHANCE POPS TO THE FORECAST FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. DUX && .AVIATION DISCUSSION... FOR THE 06Z TAF VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST AT MKC THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH SHALLOW/PATCHY LIGHT FOG POSSIBLE NEAR MCI SHORTLY BEFORE SUNRISE. LIGHT FOG WITH VISIBILITIES DOWN TO AROUND 3SM ARE FORECAST FOR STJ WHERE NEARLY CALM WINDS AND LOCAL MICROCLIMATE SUPPORTS THE DEVELOPMENT OF STEAM FOG ROLLING OFF THE MO RIVER. THE FOG SHOULD DISSIPATE AN HOUR OR TWO AFTER SUNRISE. ALTHOUGH MID/HIGH CLOUDS WILL BE INCREASING DURING THE MORNING HOURS IN ADVANCE OF AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE MAINTAINED. POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN A NARROW WINDOW DURING LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING AT MCI AND MKC WHILE REMAINING DRY AT STJ. SINCE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE LACKING EXPECT CEILINGS WITH ANY CONVECTION TO REMAIN ABOVE 4000 FT. MJ && .EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...NONE. KS...NONE.
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 104 PM CDT THU APR 26 2007 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-271815- ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE- JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER- PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR- BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY- RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD- CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- 104 PM CDT THU APR 26 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT FLOODING CONTINUES ON SEVERAL AREA RIVERS DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS: PLATTE RIVER NEAR AGENCY...PLATTE RIVER AT SHARPS STATION...BIG CREEK AT BLAIRSTOWN...BLACKWATER RIVER AT VALLEY CITY...BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BLUE LICK...GRAND RIVER NEAR SUMNER...THE MISSOURI RIVER AT SAINT JOSEPH...MONITEAU CREEK NEAR FAYETTE...CHARITON RIVER AT NOVINGER...CHARITON RIVER NEAR PRAIRIE HILL AND THE SOUTH GRAND RIVER AT URICH. ASIDE FROM ONGOING FLOODING...NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A MERCER TO MOBERLY LINE THIS AFTERNOON...AS A FEW TEMPORARY BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS MAY LEAD TO ATMOSPHERIC DESTABILIZATION. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A FAST MOVING UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL DROP SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE MID- MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY IN AREAS SOUTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM ST. JOSEPH TO BOONVILLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY EVENING. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED WITH ANY OF THIS ACTIVITY. BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL APPROACH THE REGION...BRINGING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH IT. AT THIS TIME IT IS TOO EARLY TO TELL IF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. DUX
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Grand River near Sumner crested at 31.27 feet, or 5.27 feet above flood stage.
The Missouri River at Miami crested at 18.50 feet, or 0.50 feet above flood stage.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, April 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 64801, 64800.