A line of severe thunderstorms ahead of strong cold front moved across southeast Mississippi.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MOB wrote it up.
A line of severe thunderstorms ahead of strong cold front moved across southeast Mississippi.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 12, 9:55 PM CST, 7 hours 30 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 955 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007 .UPDATE...CURRENT FCST APPEARS TO BE ON TRACK. STILL LOOKING FOR SHRA/TSRA ACTIVITY TO INCREASE ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF FCST AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT...ESPECIALLY OVER THE MISSISSIPPI ZONES BY AROUND 400 AM...SPREADING EAST INTO REMAINDER OF THE FCST AREA BY AROUND DAYBREAK. TEMPS ALSO LOOK GENERALLY ON TRACK...WITH TEMPS PRIMARILY DROPPING INTO THE LOW TO MID 50S ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA TONIGHT AS WIND FLOW BECOMES MORE SOUTHEASTERLY IN ADVANCE OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. SO...WILL NOT UPDATE ZONES AS NO SIGNIFICANT ADJUSTMENTS ARE NEEDED FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AS FAR AS THE MARINE FCST...HAD TO ADJUST WINDS UP TO THE 10 TO 15 KNOT RANGE AND RAISE SEA HEIGHTS SLIGHTLY FOR TONIGHT BASED ON CURRENT BUOY/MARINE DATA...OTHERWISE NO CHANGES. 12/SHEPHERD ...PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS..................................... .SHORT TERM TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWS SOUTHERN STREAM STORM SYSTEM OVER THE RED RIVER VALLEY OF TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA. STRONG HIGH LEVEL JET WINDS OF 120 TO 130 KNOTS WAS COMING EASTWARD ACROSS THE BAJA...PROVIDING A NEGATIVE TILT IN THE HEIGHT FIELD TO THE SOUTHERN STREAM SYSTEM ALOFT. THIS WAS PROVIDING A LAYER OF GOOD LIFT OVER ARKANSAS AND EASTERN TEXAS TODAY WHERE LIGHTNING PRODUCTION AND COOLING CLOUD TOPS HAVE BEEN FOCUSED. LOW PRESSURE...REFLECTED DOWN TO THE SURFACE OVER THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE...IS FORECAST TO QUICKLY APPROACH THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER DELTA LATE TONIGHT. AHEAD OF THIS LOW...GULF MOISTURE OPENS UP AND SPREADS NORTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN STATES. THE AIRMASS IS ALSO FORECAST TO DESTABILIZE SLOWLY WITH HIGHEST INSTABILITY OVER THE GULF WATERS LATE TONIGHT. FORECASTERS EXPECT TO SEE A SQUALL LINE MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS LOUISIANA TONIGHT POSSIBLY APPROACHING THE SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI ZONES BY AROUND SUNRISE TUESDAY AM. THERE IS A WINDOW OPENING UP FOR THE POTENTIAL OF A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY. WITH THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE HIGH LEVEL JET...MENTIONED EARLIER...COMING INTO PLAY ALONG WITH A MORE SOUTHERLY COMPONENT TO THE WIND FIELD IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER...LIFT IS MAXIMIZED WHILE DEEP LAYER SHEAR LOOKS TO SUPPORT ROTATING UPDRAFTS. THE QUESTION IS DEGREE OF INSTABILITY WHICH LOOKS TO BE ENOUGH FOR THE SLIGHT RISK. WET BUILD ZEROS IN THE 9-10 KFT RANGE SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE HAIL IN MATURE UPDRAFTS. IT APPEARS THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL IN STORMS TUESDAY. ISOLATED TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT AS WELL. THE WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE IN MOBILE SUGGESTS HAVING A NOAA WEATHER RADIO HANDY. STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. AS THE LOW LIFTS OUT LATE IN THE DAY TUESDAY...A FRONTAL PASSAGE OCCURS...BRINGING AN END TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT THEN. .LONG TERM WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...LARGE SURFACE HIGH IS FORECAST TO SINK SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE PLAINS WEDNESDAY...BRINGING A COOL AND BRISK DAY WITH NORTHERLY WINDS FROM 15 TO 25 MPH. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PASSES QUICKLY ACROSS WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SUPPORTING PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER. NOT OVERLY CONFIDENT IN PRECIPITATION AS DEEPEST LAYER MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO BE SUPPRESSED DEEP INTO THE GULF. NEXT HIGH LEVEL DISTURBANCE BRINGS A REINFORCING SURGE OF COOLER AIR INTO THE WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS OVER THROUGH MONDAY. /10 && .MARINE...SURFACE RIDGING OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES GRADUALLY YIELDS TO THE DEVELOPING SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ALLOWING FOR EASTERLY WINDS OVER THE MARINE AREA TO VEER TO THE SOUTH TONIGHT. THE SURFACE LOW MOVES ACROSS ARKANSAS AND TENNESSEE ON TUESDAY THEN ACROSS THE CAROLINAS TUESDAY NIGHT AND BRINGS A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH THE MARINE AREA. SOUTHERLY WINDS AT 10-15 KNOTS TUESDAY MORNING SWITCH TO THE WEST AT 15-20 KNOTS DURING THE AFTERNOON...WITH NORTHWEST WINDS AT 20-25 KNOTS TUESDAY NIGHT. WILL LIKELY NEED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR TUESDAY NIGHT. THE STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW SUBSIDES SOMEWHAT ON WEDNESDAY THEN RETURNS TO 20-25 KNOTS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUES THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AS A LARGE STRONG DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE PLAINS. THE OFFSHORE FLOW SUBSIDES ON FRIDAY AS THE SURFACE HIGH SETTLES OVER THE REGION THEN SWINGS AROUND TO THE SOUTH AS THE HIGH CONTINUES EASTWARD. ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE PLAINS MOVES QUICKLY THROUGH THE MARINE AREA ON SATURDAY WITH THE ONSHORE FLOW INCREASING AND SWITCHING TO THE NORTHWEST SATURDAY AFTERNOON. /29 && .FIRE WEATHER...GRIDDED FORECASTS OF LOWEST DAYTIME RELATIVE HUMIDITIES THIS WEEK SUGGEST VALUES COLD BE WITHIN CRITICAL RANGES BY LATE IN THE WEEK. PLENTY OF TIME TO WATCH THESE TRENDS. /10 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MOBILE 55 73 40 50 / 20 70 10 05 PENSACOLA 56 70 43 53 / 10 70 10 05 DESTIN 56 67 47 55 / 05 70 10 05 EVERGREEN 48 70 40 49 / 10 80 10 05 WAYNESBORO 50 69 36 47 / 60 70 10 05 CAMDEN 49 70 38 47 / 20 80 10 05 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...NONE. FL...NONE. MS...NONE. GM...NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1214 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007 ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-079- 131200- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- MOBILE BAY-BALDWIN COASTAL-BALDWIN INLAND-BUTLER-CHOCTAW-CLARKE- CONECUH-COVINGTON-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND- GEORGE-GREENE-MOBILE COASTAL-MOBILE INLAND-MONROE-OKALOOSA COASTAL- OKALOOSA INLAND-PERRY-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-STONE- WASHINGTON-WAYNE-WILCOX- 1214 PM CST MON FEB 12 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT BUT WILL BE POSSIBLE SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE TUESDAY MORNING OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS COMBINED WITH GOOD VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INSTABILITY IN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL HELP AID THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. AS A RESULT THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ON TUESDAY. STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER FORECASTS AND UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ON THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS ON TUESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND ON TUESDAY DUE TO THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE WEATHER.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 403 AM CST TUE FEB 13 2007 ALZ051>055-059-061>064-FLZ001-002-MSZ067-076-079-131030- UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-UPPER MOBILE-ESCAMBIA-WASHINGTON-MONROE-CLARKE-WILCOX-CHOCTAW-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND ESCAMBIA-GEORGE-GREENE-WAYNE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEAKESVILLE...LUCEDALE...WAYNESBORO...BAY MINETTE...BUTLER...CHATOM...DAUPHIN ISLAND...DOWNTOWN MOBILE AND GROVE HILL... 403 AM CST TUE FEB 13 2007 ...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM CST... ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEING DETECTED OVER MUCH OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...MOVING INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA BY 500 AM CST. AT 358 AM CST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LARGE AREA STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI MOVING EASTWARD 30 MPH. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR MEDIA OUTLETS FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS THIS MORNING. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE HOME OR BUILDING IF WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM CST TUESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
The Mobile radar (KMOB), 87 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 11:25 UTC.
2 thunderstorm wind, 1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
A line of thunderstorms downed several trees in Wiggins.
High winds from a thunderstorm blew down several trees and caused roof damage to a couple of homes.
A severe thunderstorm produced penny sized hail just north of Leakesville.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Mississippi in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Mississippi, February 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 15730, 17592, 15731.