Blustery winds behind a cold front downed trees in Gladwin County.
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The episode as NWS APX wrote it up.
Blustery winds behind a cold front downed trees in Gladwin County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 22, 10:55 AM EST, 5 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 1055 AM EST THU FEB 22 2007 .DISCUSSION... VISIBLE SATELLITE AND LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOW QUITE A BIT OF SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE CWFA...WITH THE HEAVIEST ACTIVITY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN NORTHERN LOWER MI. DECIDED TO CHANGE THE WIND ADVISORY TO A SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY FOR THE CENTRAL NORTHERN LOWER MI COUNTIES WHERE BETTER SNOWFALL RATES APPEAR TO BE OCCURRING BASED ON RADAR IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. HIGHEST WIND GUSTS WILL LIKELY IMPACT MAINLY THE NORTHERN CWFA...WHERE THE GRADIENT WIND WILL BE BEST AUGMENTED BY THE ISALLOBARIC COMPONENT. HOWEVER...ALL AREAS COULD SEE A FEW GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS UNTIL THE LOW MOVES OFF TO THE EAST. THE SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY SHOULD DIMINISH BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON AS WINDS BECOME MORE NORTHERLY AND RIDGING AND DRIER AIR WORK INTO THE AREA. OTHERWISE KEPT GOING FORECAST GENERALLY INTACT. && .PREV DISCUSSION...IN THE BIG PICTURE...FLOW AMPLIFICATION UNDERWAY ACROSS NOAM AS SHARP SHORT WAVE TROUGH DROPPING SOUTHWARD ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST...BUILDING RIDGE OVER THE ROCKIES...AND TROUGH AMPLIFICATION UNDERWAY OVER THE NE AND GREAT LAKES. POTENT CLIPPER SYSTEM CONTINUING TO MOVE THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN OVERNIGHT...WITH 996 MB SFC LOW CENTERED EAST OF SAULT SAINT MARIE. INITIAL COLD FRONT EXTENDS DOWN INTO SE LOWER MICHIGAN WHILE SECONDARY COLD FRONT EXTENDS BACK ACROSS NRN MINNESOTA. MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE DRIVING SE DOWN THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN EARLY THIS MORNING WITH ASSOCIATED MID LEVEL DRY SLOT NEARLY ACROSS THE CWA. MUCH WARMER WITH THIS SYSTEM THAN ANTICIPATED AND HAVE SEEN QUITE A RANGE OF WEATHER OVERNIGHT... RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW IN NRN LOWER MICHIGAN...MAINLY SNOW IN EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN AND EVEN ISOLATED THUNDER UNDER THE DRY SLOT/MID LEVEL LOW AS WAS TALKED ABOUT IN THIS SPACE YESTERDAY (INDICATIVE OF THE STEEP LAPSE RATES ALOFT). MAIN FORECAST ISSUES REVOLVE AROUND WINDS AND HEADLINE POTENTIAL BEHIND THE SYSTEM TODAY...PRECIP CHANCES ALONG THE TRACK OF THE SHORT WAVE...AND LINGERING LAKE EFFECT INTO TONIGHT. TODAY...AT 4 AM SFC LOW ALREADY EAST OF THE SOO WITH THE INITIAL COLD FRONT AND ASSOCIATED CATEGORICAL PRECIP BAND ALREADY THROUGH THE THE CWA. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL PRECIP DEVELOPING ACROSS NW LOWER MICHIGAN BACK ACROSS WESTERN UPPER MI UNDER THE MID LEVEL LOW BOLSTERED BY STEEP LAPSE RATES ALOFT. BASED ON SATELLITE AND RADAR TRENDS...LOOKING LIKE ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS WILL BE PUSHING ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA THIS MORNING AS THE MID LEVEL WAVE TRACKS THROUGH THE REGION. STILL SEEING REPORTS OF RAIN WITH THIS NEXT ROUND OF PRECIP (4 AM ACB OB). BUT IF THE RUC FORECAST IS CORRECT PRECIP SHOULD BE GOING OVER TO SNOW PRETTY EARLY ON THIS MORNING. WILL KEEP SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WITH THIS NEXT ROUND OF SHOWERS ON THE LOW SIDE GIVEN TEMPS THAT ARE TAKING THEIR TIME GOING BELOW FREEZING. FOR THE AFTERNOON...COLD ADVECTION CONTINUES WITH 850 MB TEMPS FINALLY LOWERING ENOUGH TO SUPPORT LAKE SNOW SHOWERS. BY THAT TIME...SUBSIDENCE AND DRYING EXPECTED TO BE SUFFICIENT TO LIMIT COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF ANY SNOW SHOWERS THAT DO DEVELOP. HAVE SCT SNOW SHOWER WORDING WITHIN THE NNW FLOW AREAS DURING THE AFTERNOON...CHANCE ELSEWHERE...LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATIONS. WIND POTENTIAL...BEHIND THIS SYSTEM NAM AND GFS BOTH SHOWING CORE OF 50+ KNOT PLUS 850 MB WINDS RUNNING DOWN THROUGH LOWER MICHIGAN THIS MORNING...CONTINUING FOR MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON. WITHIN ENSUING COLD ADVECTION REGIME AND DEEPENING MIXED LAYER...SHOULD BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN A GOOD CHUNK OF THESE WINDS TODAY WITH GUSTS GETTING UP CLOSE TO 45 MPH AT GOOD POSSIBILITY ESPECIALLY ALONG THE LAKE MICHIGAN SHORELINE COUNTIES AND LAKE HURON FROM THE STRAITS TO PRESQUE ISLE. WINDS ALOFT NOT QUITE AS STRONG ACROSS EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN -- AROUND 40 KNOTS AT 850 MB. BUT MSAS ANALYSIS REVEALING AN IMPRESSIVE PRESSURE FALL/RISE COUPLET ACROSS WESTERN UPPER MICHIGAN (>6MB/3HR PRESSURE RISE IN NRN MN) SLATED TO PASS THROUGH EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL BOOST FROM ISALLOBARIC COMPONENT MAY BE ENOUGH TO PUSH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH AS WELL...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE SUPERIOR/WHITEFISH BAY SHORELINE. ALREADY SEEING GUSTS TO 40+ MPH ACROSS CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND ALL THINGS CONSIDERED...WILL HOIST WIND ADVISORY FOR THE ENTIRE CWA. ADVISORY VALID THROUGH THIS MORNING IN EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN AND THROUGH 21Z FOR NRN LOWER MICHIGAN. THOUGHT ABOUT A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WITH THE ANTICIPATED SNOW SHOWERS/BLOWING SNOW POSSIBILITIES THIS MORNING. BUT GIVEN THE RATHER WET NATURE TO THE SNOW/WARM TEMPS YESTERDAY...DO NOT THINK WE WILL SEE MUCH IN THE WAY OF BLOWING SNOW. TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...BACK TO MORE BENIGN WEATHER CONDITIONS AS STRONG CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE/DRY AIR BUILD INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES THROUGH THIS PERIOD. MAY HAVE SOME LINGERING FLURRIES OFF THE LAKES THIS EVENING IN THE NORTH FLOW AREAS (PRIMARILY GRAND TRAVERSE BAY). BUT OVERALL...DRY WEATHER BUT A RETURN TO COLDER TEMPS ON TAP FOR NORTHERN MICHIGAN. SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...SRN STREAM STORM SYSTEM STILL SLATED TO IMPACT THE REGION LATE SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...ALTHOUGH RECENT MODEL RUNS HAVE THIS SYSTEM WEAKENING/OCCLUDING AS ITS COMING THROUGH THE STATE AND ALSO TRENDING A LITTLE SOUTH WITH THE LOW. AT THIS JUNCTURE WARM AIR LOOKING TO GET SHUNTED OFF TO THE SOUTH WITH THE OCCLUDING SYSTEM AND KEEPING PRECIP MAINLY SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN WHICH IS ALREADY REFLECTED IN THE ONGOING FORECAST. BUT OF COURSE THAT CAN CHANGE. HOWEVER...WILL RE-WORK HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK TO REMOVE ICING WORDING. ADAM && .APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...ALL LAKE MICHIGAN AND LAKE HURON NEARSHORE ZONES. WIND ADVISORY TODAY...MIZ008-015>021-023>026-029>032-041-042. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY TODAY...MIZ022-027-028-033-034. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 525 AM EST THU FEB 22 2007 LHZ345>349-361-362-LMZ323-341-342-344-345-363-LSZ321-322-MIZ008- 015>036-041-042-231100- STRAITS OF MACKINAC-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL- MACKINAC BRDG TO PRESQUE ISLE LT-PRESQUE ISLE LT TO STURGEON PT- STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER-MICHIGAN WATERS OF NORTHERN LAKE HURON- MICHIGAN WATERS OF CENTRAL LAKE HURON-GRAND TRAVERSE BAY- SEUL CHOIX PT TO MACKINAC BRDG-NORWOOD TO MACKINAC BRDG- SLEEPING BEAR PT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LT-MANISTEE TO SLEEPING BEAR PT- MICHIGAN WATERS OF NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN-WHITEFISH BAY- ST. MARYS RIVER-CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE- CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE- GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD- MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-GLADWIN-ARENAC- 525 AM EST THU FEB 22 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE HURON...LAKE MICHIGAN...LAKE SUPERIOR...EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE FOUND ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THIS MORNING. COMBINED WITH WET ROADWAYS AND TEMPERATURES DROPPING QUICKLY BELOW FREEZING...SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN UPPER AND NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN THIS MORNING AND PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. SEE ONGOING WIND ADVISORY FOR DETAILS. GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND THIS EVENING OVER THE NEARSHORE AND OPEN WATERS OF NORTHERN LAKES MICHIGAN AND HURON. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO LIFT FROM THE PLAINS INTO LOWER MICHIGAN LATE THIS WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM MAY BRING GUSTY WINDS AND ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL TO NORTHERN MICHIGAN SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. UNCERTAINTIES STILL SURROUND THIS STORM SYSTEM. MOST IMPORTANTLY...THE TRACK AND DEGREE OF WARM AIR PUSH INTO NORTHERN MICHIGAN. A PERIOD OF SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN REMAINS A POSSIBILITY FOR SUNDAY AND FORECAST ADJUSTMENTS ARE POSSIBLE. STAY TUNED TO LATER FORECASTS FOR UPDATES ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS STORM SYSTEM. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY. ADAM
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Several trees downed, blocking roads 5 miles southeast of Beaverton.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Michigan in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Michigan, February 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 16602.