Moderate to heavy rainfall in the middle and upper portions of the Ohio River Valley caused increased river flows. T.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Moderate to heavy rainfall in the middle and upper portions of the Ohio River Valley caused increased river flows. The Ohio River rose above flood stage at J.T. Myers Lock and Dam, where minor flooding occurred.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 6, 3:30 AM CST, 9 hours 30 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 330 AM CST TUE MAR 6 2007 .DISCUSSION... MAIN CONCERNS FOR THIS FORECAST ARE TEMPERATURES IN THE NEAR TERM...AND POPS FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. LITTLE TO CHOOSE FROM BETWEEN THE 00Z GFS AND NAM...AS FAR AS SYNOPTICS ARE CONCERNED. THE GFS MAY BE A BIT MORE AGRESSIVE WITH THE FRONT WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY WITH THE COOLING ASSOCIATED WITH IT. BOTH MODELS INDICATE SOME LOW CLOUDS NEAR AND BEHIND THE BOUNDARY...AS WELL. FOR TEMPERATURES...GENERALLY STAYED NEAR THE CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND THEN FOLLOWED THE MAV NUMBERS PRETTY CLOSELY FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS IS A BIT OF A COOLER TREND TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND PERHAPS A BIT WARMER FOR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. LOOKING TOWARD THE WEEKEND...THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW GRADUALLY FLATTENS TO MORE OF A MESSY ZONAL FLOW BY 12Z THURSDAY. SEVERAL RELATIVELY WEAK DISTURBANCES IN THE ZONAL FLOW WILL IMPACT THE AREA WITH CLOUDS AND POSSIBLY SOME PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ACCORDING TO THE 00Z GFS THE MOST SIGNIFICANT SYSTEM WILL PUSH EASTWARD OUT OF THE PLAINS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...RESULTING IN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS MOVING IN LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND EXITING THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY. 00Z MREF DATA BASICALLY PINPOINTS SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT FOR THE BEST RAIN POTENTIAL. MADE A FEW MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE POPS FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...BUT HAVE BEST CHANCE POPS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...BOWING TO FORECAST INERTIA JUST A BIT. DID INSERT POPS FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND KEPT THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS FOR SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...NONE. MO...NONE. IL...NONE. IN...NONE. && DRS
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 406 AM CST TUE MAR 6 2007 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-071100- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 406 AM CST TUE MAR 6 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT POINTS ALONG THE OHIO RIVER...AS WELL AS THE WABASH RIVER WILL REMAIN AT OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. REFER TO THE LATEST FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR MORE INFORMATION. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY POINTS ALONG THE OHIO AND WABASH RIVERS WILL REMAIN AT OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. REFER TO THE LATEST FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR MORE INFORMATION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. DRS
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Minor flooding of fields and woodlands occurred along parts of the northwest Kentucky shore. At J.T. Myers Lock and Dam, where flood stage is 37 feet, the Ohio River crested at 39.10 feet on the 9th.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, March 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 18417.