A clipper system brought a light snowfall across eastern Kentucky Saturday and Saturday evening. with lesser amounts to the south.
Every event with a place to put it; 13 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JKL wrote it up.
A clipper system brought a light snowfall across eastern Kentucky Saturday and Saturday evening. Locations generally north of the Hal Rogers Parkway had received 2 to 3 inches of snowfall by late Saturday evening...with lesser amounts to the south. Light snow showers continued off and on into the day on Sunday of that weekend...but additional accumulations were light.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 17, 11:08 AM EST, 1 hour 12 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 1108 AM EST SAT FEB 17 2007 .SHORT TERM.../TODAY THROUGH MONDAY/...UPDATED UPDATED THE FORECAST TO GO WITH PERIODS OF SNOW THE REST OF TODAY. ALSO NUDGED UP TO START TIME OF THE PORTION OF THE ADVISORY THAT STARTED AT 11 AM TO 10 AM. STILL EXPECTING 1 TO LOCALLY 2 INCHES OVER MOST OF THE AREA FOR A DAYTIME SNOW ACCUMULATION. CURRENT RADAR AND SURFACE OBS SHOW AN AREA OF MAINLY LIGHT SNOW OVER OUR CWA...WITH SOME LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW OVER CENTRAL KENTUCKY EXPECT THE NEXT WAVE TO OUR WEST TO MOVE INTO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. KEPT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND AN INCH IN OUR EXTREME EAST DURING THE DAY TODAY...WITH 1 TO LOCALLY 2 TONIGHT. THINK THE HEAVIEST SNOW THERE WILL BE MORE THIS EVENING AS THE COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH AND UPSLOPE FLOW KICKS IN. ALSO REMOVED MENTION OF RAIN IN OUR SOUTHWESTERN AREAS TODAY. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW A POSSIBLE TEMP RISE JUST ABOVE FREEZING FOR A SHORT TIME RIGHT AT THE SURFACE...BUT THE REST OF THE COLUMN LOOKS COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW. EVEN THOUGH TEMPS MAY RISE JUST ABOVE FREEZING FOR A SHORT TIME IN OUR SOUTHWESTERN AREAS...GROUND TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN COLD LATELY SO THIS MAY OFFSET THE SLIGHTLY ABOVE FREEZING TEMPS CONCERNING SNOW ACCUMULATION. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO LOCALLY 3 INCHES STILL APPEAR LIKELY BY TONIGHT. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY. COULD BE SOME LOCALIZED LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN NEAR THE VIRGINIA BORDER. WILL LOOK AT NEW 12Z DATA FOR THE AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE AND MAKE ANY ADJUSTMENTS THEN. ALSO NUDGED TEMPS DOWN A LITTLE IN MOST AREAS. NO OTHER CHANGES WERE MADE ATTM...AND THE EARLY MORNING DISCUSSION FOLLOWS BELOW. METMOS SEEMS TO HAVE BEEN HANDLING TEMPS THE BEST LATELY...SO WENT WITH IT FOR THE SHORT TERM TEMP FORECAST AND DEWPOINTS. DEWPOINTS TOWARD THE END OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD WERE A BIT DRIER THAN THE LATEST MOS AND MUCH DRIER THAN SURROUNDING OFFICES...SO INCREASED THOSE A BIT TO JIVE WITH LATEST NUMBERS. WIND FORECAST WAS IN GOOD SHAPE AND NO CHANGES WERE MADE. MADE ONLY A FEW MINOR CHANGES TO SKY COVER FORECAST PER LATEST GFS MODEL RUN...WITH A SLIGHT ADJUSTMENT MADE TOWARD TO SLOWER NAM SOLUTION OF PASSAGE OF TODAYS CLIPPER SYSTEM. MADE CORRESPONDING ADJUSTMENTS TO POP FORECAST IN REGARDS TO TIMING. ALSO INCREASED CHANCE OF PRECIP FOR TODAY TO CATEGORICAL. GFS HAS PRECIP MOVING INTO WESTERN REACHES OF CWA BY 12Z AND KEEPS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA OVERSPREAD WITH PRECIP BETWEEN 15Z AND 0Z TONIGHT. QPF FORECAST WAS ALSO ADJUSTED BASED LATEST HPC GUIDANCE AND CHANGES MADE TO POP FORECAST. RECALCULATED WEATHER GRIDS BASED ON LATEST HOURLY TEMP FORECAST AND CHANGES MADE TO POPS. WITH A BIT OF WARM WORKING ITS WAY INTO THE EXTREME SOUTHERN COUNTIES OF FORECAST AREA...INTRODUCED THE POSSIBILITY OF A RAIN SNOW MIX FOR THIS AFTERNOON SOUTH OF THE HAL ROGERS PARKWAY INTO THE WEATHER GRIDS. RERAN SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AS WELL...WITH LOWER AMOUNTS THAN BEFORE IN THE SOUTH...AND 1 TO 3 INCH ACCUMULATIONS EVERYWHERE ELSE. THE EXCEPTION BEING THE HIGHER TERRAIN ALONG THE VIRGINIA BORDER...WHERE UP TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW COULD FALL BY TOMORROW MORNING. .LONG TERM.../TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/ MODELS IN AGREEMENT WITH PATTERN SHIFT NEXT WEEK...WITH FLOW BECOMING MORE ZONAL AND MILD PACIFIC AIR SPREADING EAST ACROSS THE COUNTRY. THERE ARE DIFFERENCES IN THE HANDLING OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO AFFECT THE AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE 00Z GFS KEPT THE LOW AND ASSOCIATED MOISTURE WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA...BUT THE ECMWF BROUGHT THE LOW THROUGH KENTUCKY. THE 12Z GFS HAS COME AROUND TO A MORE NORTHERLY SOLUTION. THE MOST RECENT EVENT WAS HANDLED BETTER BY THE ECMWF WITH A MORE NORTHERLY SOLUTION...AND BASED ON THIS AND THE 12Z RUNS BELIEVE A MORE NORTHERLY SOLUTION IS BETTER. REGARDLESS OF THE TRACK OF THE LOW THERE LOOKS TO BE LITTLE COLD AIR AVAILABLE THIS TIME...SO THIS WILL BE AN ALL RAIN EVENT. HPC PREFERRED A BLEND OF THE 00Z ECMWF AND THE 00Z NCEP MEAN AND THIS SEEMS REASONABLE. THE HPC PROGS HAVE A LOW CENTERED OVER KY AT 12Z WEDNESDAY...AND LIKE THIS IDEA AS IT AGREES WITH THE ECMWF WHICH AS NOTED IS THE PREFERRED MODEL. BIG STORY IN THE EXTENDED WILL BE THE MILD TEMPERATURES...WITH THE LONGEST RUN OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN STORE SINCE THE FIRST HALF OF JANUARY. && .AVIATION.../18Z TO 18Z/...UPDATED BANDS OF SNOW SHOWERS...AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONT WILL CAUSE TEMPO CONDITIONS IN VERY ISOLATED CASES DOWN TO IFR...BUT MOSTLY MVFR CONDITION. AFTER ABOUT 19-20Z...THE CONDITIONS WILL BE PREDOMINANTLY IFR...OCCASIONALLY BOUNCING BACK TO MVFR CONDITIONS. THE VISIBILITY SHOULD IMPROVE AFTER 6Z HOWEVER THE CIGS SHOULD STILL BE NEAR 1500 FEET THROUGH 12Z. AFTER 12Z...THINGS WILL GENERALLY IMPROVE TO VFR OCCASIONALLY DROPPING BACK TO MVFR AS SHOWERS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA IN THE LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON TIME PERIOD. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR KYZ044-050>052- 058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120. && SHORT TERM...AR/WJM LONG TERM....SBH AVIATION...JJ
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 1120 AM EST SAT FEB 17 2007 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>087-104-106>117-119- 181000- FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-ELLIOTT- MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY- CLAY-LESLIE-MARTIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING... OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG... MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO... WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO... PINEVILLE...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON... SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN... BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...INEZ 1120 AM EST SAT FEB 17 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING. DAYTIME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO LOCALLY 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED TODAY. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THIS EVENING OF AROUND AN INCH ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL PRODUCE A TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO LOCALLY 3 INCHES. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS LATER TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY. LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON. KYZ088-118-120-181000- HARLAN-LETCHER-PIKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARLAN...WHITESBURG...PIKEVILLE 1120 AM EST SAT FEB 17 2007 ...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING. DAYTIME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND AN INCH ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO LOCALLY 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THIS WILL PRODUCE A TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO LOCALLY 3 INCHES. THE SNOW WILL TAPER TO SNOW SHOWERS LATER TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY. LOCALIZED SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON. WJM
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
13 winter weather. Local standard time, as filed.
One and one half inches of measured snowfall 15 miles east of West Liberty. Visibility 1/4 mile in heavy snow at time of report.
Estimated 2.5 inches of snowfall in McKee.
Measured 1.5 inches of snowfall in Stanton.
Estimated 3 inches of snowfall at Flemingsburg.
Estimated 1.5 inches of snowfall in Morehead.
Estimated 2 inches of snowfall in Sandy Hook.
Estimated 2 inches of snowfall in Mount Sterling.
Measured 2.9 inches of snowfall in Eubank.
Estimated 3 inches of snowfall 2 miles west northwest of Beattyville.
Estimated 2 inches of snowfall in Mount Vernon.
Estimated one and one half inches of snowfall in Pikeville.
Estimated 4 inches of snowfall in Mount Vernon.
Estimated 2 inches of snow fell in Jackson.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, February 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 10725, 10726, 10727, 10731, 10732, 10733, 10734, 10729, 10730, 10724, 10722, 10728, 10723.