Heavy rains over saturated ground caused rises on areas streams, including the main stem of the Ohio River. The Ohio at Tell City, Indiana briefly reached flood stage.
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The episode as NWS LMK wrote it up.
Heavy rains over saturated ground caused rises on areas streams, including the main stem of the Ohio River. The Ohio at Tell City, Indiana briefly reached flood stage.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 17, 2:15 PM EST, 4 hours 45 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 315 PM EDT WED JAN 17 2007 .SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND TOMORROW)... HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES THIS EVENING WILL SLIDE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS WILL ALLOW A PLAINS COLD FRONT TO ADVANCE EASTWARD...STRETCHING FROM THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY TO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY THURSDAY EVENING. THE WEATHER TONIGHT WILL BE QUIET WITH STEADILY INCREASING CIRRUS. SOME SCATTERED ALTOCUMULUS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO WORK IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT. WITH THESE CLOUDS MOVING IN PLUS THE SURFACE HIGH WELL OFF TO OUR EAST TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WON/T BE AS CHILLY AS LAST NIGHT. READINGS SHOULD BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 20S MOST PLACES. ON THURSDAY CROSS SECTIONS SHOW LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SURGING NORTHWARD WHILE MID LEVEL CLOUDS CONTINUE TO STREAM IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING FROM THE WEST...BUT OVERALL DEEP LAYER HUMIDITY VALUES REMAIN FAIRLY LOW AND LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING SYSTEM IS QUITE WEAK. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RISE ONLY TO AROUND HALF AN INCH...WHICH IS A NORMAL LEVEL OF ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE FOR THIS REGION IN MID JANUARY. SURFACE DEW POINTS WILL REMAIN LOW...IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S...WITH DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS AROUND TEN DEGREES. THEREFORE...EXPECT LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION HERE ON THURSDAY. WILL THROW IN A FEW SPRINKLES IN THE SOUTHEAST WHERE THE BEST MOISTURE SUPPLY IS...BUT MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED. 13 .LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT-WEDNESDAY)... MAIN CONCERN THIS FORECAST IS THE SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EVENT FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND INTO THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK. LATEST RUN OF GFS IS MUCH FASTER THAN PREVIOUS RUN AND PER HPC RECOMMENDATION WILL STICK CLOSER TO 06Z RUN...ALTHOUGH A LITTLE FASTER AND A LITTLE FARTHER TO THE NORTH. BASIC PATTERN HAS BEEN SIMILAR AND MODELS SIMILAR...BUT TIMING IS BIG QUESTION. THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY... HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT WITH SURFACE FRONT/TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE AREA. UPPER SHORT WAVE WILL RACE ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE NIGHT. A FEW SPRINKLES COULD LINGER INTO THE NIGHTTIME HOURS BUT DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IN THE WAY OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION. WILL LEAVE POPS OUT FOR NOW. WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE UPPER SHORT WAVE...TEMPERATURES AT 850 MB DROP INTO THE -6 TO -10 C RANGE ON FRIDAY...SLOWLY WARMING INTO SATURDAY. ANOTHER HIGH BUILDS INTO THE REGION AGAIN SATURDAY BUT MOVES QUICKLY ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY...SETTING THE STAGE FOR LOW PRESSURE TO BRING A POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EVENT INTO THE AREA ON SUNDAY. SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... AS CLOSED LOW IN THE SOUTHWEST STARTS TO MOVE EAST AND A SHORT WAVE MOVES EAST ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND PLAINS...ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL DEVELOP OVER TEXAS AND MOVE EAST THROUGH THE SOUTHERN GULF COAST STATES...BRINGING A WIDESPREAD AREA OF PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA FROM THE OHIO VALLEY SOUTH. OVER CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHERN INDIANA...FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE PRECIPITATION SHOULD ALL BE SNOW...EVEN WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE LOWER AND MID 30S. SOUNDING TEMPERATURES ALL BELOW ZERO WITH PLENTY OF MOISTURE IN THE -10 TO -20 C SNOW GROWTH TEMPERATURES. THE REAL QUESTION IS TIMING OF ONSET OF SNOW AND HOW MUCH SNOW WILL FALL. WILL GO A LITTLE FASTER THAN 06Z GFS WITH PRECIPITATION STARTING IN THE SOUTH SATURDAY NIGHT AND SPREADING NORTH ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER INTO SOUTHERN INDIANA DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. WILL RAISE AMOUNTS SOME NOW BUT NOT AS MUCH 12Z GFS. SNOW WILL DECREASE SUNDAY NIGHT WITH SOME VERY LIGHT SNOW LINGERING INTO MONDAY. DRY AND COOL WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO MID WEEK. SCHOLZ && .LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...NONE. IN...NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 330 PM EST WED JAN 17 2007 INZ076>079-083-084-090>092-KYZ024>043-045>049-053>057-061>067- 070>078-081-082-180930- ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN- CRAWFORD IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-BRECKINRIDGE KY- MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-JEFFERSON KY- OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-SCOTT KY- HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-FAYETTE KY- BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-MERCER KY- JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-GARRARD KY- MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-TAYLOR KY- CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-ALLEN KY- BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-CUMBERLAND KY- CLINTON KY- 330 PM EST WED JAN 17 2007 /230 PM CST WED JAN 17 2007/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. A WEATHER SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE OUT OF THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES ON SUNDAY. CURRENT FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SNOW TO BE THE DOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA...WITH ACCUMULATIONS A POSSIBILITY. AT THIS TIME THERE IS STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM. THEREFORE...STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECASTS DURING THE WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. INZ089-KYZ023-180930- PERRY IN-HANCOCK KY- 230 PM CST WED JAN 17 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THE OHIO RIVER NEAR TELL CITY WILL CONTINUE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THE OHIO RIVER NEAR TELL CITY WILL BE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH SUNDAY. A WEATHER SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE OUT OF THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES ON SUNDAY. CURRENT FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SNOW TO BE THE DOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA...WITH ACCUMULATIONS A POSSIBILITY. AT THIS TIME THERE IS STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM. THEREFORE...STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECASTS DURING THE WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. 13
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Ohio River at Tell City crested at 38.0 feet around 7 PM EST on January 17. Flood stage at Tell City is 38 feet. At this level, Indiana Highway 66 is flooded between Rome and Derby.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Indiana in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Indiana, January 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 7957.