Numerous thunderstorms repeatedly moved over the same areas. A low-level southwesterly jet of 30 to 40 knots provided abundant moisture to the storms.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Numerous thunderstorms repeatedly moved over the same areas. A low-level southwesterly jet of 30 to 40 knots provided abundant moisture to the storms.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 22, 2:05 AM CST, 5 hours 55 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 305 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2007 .DISCUSSION... MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS ARE PRECIP CHANCES TODAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. LATEST MOSAIC RADAR SHOWS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM NORTHEAST KANSAS THROUGH NORTHERN MISSOURI AND NORTHWEST ILLINOIS INTO SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. ALSO SEEING SOME NEW DEVELOPMENT JUST OUT AHEAD OF THE MAIN LINE. CURRENT THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD TAPER OFF THIS MORNING AS LOW LEVEL JET DIMINISHES. THE NAM SEEMS TO HAVE A BETTER HANDLE IN WHERE PRECIP IS CURRENTLY LOCATED...BUT THEN NAM/GFS MATCH UP PRETTY WELL BY 18Z TODAY WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE COLD FRONT/PRECIP. BOTH MODELS DEVELOP/SPREAD PRECIP SOUTH/SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE QUAD STATE FROM MID MORNING THROUGH MID AFTERNOON...THEN THEY SHOW A BIT OF A RETREAT NORTHWARD OF THE COLD FRONT BY THIS EVENING...WITH GFS TAKING IT A LITTLE FARTHER NORTH THAN THE NAM. OVERALL SCENARIO FOR TODAY LOOKS TO BE A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS/STORMS ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FA...AND MINIMAL TO NONE ACROSS SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST PORTIONS. SPC DAY 1 INDICATES POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS TODAY...BUT MAIN MID/UPPER DYNAMICS SHOULD REMAIN WEST OVER KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI. LOWERED POPS FOR TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN HALF BEFORE MIDNIGHT...THEN CONTINUED WITH CHANCE POPS NORTH TO NO POPS SOUTH HALF AFTER MIDNIGHT. ON FRIDAY...MODELS SHOW PRECIP REDEVELOPING ACROSS THE REGION WITH HIGHEST QPF ACROSS THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE FA. INCREASED POPS A LITTLE FOR THE MORNING HOURS ACROSS MAINLY THE NORTHWEST HALF...THEN CONTINUED WITH 40 TO 50 PERCENT POPS DURING THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SEVERE AGAIN POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT OVER NORTHERN THIRD OF THE FA. BY FRIDAY NIGHT...BOTH NAM AND GFS BEGIN PULLING THE FRONT WELL NORTHWARD...SO REMOVED POPS FROM SOUTH HALF OF FA AND SLIGHT TO LOW CHANCE NORTH. ON SATURDAY GFS HAS US DRY...WHILE THE NAM SHOWS SOME LIGHT QPF ACROSS THE AREA FORM LATE SATURDAY MORNING INTO EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT. THOUGH PREFER THE GFS SOLUTION...DO NOT WANT TO PULL POPS OUT COMPLETELY FOR SATURDAY..BUT WILL LOWER THEM TO SLIGHT CHANCE. BY MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT GFS CONTINUES TO SHOW A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE REGION...WHICH IS SLOWER THAN THE GFS LAST NIGHT. DUE TO UNCERTAINTY OF TIMING WILL LEAVE GOING POPS AS IS FOR SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AND SEE WHAT THE NEXT FEW MODEL RUNS BRING. FOR TEMPERATURES...STAYED NEAR MAV/MET GUIDANCE FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT...THEN STAYED A LITTLE BELOW FOR FRIDAY DUE TO EXPECTED CLOUDS AND SHOWERS. WENT WITH A COMPROMISE FOR FRIDAY NIGHT...THEN LEANED TOWARD WARMER MAV FOR SATURDAY. IN THE EXTENDED...STAYED NEAR TO A LITTLE ABOVE LATEST MEX GUIDANCE. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...NONE. MO...NONE. IL...NONE. IN...NONE. && RST
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 442 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2007 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-230945- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 442 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL BUT FAR SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE QUAD STATE REGION TODAY...THEN ACROSS MAINLY THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE QUAD STATE TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION TODAY ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE QUAD STATE...WITH THE MAIN CONCERNS BEING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE QUAD STATE. MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE OHIO RIVER INTO THE WEEKEND. REFER TO THE LATEST FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR MORE DETAILS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY ACROSS THE QUAD STATE REGION...WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCE BEING ON FRIDAY. W WIDESPREAD SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN A POSSIBILITY DURING THE DAY FRIDAY...MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE QUAD STATE. THE MAIN CONCERNS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... THERE IS A SMALL POSSIBILITY THAT SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED DURING THE DAY TODAY AND FRIDAY...MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND THE EVANSVILLE TRI STATE REGION. RST
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 828 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2007 ILZ075>078-080>087-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ014-018-019-MOZ076- 221530- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY- VANDERBURGH-WARRICK-SPENCER-UNION KY-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-PERRY MO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION... MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO... CARMI...CARBONDALE...MURPHYSBORO...HERRIN...HARRISBURG... SHAWNEETOWN...FORT BRANCH...PETERSBURG...POSEYVILLE... EVANSVILLE...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...MORGANFIELD...HENDERSON... OWENSBORO...PERRYVILLE 828 AM CDT THU MAR 22 2007 ...STRONG STORMS MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA... A LINE OF STRONG STORMS WAS LOCATED FROM NEAR PERRYVILLE MISSOURI...TO MOUNT VERNON ILLINOIS...TO NORTH OF FAIRFIELD. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE PEA SIZE HAIL...GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. BY 930 AM...THIS LINE IS EXPECTED TO EXTEND FROM MOUNT CARMEL ILLINOIS TO MARION ILLINOIS. OTHER STORMS WILL BE SCATTERED ALONG AND NORTH OF THE OHIO RIVER IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY AND POSSIBLY BECOME SEVERE. PS/ML
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.
Standing water was over one lane of U.S. Highway 51. A trained spotter measured 0.9 inch of rain in one hour.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Illinois in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Illinois, March 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 18539.