Deep moisture in advance of a powerful upper level storm system combined with wind shear and instability to produce conditions favorable for severe storm development. These storms developed in the higher terrain of west Texas and moved over the Trans-Pecos and Big Bend regions through the afternoon and evening.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
Deep moisture in advance of a powerful upper level storm system combined with wind shear and instability to produce conditions favorable for severe storm development. These storms developed in the higher terrain of west Texas and moved over the Trans-Pecos and Big Bend regions through the afternoon and evening. Large hail was the primary threat of these storms, with the largest hail falling in Terrell County along U.S. Highway 90 about the size of golfballs.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 22, 1:28 PM CST, 4 hours 21 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 228 PM CDT THU MAR 22 2007 .SHORT TERM... CUTOFF LOW CONTINUES TO SPIN JUST WEST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON...WITH STRONG SOUTHWEST DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT DOWNSTREAM OF IT. SHORTWAVE TROUGHS CONTINUE TO TRANSLATE NORTH/NORTHEASTWARD WITHIN THIS FLOW AND IMPART MID LEVEL SUPPORT FOR ADDITIONAL SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. THERE ARE SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WEST TEXAS...AND CU IS DISCERNIBLE UNDER THIN CIRRUS SHIELD. A SURFACE TROUGH/LOW WAS PARKED OVER FAR WEST/SOUTHWEST TEXAS AS SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW CONTINUES TO PUMP COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE OVER THE CWA. THINK MODERATE AMOUNT OF INSOLATION OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN INTO THE STOCKTON PLATEAU WILL AID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH SPINS NORTH/NORTHEASTWARD AHEAD OF CUTOFF LOW. A 100 KT H25 JET IS ALSO PROGGED TO NOSE INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA BY EARLY THIS EVENING...PROVIDING VENTILATION FOR ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP. SINCE MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE 7.5 TO 8 C/KM...0 TO 6 KM BULK SHEAR VECTORS 60 TO 70 KT...AND SFC BASED CAPE AT LEAST 1000 J/KG THINK WE COULD SEE LARGE HAIL PRODUCING STORMS. THERE IS ALSO SOME MID LEVEL DRY AIR NOTED IN MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS THERE TOO...SO DAMAGING WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORMS. LASTLY...PWATS ARE AROUND 1 INCH MOST LOCATIONS...WHICH IS ROUGHLY 250% ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THINK SOME LOCATIONS COULD SEE HEAVY RAINFALL...BUT IT SHOULD REMAIN ISOLATED. LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF A MARFA...ALPINE... MONAHANS...ANDREWS...AND LAMESA LINE COULD SEE SEVERE STORMS THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. MENTIONED ALL OF THE ABOVE IN THE HWO. WENT WITH PERSISTENCE FOR OVERNIGHT LOWS AS DEWPOINTS HAVE NOT CHANGED MUCH AND CLOUD COVER WILL BE PREVALENT. WINDS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY TAME OVERNIGHT...EXCEPT OF COURSE AROUND IN AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. .LONG TERM... THE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS ROTATING OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH MEXICO...NEW MEXICO AND THEN NORTH INTO COLORADO OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. CIRCULATION AROUND THE TROUGH/CUTOFF LOW WILL PULL MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE PACIFIC INTO WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. PRECIPITATION CONCERNS AND SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE AGAIN. PROGGED PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES REMAIN THREE TO FOUR TIMES NORMAL VALUES OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. THIS WILL PROVIDE PLENTY OF MOISTURE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS AS WELL AS HEAVY RAIN PRODUCING STORMS. MULTIPLE SHORTWAVES WILL TRANSLATE THROUGH THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF THE STORM SYSTEM PROVIDING SUBSTANTIAL LIFT ACROSS MUCH OF THE WARNING AREA. MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES APPROACHING 8 DEGREES/KM AND LI/S APPROACHING NEGATIVE 6 INDICATE INSTABILITY ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. SBCAPE IS ABOUT THE SAME BOTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY BUT SLIGHTLY HIGHER SATURDAY WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. THE SPC HAS THE AREA HIGHLIGHTED IN THEIR CURRENT SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOKS FOR BOTH DAYS. AGAIN...WHILE THE ENTIRE AREA WILL LIKELY GET SOME BENEFICIAL RAINFALL...THE BEST AREAS FOR HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER WILL DEPEND ON THE TRACK OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW. THE FURTHER WEST THE UPPER LOW...THE FURTHER WEST THE BEST CHANCES OF HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER. BELIEVE ANY ACTIVITY ON SUNDAY WILL BE MORE HEAVY RAIN/FLASH FLOODING RELATED AS OPPOSED TO SEVERE WEATHER. AT THIS POINT...LEANING TOWARDS A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND THE NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN BASIN. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL RUN BETWEEN TWO AND A HALF AND THREE INCHES OVER NORTHERN LEA COUNTY...GAINES COUNTY...AND DAWSON COUNTY. TWO TO TWO AND A HALF INCHES OVER THE REST OF THE NORTHWESTERN BASIN AND LEA COUNTY. ONE AND A HALF TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED OVER EDDY COUNTY. THESE ARE STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS RUNNING FROM TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN...ESPECIALLY IF STORMS TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREAS...WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING. COORDINATION WITH WEST GULF RFC INDICATES THAT THE HEAVIEST RAINFALLS WILL NOT CAUSE FLOODING ALONG AREA RIVERS AS THEY ARE RUNNING ON THE LOW SIDE. BECAUSE OF THE UNCERTAINTY ASSOCIATED WITH THE MOVEMENT OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW...WILL HOLD OFF ON ISSUING ANY FLOOD PRODUCT WITH THIS PACKAGE BUT WILL MENTION IN HWOMAF AND SPSMAF. BEYOND SUNDAY...WILL EITHER LEAVE CURRENT GRIDS OR POPULATE WITH THE MOST RECENT RUN OF THE GFS. A QUICK GLANCE AT MODELS AND GUIDANCE INDICATES TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL WITH A POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON MOST DAYS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BIG SPRING TX 62 72 61 73 / 50 60 70 60 CARLSBAD NM 56 71 60 71 / 60 70 70 40 DRYDEN TX 64 73 65 76 / 30 60 70 40 FORT STOCKTON TX 63 73 63 74 / 50 60 70 40 GUADALUPE PASS TX 53 67 53 67 / 50 70 70 30 HOBBS NM 57 70 50 70 / 60 70 80 50 MARFA TX 49 69 48 70 / 40 60 70 30 MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX 62 72 62 72 / 50 60 70 50 ODESSA TX 62 73 63 72 / 50 60 70 50 WINK TX 65 77 59 78 / 50 60 70 50 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...NONE. TX...NONE. && 67/74
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1254 PM CDT THU MAR 22 2007 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-231800- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR- REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND- GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA- PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 1254 PM CDT THU MAR 22 2007 /1154 AM MDT THU MAR 22 2007/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED...GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS... GLASS MOUNTAINS...AND STOCKTON PLATEAU THROUGH TONIGHT. MORE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTH ACROSS THE BIG BEND REGION AND LOWER TRANS PECOS. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL... DAMAGING WINDS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THE MAIN THREATS. LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF A MARFA...ALPINE...MONAHANS...ANDREWS...AND LAMESA LINE. WESTERN PORTIONS OF THIS AREA WILL LIKELY SEE SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE STORMS SPREADING NORTH NORTHEASTWARD THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY AGAIN FRIDAY AND SATURDAY ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS...WITH SCATTERED STORMS ALSO POSSIBLE SUNDAY. THE GREATEST CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS APPEARS WILL BE ON FRIDAY OVER MOST OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS. SEVERAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS COULD AFFECT THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...UPPER TRANS PECOS...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...AND NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THEREFORE...THESE AREAS WILL BE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE ISSUANCE OF A FLASH FLOOD WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE INITIATED BY 200 PM CDT FROM THE DAVIS AND GLASS MOUNTAINS...NORTH AND NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE VAN HORN AREA...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...UPPER TRANS PECOS...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...AND WESTERN AND NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 259 PM CDT THU MAR 22 2007 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-230300- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR- REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND- GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA- PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...ARTESIA...CARLSBAD... CARLSBAD CAVERNS NP...TATUM...HOBBS...LOVINGTON...EUNICE...JAL... SEMINOLE...LAMESA...GAIL...SNYDER...ANDREWS...STANTON... BIG SPRING...COLORADO CITY...VAN HORN...PECOS...MENTONE... RED BLUFF LAKE...KERMIT...ODESSA...MIDLAND...GARDEN CITY... MONAHANS...CRANE...MCCAMEY...RANKIN...BIG LAKE...ALPINE... FORT STOCKTON...PRESIDIO...MARFA...BIG BEND NP...MARATHON... SANDERSON...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...PINE SPRINGS 255 PM CDT THU MAR 22 2007 /155 PM MDT THU MAR 22 2007/ ...STORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS A LARGE PART OF THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY... DEEP MOISTURE IN ADVANCE OF A POWERFUL UPPER STORM SYSTEM HAS RESULTED IN CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND STORMS TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. WIND PROFILES AND INSTABILITY SUGGEST THAT SOME STORMS WILL BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. TONIGHT...THE FAVORED AREA FOR SEVERE STORMS IS IN THE TRANS PECOS REGION AND IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AS STORMS DEVELOP NEAR THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND THEN MOVE NORTHEAST INTO THE PLAINS LATER TONIGHT. AS THE UPPER STORM SYSTEM MOVES FARTHER EAST FRIDAY...ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS IS EXPECTED. SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY WHICH WILL HOLD RICH MOISTURE IN PLACE. AGAIN STORMS ARE FAVORED TO FORM IN THE WESTERN AREAS WHERE THE BETTER INSTABILITY AND UPSLOPE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL AID DEVELOPMENT. LARGE HAIL...WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH...A LOW PROBABILITY TORNADO THREAT...AND FLASH FLOODING ARE THE PRIMARY CONCERNS. UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEMS ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO ARE TYPICALLY DIFFICULT TO FORECAST WITH RESPECT TO TIMING AND POSITION. THE LATEST CONSENSUS IS THAT THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL LIFT ACROSS NEW MEXICO EARLY SATURDAY WITH THE BULK OF PRECIPITATION AND STORMS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE NORTHWEST PERMIAN BASIN LATER FRIDAY AND EARLY SATURDAY. IF STORM TRACK AND TIMING OF THE SYSTEM CHANGES UPCOMING FORECAST WILL NEED TO BE ADJUSTED. STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECAST IN THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 607 PM CDT THU MAR 22 2007 TXZ081-230000- BIG BEND AREA- 607 PM CDT THU MAR 22 2007 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT... THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR SOUTHWESTERN BREWSTER COUNTY. A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES WEST OF CASTOLON OR 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LAJITAS AT 607 PM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THIS STORM WILL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL...WIND GUSTS TO 55 MPH...AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST TO NEAR TERLINGUA BY 625 PM CDT.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
4 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
Several people between Texas Highway 118 and Terlingua Ranch Lodge reported penny size hail.
Big Bend National Park staff at Persimmon Gap reported penny to quarter size hail.
The Terrell County Sheriff's Office reported golfball size hail falling east of Sanderson along U.S. Highway 90.
The Terrell County Sheriff's Office reported golfball size hail falling along a 1/2 mile strip of U.S. highway 90 east of Sanderson.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, March 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 15247, 15246, 15245, 15244.