Heavy rainfall from the morning combined with thunderstorms during the afternoon to produce 2 - 4 inches of rain across eastern Clinton County.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LSX wrote it up.
Heavy rainfall from the morning combined with thunderstorms during the afternoon to produce 2 - 4 inches of rain across eastern Clinton County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 26, 2:00 PM CST, 30 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 300 PM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007 .DISCUSSION... SHORT TERM... AFTERNOON CONVECTION HAS FIRED UP ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY/DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BOUNDARY LEFT OVER FROM THIS MORNINGS RAINS OVER SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS. THINK THIS CONVECTION WILL FOLLOW THE PATTERN OF THE PAST FEW DAYS AND DIE SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET. WILL KEEP SCATTERED WORDING IN THE FORECAST FOR THIS EVENING THEN BACK OFF TO SLIGHT CHANCE/ISOLATED OVERNIGHT. COLD FRONT MOVES INTO NORTHERN MISSOURI BY 18Z WEDNESDAY AS UPPER LEVEL CUT OFF LOW ELONGATES INTO A STRONG TROF/SHEAR AXIS STRETCHING FROM TEXAS UP INTO IOWA. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE OVER THE AREA WITH P-WATS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES WILL ALLOW THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN TO DEVELOP. SINCE MUCH OF THE AREA IS QUITE DRY...WILL NOT ISSUE ANY FLOOD WATCH PRODUCTS AT THIS TIME. ANY HEAVY RAIN THAT DOES FALL WILL CERTAINLY START US DOWN THE ROAD TO SATURATING THE GROUND. CARNEY LONG TERM... NAM/WRF AND GFS ARE CONTG PREV TRENDS OF FCSTG WDSPRD RAINFALL EVENT FOR FA IN THE WED-THU NGT TIME FRAME. SYNOPTIC PTRNS ARE REASONABLY SIMILAR IN THAT THEY BOTH PUSH CDFNT INTO NW MO ON WED THEN WORK IT SWD INTO FAR S SECTIONS OF FA BY THU...WITH THIS SLOW MOVG BAROCLINIC ZN PROVIDING LIFT TO GENERATE NMRS TSRA/SHRA AS IT PUSHES ACR AREA. SLOW MVMT OF FNT...ALG WITH PWATS IN EXCESS OF 2.0 INCHES AND SLOW MVMT OF INDIVIDUAL TSRA DUE TO VRY LGT WNDS ALOFT...WL MEAN A HEAVY RAIN THRT FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. AM A BIT CONCERNED ABT THE FLOODING POTENTIAL OF THIS SYS...EVEN THOUGH MOST OF OUR FA IS VRY DRY AND RIVERS ARE QUITE LO. PULSE STORMS OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS AND NGTS CERTAINLY A TESTAMENT TO RAINFALL POTENTIAL OF THIS AMS...SO A CONCENTRATED CLUSTER OF STORMS CULD CAUSE HYDROLOGIC CONDS TO CHG RPDLY. DUE TO THE INITIALLY DRY CONDITIONS...AND SINCE WE ARE STILL 36 HRS AWAY FROM THE HVY RAIN THRT...HV OPTED TO ISSUE AN ESF TO HIGHLIGHT THE CONCERN. ONE ADDITIONAL AND IMPORTANT CONCERN IS HOW MUCH WK LO/SHEAR AXIS OVR S PLAINS WL BE IMPACTING PCPN IN OUR AREA. STILL FEEL LIKE ITS MAIN IMPACT WL RMN S AND W OF OUR FA...BUT IF IT DOES DRIFT NE IT WL CERTAINLY ENHANCE HVY RAIN THRT. WITH SLUGGISH NATURE OF UA FTRS LO LVL BAROCLINIC ZNS/OUTFLO BNDRYS WL BE PRIMARY FOCUSING MECHANISMS...AND THIS SUPPORTS THE SLGTLY MORE SWD QPF AXIS AS DEPICTED BY THE GFS. HEADING INTO THE MEDIUM RANGE...CHC OF TSRA SHUD DMSH OVR S PARTS OF FA ON FRI AND FRI NGT AS CDFNT CONTS TO PUSH S. COOLER AIR BACKDOORING ACR MID MSVLY SHUD LEAD TO DRY CONDS AND SLGTLY BLO NORMAL TEMPS ON SAT...BUT OPERATIONAL GFS...ENSEMBLE GFS...AND ECMWF ALL QUICKLY BUILD RDG BACK INTO AREA BY ERY NXT WEEK MAKING FOR A RPDLY RETURN OF SUMMERTIME TEMPS. TRUETT && .AVIATION... FOR THE 18Z TAFS... THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWFA ARE SLOWLY DISSIPATING...BUT SCATTERED CONVECTION IS ALREADY FORMING/MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTH ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWFA. WILL MOST LIKELY SEE THIS CONVECTION CONTINUE TO BUBBLE UP THROUGH EARLY EVENING MUCH LIKE CONDITIONS THE PAST FEW DAYS. ELSEWHERE AND OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION. CARNEY && .LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...NONE. IL...NONE. && WFO LSX
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 554 AM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007 ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027- 034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-271100- GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL- MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL- CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX-LEWIS- SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE- CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN- ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON- ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS- 554 AM CDT TUE JUN 26 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR STORMS WILL OCCUR DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AS A COLD FRONT SLOWLY PUSHES SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE AREA. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. THIS STORM THREAT IS EXPECTED TO COME TO AN END OVER SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHWESTERN ILLINOIS BY FRIDAY EVENING AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTH OF THE REGION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT. && FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION SEE OUR WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE)... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX/?N=HWO1 GKS
The St Louis radar (KLSX), 124 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:32 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Local law enforcement reported Highway 161 flooded in several locations from Posey to Centralia.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Illinois in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Illinois, June 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 45604.