The Ohio River flooded due to several smaller rounds of rainfall during the first week of January, followed by a heavy rain event about mid-month. Minor flooding occurred along the river.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
The Ohio River flooded due to several smaller rounds of rainfall during the first week of January, followed by a heavy rain event about mid-month. Minor flooding occurred along the river.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 11, 3:38 AM CST, 8 hours 22 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 338 AM CST THU JAN 11 2007 .DISCUSSION... A HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT STILL SEEMS ASSURED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...WITH THE PRIMARY EMPHASIS ON SUNDAY...WHEN SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS WILL OCCUR OVER ARKANSAS. IN THE MEANTIME...THERE IS CONSIDERABLE VARIANCE IN MODEL QPF ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...PROBABLY RELATED TO DIFFERENCES IN THE POSITION OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT. THE STRONG SURFACE FRONT CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM THE UPPER MISSOURI VALLEY INTO CENTRAL NEBRASKA. 00Z NAM/GFS ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT TAKING THE FRONT TO SE MISSOURI AND SRN ILLINOIS BY FRIDAY EVENING. STRONG SOUTHWEST LOW LEVEL FLOW UP TO ABOUT 50 KNOTS AT 850 MB WILL TRANSPORT PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...WITH 850 DEW POINTS CLIMBING TO NEAR 10 DEG C. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT TODAY WILL BE DRY EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. LIGHT RAIN WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING OVER SE MISSOURI AND THEN SPREAD EAST OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE ON FRIDAY AS THE FRONT APPROACHES. THE 00Z GFS AND NAM SEEM TO HAVE BACKED OFF QUITE A BIT ON THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW LEVEL JET FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. IN FACT...THE 850 WINDS VEER INTO THE WEST AND DECREASE BELOW 20 KNOTS FOR A TIME. THE RESULTANT LACK OF WARM MOIST ADVECTION...ALONG WITH LESS OVERRUNNING NORTH OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY...SEEMS TO BE THE MAIN REASON FOR LESS IMPRESSIVE MODEL QPF THROUGH SATURDAY. THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN QPF IS ABOUT ONE HALF INCH PER 12 HOURS...WHICH DOES NOT SEEM UNREASONABLE GIVEN THAT THE 500 MB TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE WESTERN STATES ON SATURDAY. AS A RESULT...WILL BACK OFF ON GRIDDED QPF FORECAST AND REMOVE MENTION OF HEAVY RAINFALL IN A PERIOD OR TWO...MAINLY SATURDAY. AFTER SOME DISAGREEMENT ON HOW FAR SOUTH THE FRONT WILL GO SATURDAY...THE GFS/NAM COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT THAT IT WILL RETURN NORTH INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY BY 12Z SUNDAY. AT THE SAME TIME...850 MB LOW LEVEL JET WILL INCREASE AGAIN AS STRONG 500 MB SHORTWAVE BEGINS TO EJECT OUT OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY APPEARS TO BE THE MOST FAVORABLE TIME FOR HEAVY RAINFALL...AND COULD EASILY MAKE UP FOR LOST TIME. EVENT TOTAL QPF STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO EXCEED 4 INCHES IN SOME PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA...AS THE GFS AND HPC GUIDANCE HAS ADVERTISED. AS THE DEEPENING SURFACE WAVE TRACKS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY OR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS ON SUNDAY EVENING...THE WARM SECTOR WILL PASS ACROSS WESTERN KENTUCKY. CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL STILL APPEARS LIMITED BY VERY MARGINAL BUOYANCY. GFS MUCAPES REMAIN ABOUT ZERO THROUGH THE EVENT. HOWEVER...SREF ENSEMBLE DATA FROM SPC WEBSITE INDICATES A LOW PROBABILITY OF MINIMAL ELEVATED CAPE /100 J/KG/ OVER SOUTHERN ZONES BEGINNING ON SATURDAY. WILL THEREFORE MAINTAIN MENTION OF THUNDER IN THE SOUTH ON SATURDAY...AND ALL AREAS ON SUNDAY. IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE...EXPECT A BLAST OF COLDER AIR MONDAY THROUGH MID WEEK. THE VERY LIGHT GFS QPF SHOWN ON MONDAY SEEMS TO BE A TYPICAL BIAS OF THE MODEL IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND A DEPARTING CYCLONE. WILL MAINTAIN A DRY FORECAST FOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. 00Z OPERATIONAL GFS INDICATES A FAIRLY STRONG CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEM DIVING SOUTHEAST INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY ON TUESDAY. GIVEN THE VERY LIMITED MOISTURE AND THE LACK OF MODEL CONTINUTIY WITH THIS FEATURE...WILL KEEP PRECIP OUT OF THE FORECAST. AS FOR TEMPS...GENERALLY EXPECT A SLOW WARMING TREND THROUGH FRIDAY DESPITE CLOUDS AND RAIN. AFTER THE COLD FRONT PASSES FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...MOS GUIDANCE IS COLDER THAN PREVIOUS RUNS...IN FACT MVN IS KEPT IN THE MID 30S ON SATURDAY. WILL LOWER TEMPS SATURDAY SEVERAL DEGREES IN MOST AREAS...EXCEPT KHOP AREA. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...FLOOD WATCH FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY ALL ZONES. MO...FLOOD WATCH FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY ALL ZONES. IL...FLOOD WATCH FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY ALL ZONES. IN...FLOOD WATCH FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY ALL ZONES. && MY
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 449 AM CST THU JAN 11 2007 ILZ075>077-080>082-084>086-088>094-INZ086>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076- 086-087-100-107>112-114-121100- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-JACKSON- WILLIAMSON-SALINE-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI- MASSAC-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE- BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN- LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON- DAVIESS-MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU- WAYNE MO-CARTER-RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI- NEW MADRID- 449 AM CST THU JAN 11 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A PROLONGED RAIN EVENT IS EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...FOLLOWED BY A BETTER CHANCE OF HEAVY RAIN SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. SINCE THE GROUND IS ALREADY MOIST FROM ABUNDANT RAINFALL OVER THE PAST FEW WEEKS...FLOODING WOULD EASILY BE INITIATED IF FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OCCUR. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. REFER TO THE LATEST FLOOD WATCH FOR MORE INFORMATION. THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE. ANY THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT WILL NOT BE SEVERE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING OR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ILZ078-083-087-INZ081-082-085-121100- WABASH-WHITE-GALLATIN-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY- 449 AM CST THU JAN 11 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT LOWLAND FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE WABASH AND WHITE RIVERS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A PROLONGED RAIN EVENT IS EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...FOLLOWED BY A BETTER CHANCE OF HEAVY RAIN SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. SINCE THE GROUND IS ALREADY MOIST FROM ABUNDANT RAINFALL OVER THE PAST FEW WEEKS...FLOODING WOULD EASILY BE INITIATED IF FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OCCUR. A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. REFER TO THE LATEST FLOOD WATCH FOR MORE INFORMATION. THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE. ANY THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT WILL NOT BE SEVERE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING OR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MY
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
At Shawneetown, where flood stage is 33 feet, the river crested at 42.3 feet on the 23rd. This resulted in minor flooding. Bottomland fields and woodlands were flooded.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Illinois in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Illinois, January 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 7459.