A strong low pressure system tracked northeast from central Kansas to northwest Missouri during the afternoon and evening. Strong southeast to south winds ahead of this system gusted up to 45 MPH at times in the Lower Wabash Valley.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
A strong low pressure system tracked northeast from central Kansas to northwest Missouri during the afternoon and evening. Strong southeast to south winds ahead of this system gusted up to 45 MPH at times in the Lower Wabash Valley. The peak wind gust measured at the airport in Carmi was 45 MPH.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 24, 2:23 PM CST, 37 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 223 PM CST SAT FEB 24 2007 .DISCUSSION... POTENT CLOSED LOW OVER NEAR KANSAS CITY MO THIS EVENING WILL SLOWLY MOVE TOWARD SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN BY MONDAY MORNING AND PERSIST OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. .SHORT TERM... /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/ BETWEEN NOW AND 03Z SUN/ 6PM CST SATURDAY NIGHT/... I CANNOT RULE OUT ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SERN MO DELTA AND EXTREME SWRN KY /PURCHASE AREA/. HOWEVER...MY GREATER CONCERN IS THE POTENTIAL FOR BRIEF...LOCAL WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...ASSOCIATED WITH THE COMBINATION OF GRADIENT WIND AND ISOLATED DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSPORT OF STRONG UPPER LEVEL WINDS. THE MAIN FOCUS FOR CONCERN IS AN AREA SOUTH OF A KPOF-KCGI-KPAH- KHOP LINE TO THE AR/TN BORDER THROUGH AT LEAST 8 PM. THIS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED BY THE EVENING CREW FOR ANY STATEMENTS OR FORECAST UPDATES. OTHERWISE...I ANTICIPATE THAT MOST WIND GUSTS SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 20-30 KNOT /22-35 MPH/ RANGE. I WILL NOT ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT...BUT MAY CONSIDER ENHANCED WORDING IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK AND POSSIBLY A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT. AFTER 03Z/6PM CST/...ADJUSTED GRIDS TO REFLECT LOWERING THUNDER CHANCES OVER SERN MO AS TO REFLECT DRY AIR INTRUSION NEWD THROUGH THE WFO PAH FORECAST AREA IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT. RATHER THAN ATTEMPT TO PIN DOWN HOURLY PRECIPITATION TRENDS BASED ON CURRENT FRONT/DRYLINE MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WFO PAH FORECAST AREA...I OPTED TO TRANSITION WEATHER IN THREE HOURLY BLOCKS OVERNIGHT. ANY REMAINING THUNDER CHANCES SHOULD MOVE NEAR AN OWENSBORO...ELKTON KY LINE AFTER 09Z SUN /3 AM SUNDAY/. THE EVENING FORECAST CREW MAY NEED TO ACCELERATE THE PRECIPITATION/THUNDER CHANCES FURTHER EAST OF THE AREA. GIVEN THE SLOW NEWD MOVEMENT OF THE CLOSED LOW OVER MO/IL TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY...CHANNELED VORTICITY/LIFT/MOISTURE WILL KEEP A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS MOST OF THE WFO PAH FORECAST AREA THROUGH SUNDAY. GFS SOUNDING SUGGEST THAT THIS PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF SUNDAY NIGHT INTO A TRACE EVENT...WITH A SMALL CHANCE FOR SNOW FLURRIES...ALONG AND NORTH OF I-64 IN SERN IL/SWRN IN...BEFORE ENDING MONDAY MORNING. DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD THEN PREVAIL MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL OVER THE SOUTHERN 1/3 OF THE WFO PAH FORECAST AREA...AND SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL IN THE NORTHERN 2/3 OF THE AREA. .LONG TERM... /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/ FEW SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST TODAY. THE LAST FEW RUNS OF BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF HAVE BEEN IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT IN TRYING TO OCCLUDE ANOTHER STRONG STORM SYSTEM OVER THE PLAINS...AND LIFTING IT NORTHWARD TOWARD MINNESOTA BY 12Z THURSDAY. WITH A STRONG SOUTHERLY FETCH DEVELOPING ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...PLENTY OF MOISTURE WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE REGION AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. THE COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO ROTATE EAST OR NORTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WITH THE BOUNDARY...PLENTY OF MOISTURE AND STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...THERE WOULD APPEAR TO BE A VERY GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 06Z THURSDAY THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY. FORECAST SEVERE WEATHER PARAMETERS LOOK MORE PROMISING FOR MID-WEEK THAN FOR TODAY. KEPT POPS IN THE CHANCE CATEGORY FOR NOW...WITH 50S AREAWIDE FOR THURSDAY. THE 12Z GFS HAS DEVELOPED A BAND OF QPF WITH A WEAK MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SWEEPING THROUGH THE REGION 06Z-18Z SATURDAY. THIS IS A DRAMATIC INCREASE IN QPF FROM THE 06Z GFS...WHICH WAS ALL BUT DRY. SEE NO NEED TO JUMP ON THIS POTENTIAL PRECIPITATION AT THIS TIME. WILL LOOK FOR SOME MODEL CONTINUITY WITH THIS FEATURE TOMORROW. GENERALLY STAYED CLOSE TO HPC GUIDANCE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN ON THE MILD SIDE...AS NO ARCTIC AIRMASS LURKS TO OUR NORTH. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...NONE. MO...NONE. IL...NONE. IN...NONE. && SMITH/DRS
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 441 AM CST SAT FEB 24 2007 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-251100- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 441 AM CST SAT FEB 24 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT ACROSS THE FOUR STATE AREA. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT...PRIMARILY ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND FAR SOUTHWEST KENTUCKY. STRONG WINDS APPEAR TO BE THE MOST LIKELY HAZARD. OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...GUSTY SOUTHEAST SURFACE WINDS FROM 15 TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. WINDS COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 40 MPH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. AT THIS TIME...IT IS UNCLEAR WHETHER CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION COULD BE REQUESTED TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND FAR SOUTHWEST KENTUCKY.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Illinois in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Illinois, February 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 10080, 10081, 10082.