High Surf, Niihau
- When
- November 4, 10:00 AM HST to November 6, 10:00 PM HST
- Where
- Niihau forecast zone
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 22.011, -159.705 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A deep low in the southern hemisphere east of New Zealand produced surf of 8 to 12 feet along the south-facing shores of all the Hawaiian Islands. There were no reports of serious property damage or injuries.
Every event with a place to put it; 6 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS HFO wrote it up.
A deep low in the southern hemisphere east of New Zealand produced surf of 8 to 12 feet along the south-facing shores of all the Hawaiian Islands. There were no reports of serious property damage or injuries.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Honolulu, HI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 4, 10:00 AM HST, 0 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI 1000 AM HST SUN NOV 4 2007 .SYNOPSIS... A LOW NORTH NORTHWEST OF KAUAI WILL DROP SOUTHWARD TODAY...BEFORE TURNING SOUTHWEST AND SLOWLY MOVING AWAY FROM THE STATE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE UNSETTLED WEATHER WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH EARLY THIS WEEK. DRIER TRADE-WIND WEATHER WILL RETURN LATER IN THE WEEK. && .DISCUSSION... A LARGE BAND OF RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS IS APPARENT ON REGIONAL RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY EXTENDING FROM EASTERN OAHU TO WEST MAUI. IR CLOUD TOPS AND RADAR VWP/S INDICATE LAYERED CLOUDS EXTEND THROUGH 40000 FT. THIS BAND PRECEDES THE PARENT LOW...WHICH REMAINS NORTH-NORTHWEST OF KAUAI. THE SYSTEM IS NOT AS VERTICALLY STACKED AS IT WAS PREVIOUSLY...WITH AN ELONGATED UPPER LOW 225 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LIHUE/PHLI...WITH THE SURFACE CIRCULATION 350 MILES NORTHWEST OF PHLI. THE MORNING QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWS A WELL DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER...WHICH CAN ALSO BE SEEN ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS IS BETTER THAN BOTH THE 12Z GFS/ECMWF INDICATE...WHICH ONLY SHOW A WEAK REFLECTION OF THE SYSTEM AT THE SURFACE. THE GFS STILL APPEARS TO HAVE A PROBLEM WITH GRIDSCALE FEEDBACK ACROSS THE ISLANDS...INDICATING 5 INCHES OF STABLE PRECIP BUT LESS THAN AN INCH OF CONVECTIVE PRECIP SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND IN BOTH THE 06Z-12Z AND 12Z-18Z PERIODS TONIGHT. THIS CAUSES THE GFS TO DEVELOP WHAT APPEARS TO BE A SPURIOUS SECONDARY SURFACE WAVE THAT IT TAKES JUST NORTHEAST OF THE STATE...WHICH EVENTUALLY BECOMES A MORE DOMINATE FEATURE THAN THE DEPARTING SYSTEM. WILL CONTINUE TO STICK WITH MORE OF AN ECMWF SOLUTION... WHICH INDICATES A RETURN TO A MORE TYPICAL TRADE WIND PATTERN FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. IN THE NEAR TERM...THE 100 MILE WIDE BAND OF RAIN CENTERED NEAR MOLOKAI WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS MAUI TODAY...AND SHOULD REACH THE BIG ISLAND TONIGHT. THE 12Z GFS SHOWS THE PRECIP STALLING OVER MAUI COUNTY TONIGHT AS THE PARENT LOW STARTS TO TURN SOUTHWEST...BUT THE MODEL IS ALSO NEARLY 6 HOURS TOO SLOW WITH THE PROGRESS OF THE CURRENT RAIN. WITH THIS IN MIND...WILL CONTINUE TO EXTRAPOLATE THE SOUTHEASTWARD MOVEMENT THROUGH TONIGHT...BRINGING THE WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND AFTER MIDNIGHT. IT STILL MAY STALL AT SOME POINT AND WEAKEN IN PLACE...FURTHER EXACERBATING THE FLOODING POTENTIAL. EVEN THOUGH THE GFS IS SUFFERING FEEDBACK PROBLEMS...IT IS KEYING IN ON SOME FEATURE THAT IS ALSO PRESENT IN THE ECMWF TO INITIATE A NEW AREA OF CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF THE BIG ISLAND BY TONIGHT. CATEGORICAL POPS LOOK GOOD FROM MAUI COUNTY EASTWARD. WHILE THE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL HAS ENDED IN KAUAI AND STARTED TO DIMINISH ACROSS OAHU...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL OF A MORE SCATTERED NATURE IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THE COLD POOL OF THE UPPER LOW NEARBY. IN FACT...VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS A NARROW LINE OF SHOWERS ALREADY DEVELOPING NORTHWEST OF KAUAI. THEREFORE MAINTAINED THE SAME COVERAGE AND TIMING FOR THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH...ACROSS THE ENTIRE STATE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. && .MARINE... THE HIGH SURF WARNING CONTINUES FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES. THE LARGE SOUTH SWELL CONTINUES TO INCREASE...WITH THE LANAI WAVERIDER BUOY CLIMBING TO 5 FT/20 SECONDS AT 18Z...SIMILAR TO THE WAVEWATCH COMBINED SEAS GUIDANCE BUT WITH A LONGER DOMINATE PERIOD. UPDATED THE MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT FOR THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND FOR HARBOR SURGES AND BREAKING WAVES IN CHANNEL ENTRANCES. && .HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... HIGH SURF WARNING UNTIL 6 PM MONDAY FOR SOUTH-FACING SHORES OF ALL ISLANDS. FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT FOR ALL ISLANDS. && BRAVENDER
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
653 AM HST SUN NOV 04 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0445 AM FLASH FLOOD WAIKANE 21.50N 157.88W
11/04/2007 HONOLULU HI EMERGENCY MNGR
WAIKANE STREAM OVERFLOWED FORCING A BRIEF CLOSURE OF
KAMEHAMEHA HIGHWAY.
&&
KODAMAThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
16 high surf. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Hawaii in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Hawaii, November 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 63799, 63800, 63801, 63802, 63803, 63804, 63805, 63806, 63807, 63808, 63809, 63810, 63811, 63812, 63813, 63814.