A surface trough extended across the forecast area in a highly unstable and moisture laden environment. Sea breezes as well as upper level divergence enhanced updrafts and severe storms developed across the forecast area.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.
A surface trough extended across the forecast area in a highly unstable and moisture laden environment. Sea breezes as well as upper level divergence enhanced updrafts and severe storms developed across the forecast area.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 1, 2:28 AM EST, 5 hours 32 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 328 AM EDT SAT SEP 1 2007 .SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH LABOR DAY... STACKED LOW PRESSURE CENTER OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE WILL MEANDER VERY CLOSE TO THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH LABOR DAY. THIS FEATURE ALONG WITH A VERY MOIST AIRMASS WITH PWATS OVER 2 INCHES AND DIVERGENCE ALOFT AT THE RIGHT REAR QUAD OF A WEAK UPPER LEVEL JET WILL KEEP ABOVE NORMAL RAINFALL CHANCES THROUGH LABOR DAY. PCPN CHANCES WILL REMAIN IN THE 70-90% RANGE TODAY...AND FALL VERY SLOWLY TO 60-80% ON SUNDAY...THEN 50-70% ON LABOR DAY. SLOW MOVING SCTD AFTERNOON TSTMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH POTENTIAL LOCAL FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS...ALSO FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER TSTM ACTIVITY. .LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY... LONGER RANGE MODELS INCLUDING THE 00Z GFS AND ENSEMBLE SLOWLY BUILD A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BACK OVER THE FORECAST AREA...BUT AIRMASS WILL REMAIN MOIST THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH AT LEAST 30-50% TSTM CHANCES EACH DAY...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. MAX TEMPS WILL SLOWLY RISE BACK TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS AROUND 90 DEGREES. && .AVIATION...MOIST LOW LEVELS AND CALM WINDS WILL LEAD TO FOG DEVELOPMENT...MAINLY FROM 06 TO 14Z. LOWEST VISIBILITIES WILL BE WHERE RAIN FELL EARLIER WITH PREDOMINANT MVFR AND PATCHES OF IFR TO LIFR. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE WIDESPREAD AGAIN TODAY STARTING AROUND 14Z AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY. HAVE INCLUDED TEMPO MVFR IN TSRA BUT LOWER VISIBILITIES AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN STRONGER STORMS. && .MARINE...WILL KEEP SCEC FOR THE OFFSHORE GA WATERS DUE TO EXPECTED INCREASE IN WINDS THIS AFTERNOON. LOW PRESSURE WILL LINGER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS GENERALLY PREVAILING. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 84 71 85 70 / 90 70 70 40 SSI 83 76 84 77 / 90 80 70 50 JAX 87 74 88 74 / 90 60 70 40 SGJ 87 76 89 76 / 80 60 60 40 GNV 88 73 90 72 / 70 50 60 30 OCF 88 73 90 72 / 60 40 60 40 && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GA...NONE. AM...NONE. && HESS/HURLBUT
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 329 AM EDT SAT SEP 1 2007 FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-021000- HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY- ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE- JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY- INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN- COASTAL CAMDEN- 329 AM EDT SAT SEP 1 2007 THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... ...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE TODAY... WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SLOW AND ERRATIC THUNDERSTORM MOVEMENT. STRONG THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL PRODUCE FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. PATCHY FOG WITH VISIBILITIES OF 1 TO 3 MILES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AND AGAIN LATER TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY... SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING THROUGH LABOR DAY WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE SHOULD SLOWLY DECREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX. HESS
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 heavy rain, 1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Periods of heavy rainfall caused temporary flooding across the county. Around 9 am local time, flooding was reported along Highway 341 West between Hazlehurst and Graham. Water covered all four lanes of the road. Around 1 pm local time, at least 10 streets in Baxley had standing water due to heavy rains.
Trees fell down onto power lines. Time estimated by Doppler radar.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Georgia in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Georgia, September 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 47110, 47109.