Drought in Georgia, December 1 to 31, 2007

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1002 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF OUR WEATHER THROUGH
SATURDAY.  A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO FORM OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN STATES TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY...THEN CROSS THE
PLAINS AND THE GREAT LAKES THIS WEEKEND AS IT STRENGTHENS.  THE
COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTH FROM THE LOW WILL CROSS OUR REGION FROM
THE WEST SUNDAY NIGHT.  WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT
AND KEEP TRANQUIL WEATHER INTO MID WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WILL SUPPLY A LIGHT NORTH WIND OVERNIGHT.
STRAND OF CIRRUS WILL SHOULD CONTINUE TO PASS WEST TO EAST ACROSS
THE AREA...NO MORE THAN PARTLY CLOUDY. GIVEN THE LIGHT WINDS AND
THIN SKY COVER...TEMPERATURES SHOULD EASILY FALL TO ADVERTISED
VALUES. VERY LITTLE CHANGE NEEDED TO THE CURRENT FORECAST. I WILL
TWEAK GRIDS TO CURRENT CONDITIONS AND SLIGHTLY ADJUST TIMING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 225 PM FRIDAY...RIDGING AT THE SFC AND ALOFT WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. SRN AND NRN
STREAM UPPER WAVES WILL THEN PHASE BACK IN OVER THE EASTERN CONUS
TOWARD SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT WITH THE BETTER DYNAMICS PASSING NORTH OF
THE FORECAST AREA. CLOUDS SHOULD QUICKLY RETURN AHEAD OF THE SRN
STREAM FEATURE DURING THE DAY SUNDAY AS LOW LEVEL MOIST UPGLIDE SETS
UP IN THE WARM ADVECTION. SOME FAIRLY GOOD RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION
DIVERGENCE WILL ARRIVE TOWARD 00Z MONDAY...JUST AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING COLD FRONT...TO PROVIDE THE BEST LIFT FOR PRECIPITATION.

SFC BASED CAPE VALUES APPEAR TO BE VERY LIMITED WITH THE NIGHTTIME
FROPA...BUT 0 TO 3 KM SHEAR VALUES REACH 50 KT BY LATE SUNDAY
EVENING. ANY SHALLOW LINE SEGMENTS THAT FORM AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL
HAVE TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY AS THEY MOVE ACROSS PIEDMONT SECTIONS.
PRECIPITATION ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE SHOULD QUICKLY TRANSIT THE AREA
SUNDAY NIGHT. THE SLIGHTLY FASTER GFS IS PREFERRED IN THE SWIFT
UPPER FLOW PATTERN.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 220 PM EDT FRIDAY...OTHER THAN A FEW LINGERING MAINLY MTN
SHOWERS...PRECIP IS EXPECTED TO BE SE OF CWA EARLY MON MORNING...
ALTHOUGH IT SHOULD BE WINDY OVER MTNS MUCH OF THE DAY. UPPER TROF
REMAINS OVER E STATES WITH A REINFORCING TROF AND SHOT OF PVA WED
INTO THU...BUT WITHOUT SIG MOISTURE TO WORK WITH KEPT MOST OF CWA
DRY. HAVE JUST SLIGHT CHANCE POPS NC MTNS/FOOTHILLS WED-WED
NIGHT...THEN FAVORING GFS KEPT THINGS DRY THROUGH FRI. WITH MORE
SUNSHINE AND DOWNSLOPE FLOW MON...TEMPS WARM TO NEAR AVG...THEN COOL
A CAT BELOW AVG TUE AS COLDER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND FRONT. TEMPS
SHOULD WARM UP TO SLIGHTLY ABV AVG WED AS FLOW BECOMES MORE SW...
THEN COOL DOWN BELOW AVG THU AND FRI AS A DRY CLOD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE BUILD ACROSS THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
SHIFT NE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A LIGHT NE WINDS IS EXPECTED THROUGH
MID SATURDAY MORNING...VEERING ENE DURING THE AFTERNOON. SATELLITE
TRENDS AND FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUPPORTS INCREASING MID TO HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS ACROSS THE TERMINALS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.

AVIATION OUTLOOK...SHOWERS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY LIKELY OUT AHEAD
OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT LATER SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. GUSTY
NW WINDS ARE LIKELY IN THE WAKE OF THIS FRONT ON MONDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
VERY DRY AIR IS EXPECTED TO MIX TO THE SURFACE ON
SATURDAY...PRODUCING RH VALUES LESS THAN 25 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL
HOURS. BASED ON THE LATEST FUEL MOISTURE VALUES FROM THE GEORGIA
FORESTRY COMMISSION AROUND 10 PERCENT...A RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE
POSTED ACROSS OUR SIX NORTHEAST GEORGIA COUNTIES FOR SATURDAY.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM EST SATURDAY FOR GAZ010-017-
     018-026-028-029.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DEO
NEAR TERM...NED
SHORT TERM...HG
LONG TERM...RB
AVIATION...NED
FIRE WEATHER...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
239 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-068>072-082-501>510-
SCZ001>014-019-011945-
AVERY-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
239 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH
CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-011945-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
239 PM EST FRI NOV 30 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 8 PM EST SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   RED FLAG WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.