Localized flooding from slow moving afternoon and evening storms spawned by the sea breezes occurred in Marion county.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.
Localized flooding from slow moving afternoon and evening storms spawned by the sea breezes occurred in Marion county.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 11, 12:54 PM EST, 6 hours 21 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 154 PM EDT TUE SEP 11 2007 ...INCREASED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE... .SHORT TERM...MSAS ANALYSIS SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE HAS SETTLED DUE EAST OF CENTRAL FLORIDA...PRODUCING A LARGE SCALE SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER OUR AREA. RUC ANALYSIS ALOFT INDICATES THIS SOUTHWEST FLOW EXTENDS VERTICALLY TO 700 MB AND THEN BECOMES MORE WESTERLY. THIS HAS ALLOWED MOISTURE AXIS WHICH HAD RESIDED OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA TO LIFT NORTHWARD INTO OUR AREA. SURFACE DEWPOINTS REMAIN LARGELY IN THE LOWER 70S...BUT JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE...FROM 950 MB TO TO 875 MB...THE RUC INDICATES NEAR 90% RH. THIS HAS RESULTED IN A LOW LFC AND A RESULTANT EARLY START TO THE ACTIVITY TODAY WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY OVER THE SUWANNEE VALLEY AND EXTENDING INTO NORTHEAST FLORIDA. DUE TO THE WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY AND INCREASED CLOUD COVER...STORMS WILL HAVE A MORE DIFFICULT TIME ORGANIZING THIS AFTERNOON AND EXPECT MAINLY MARGINALLY STRONG ACTIVITY. THE BEST CHANCE OF STRONG DOWNBURSTS WILL BE ALONG THE FL/GA BORDER AND INTO SE GA WHERE RESIDUAL DRY AIR ALOFT WILL AID DOWNDRAFT VELOCITIES. FOR WED...THE FOCUS LOOKS TO SHIFT NORTHWARD...DEPENDING ON WHICH MODEL YOU FAVOR. THE GFS ALLOWS MOISTURE AXIS TO LIFT NORTHWARD INTO THE GA PORTION TONIGHT WHILE THE NAM KEEPS PWAT AXIS OF OVER 2.25 INCHES OVER THE SUWANNEE VALLEY THROUGH WED EVENING. LOOKS AS THOUGH THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA IS ALREADY SEEING LESS ACTIVITY TODAY AND THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE INTO WED. HOWEVER...2 PLUS INCH PWATS WILL STILL RESULT IN HIGH END SCATTERED ACTIVITY WITH LIKELY REMAINING IN PLACE FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. LOOKS LIKE THE NAM12 GETS ON BOARD WITH THE SHIFT NORTHWARD IN TROUGH AXIS AND MAIN CONVERGENT ZONE. LIKELY POPS WILL BE CONFINED TO THE NORTHERN MOST ZONES WITH MORE TYPICAL DIURNAL ACTIVITY EXPECTED OVER THE FLORIDA PORTION. THIS TREND OF THE BERMUDA RIDGE RE-ESTABLISHING ITSELF CONTINUES INTO FRIDAY AND WITH UPPER HIGH CONTINUING TO BUILD SHOULD RESULT IN ONLY MID RANGE SCATTERED POPS. .LONG TERM...THE FIRST PART OF THE EXTENDED LOOKS RATHER STRAIGHT FORWARD WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING DOWN THE ATLANTIC COAST AND ESTABLISHING A NORTHEAST FLOW REGIME OVER OUR AREA. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN LOW TOPPED SHOWERS FOR MOST AREAS AS WELL AS COOLER AFTERNOON HIGHS. AS WE GET INTO THE LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK...IT BECOMES MORE UNCERTAIN AS THE LATEST GFS ADVERTISES A WAVE INTERACTING WITH HIGH TO THE NORTH TO PRODUCE A STOUT NORTHEAST FLOW REGIME. WILL NOT MAKE MANY CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED AT THIS TIME AND SEE HOW FUTURE RUNS PAN OUT. && .AVIATION...NUMEROUS TS/SHRA WILL LOWER FLIGHT CAT TO IFR THRU THE EVNG HOURS. AN EARLY START TO ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED AGAIN WEDNESDAY AND HAVE INCLUDED VCTS AFTER 15Z BUT WILL KEEP VFR UNTIL AFTER 18Z. && .MARINE...LATEST BUOY OBS REPORT WINDS SW 10-15 KTOR HIGHER AS SHOWERS APPROACH. CMAN SITE NEAR ST AUGUSTINE (SAUF1) HAD A SHIFT TO SE WINDS AS SEA BREEZE TRIED TO DVLP. SW WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTH TO SE AS TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS NWD THURS-SAT. WINDS/SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS NE WINDS SET UP SUNDAY. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 70 89 71 89 / 60 60 60 60 SSI 75 86 76 86 / 70 60 60 50 JAX 73 90 73 89 / 70 60 60 50 SGJ 73 88 75 88 / 70 60 60 50 GNV 71 90 72 91 / 70 60 60 50 OCF 71 91 72 91 / 70 50 50 50 && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GA...NONE. AM...NONE. && DEESE/TRABERT/KEEGAN
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 500 AM EDT TUE SEP 11 2007 FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-121000- ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY- CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE- COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)- GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM- ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-WAYNE- 500 AM EDT TUE SEP 11 2007 THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA. MORNING ACTIVITY WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE SUWANNEE VALLEY AREA OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA...WITH CONVECTION SPREADING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. THE MAIN THREAT FROM STORMS WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY... AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN LIKELY THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX. CARROLL
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 438 PM EDT TUE SEP 11 2007 FLZ038-112130- FLAGLER- 438 PM EDT TUE SEP 11 2007 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR FLAGLER COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 530 PM EDT... AT 438 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 14 MILES NORTH OF PALM COAST TO 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ANDALUSIA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND ANDALUSIA...ESPANOLA...PALM COAST...BUNNELL AND FLAGLER BEACH THROUGH 530 PM EDT. EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS. REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. HURLBUT
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 507 PM EDT TUE SEP 11 2007 FLZ040-112145- MARION- 507 PM EDT TUE SEP 11 2007 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR EAST CENTRAL MARION COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 545 PM EDT... AT 507 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF LYNNE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND THE OCALA NATIONAL FOREST THROUGH 545 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS. REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. DEESE
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 532 PM EDT TUE SEP 11 2007 FLZ038-112215- FLAGLER- 532 PM EDT TUE SEP 11 2007 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHEASTERN FLAGLER COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 615 PM EDT... AT 532 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED OVER FLAGLER COUNTY...OR 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ORMOND BEACH...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND DUPONT THROUGH 615 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS. REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. DEESE
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 633 PM EDT TUE SEP 11 2007 FLZ040-112315- MARION- 633 PM EDT TUE SEP 11 2007 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHEASTERN MARION COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 715 PM EDT... AT 633 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 23 MILES NORTHEAST OF WEIRSDALE TO WEIRSDALE...MOVING EAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND WEIRSDALE THROUGH 715 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS. REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. ZAPPE
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 716 PM EDT TUE SEP 11 2007 FLZ040-120000- MARION- 716 PM EDT TUE SEP 11 2007 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHEASTERN MARION COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 800 PM EDT... AT 716 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM JUNIPER SPRINGS TO 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF MOSS BLUFF TO 8 MILES SOUTH OF MOSS BLUFF... WITH LITTLE MOVEMENT. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND MOSS BLUFF AND JUNIPER SPRINGS THROUGH 800 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS. REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. ZAPPE
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 802 PM EDT TUE SEP 11 2007 FLZ040-120045- MARION- 802 PM EDT TUE SEP 11 2007 ...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHEASTERN MARION COUNTY FOR STRONG WINDS...SMALL HAIL AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 845 PM EDT... AT 802 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SUMMERFIELD TO 15 MILES EAST OF WEIRSDALE...MOVING SLOWLY NORTH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND WEIRSDALE... SUMMERFIELD...LAKE WEIR AND OCKLAWAHA THROUGH 845 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS. REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. ZAPPE
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.
A trained spotter reported heavy rainfall and 2 to 3 inches of standing water on the roadways between Weirsdale and Oklawaha in Marion county. Radar estimates were near 4 inches with locally higher amounts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, September 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 52627.