Long term rainfall deficits along with recent lack of rain led to the continuation of drought conditions to much of Collier County.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MFL wrote it up.
Long term rainfall deficits along with recent lack of rain led to the continuation of drought conditions to much of Collier County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 31, 9:00 PM EST, 3 hours earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1000 PM EDT FRI AUG 31 2007 .UPDATE...AFTERNOON/EVENING ACTIVITY OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DISSIPATE AND BE OVER BY ABOUT MIDNIGHT. CURRENT FORECAST PACKAGE INDICATE THIS AND SO NO CHANGES WILL BE MADE. REST OF THE PACKAGE STILL ON TRACK. .AVIATION...AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM AFTERNOON/EVENING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS WAS MOVING EAST AND COULD MOVE THROUGH THE TAF SITE OF FXE BETWEEN 1Z AND 3Z. SO WILL SHOW A WND SHIFT TO THE WEST AT THIS SITE DURING THIS TIME...AND KEEP IT THROUGH REST OF THE NIGHT. FOR REST OF THE TAF SITES...WILL SHOW A DRAINAGE WND FLOW LATE TONIGHT MAINLY AFTER 4Z. FOR SATURDAY...BOTH SEA BREEZES SHOULD DEVELOP AND PUSH INLAND THROUGH THE DAY. SO WILL INDICATE THIS IN THE TAF SITES FOR SATURDAY ALONG WITH VCSH AFTER 15Z. THE SKY CONDITIONS WILL ALSO REMAIN IN VFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. RGH/BNB .DISCUSSION... A WEAK SURFACE LOW CONTINUES TO FORM ACROSS SOUTH GEORGIA AND NORTH FLORIDA. THE ASSOCIATED PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA IS WEAK AND THE GRADIENT FLOW IS WEAK AS WELL. THIS HAS ALLOWED THE WEST AND EAST COAST SEA BREEZES TO DEVELOP. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT VERY SLOWLY NORTH THROUGH MONDAY WITH THE GRADIENT FLOW REMAINING WEAK THROUGH MONDAY. A MORE SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE REGION THROUGH MONDAY. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO INCREASE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA OVER THE WEEKEND INTO MONDAY. IT APPEARS THAT THE MOISTURE SUPPLY WILL BE MAINLY IN THE LOW LEVELS BELOW 700 MB. SO THE MOISTURE SUPPLY WILL HELP TO INCREASE CHANCES OF PRECIP THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO MONDAY. BUT OTHER SYNOPTIC FACTORS DO NOT LOOK LIKE THEY WILL HELP IN THE ORGANIZATION OF SUSTAINED CONVECTION. THE LOW LEVEL WIND PROFILE IS ALSO NOT FAVORABLE. SO GIVEN ALL THIS...MAINLY SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO MONDAY. && .AVIATION... AFTERNOON CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG SEA BREEZE AND OTHER MESOSCALE BOUNDARIES...PRIMARILY AFFECTING THE NORTHERN INTERIOR PORTION OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH EARLY EVENING. THIS ACTIVITY WILL MOST LIKELY AFFECT KPBI/KFLL/KFXE...AND WILL MAINTAIN VCSH/CB AND AMEND AS NECESSARY. EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS OVERNIGHT...WITH DEVELOPING LAND BREEZE ALONG BOTH COASTS AND ONLY FEW HIGH-BASED CU. WILL NOT MENTION A POTENTIAL FOR MVFR VSBYS WITH BR/HZ ON SATURDAY MORNING...GIVEN DEVELOPING EASTERLY TRAJECTORIES. INCREASING MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN A GREATER COVERAGE OF STORMS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WITH MOST ACTIVITY OCCURRING BEYOND THE SCOPE OF THIS FORECAST. 70/DD && .MARINE... LIGHT SURFACE WINDS AND TRANQUIL SEAS ACROSS REGIONAL WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. && .FIRE WEATHER... NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... WEST PALM BEACH 76 90 77 90 / 20 30 20 40 FORT LAUDERDALE 77 90 78 89 / 20 30 20 40 MIAMI 75 91 77 91 / 20 30 20 40 NAPLES 76 93 76 93 / 20 30 20 40 && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. AM...NONE. GM...NONE. && LONG TERM...60/BD SHORT TERM/AVIATION...70/DD
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1013 PM EDT FRI AUG 31 2007 FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-011300- GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER- INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE- METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH- COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE- 1013 PM EDT FRI AUG 31 2007 ...A FEW STORMS EAST COAST METRO AREAS TONIGHT... ...ISOLATED STORMS ATLANTIC AND GULF WATERS TONIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT THUNDERSTORMS: THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT OVER THE ATLANTIC AND GULF WATERS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD EVEN MOVE INTO THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS BEFORE DISSIPATING. THE MAIN IMPACTS WILL BE LIGHTNING STRIKES AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. IF YOU SEE LIGHTNING OR HEAR THUNDER MOVE INSIDE UNTIL THE STORMS HAVE PASS BY. NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY. LIGHTNING STRIKES AND LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS WITH THE STORMS. NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI. BAXTER
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Below normal rain during the first half of September, along with long term rainfall deficits, resulted in the continuation of severe drought conditions for much of Collier County.
Below normal rain during the first half of September, along with long term rainfall deficits, resulted in the continuation of severe drought conditions for much of Collier County.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, September 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 60569, 60571.