A surface low offshore of the southeast Atlantic seaboard trailed a weak trough across the forecast area. This boundary as well as plentiful moisture and light winds spawned a few slow moving storms across the forecast area in the afternoon and evening.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.
A surface low offshore of the southeast Atlantic seaboard trailed a weak trough across the forecast area. This boundary as well as plentiful moisture and light winds spawned a few slow moving storms across the forecast area in the afternoon and evening.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 6, 1:48 PM EST, 1 hour 27 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 248 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2007 .SHORT TERM...WEAK SFC LOW OBSERVED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE APPROXIMATELY 90 MILES OFF THE JACKSONVILLE COAST IS MOVING TO THE ENE. TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE REMAINS ALONG THE COAST AND EXTENDS THROUGH FLORIDA. HIGH PRESSURE IS SITUATED OVER THE GOMEX WITH A LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT BROUGHT FLOODING TO THE PLAINS FINALLY BEGINNING TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES. FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING EXPECT THE BEST CHANCES OF RAIN OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA WHERE PWATS ARE APPROACHING THE 2.25 INCH MARK. THIS IN COMBO WITH WEAK STEERING FLOW OF APPROXIMATELY 5 KT BRINGS POTENTIAL FOR NEARLY STATIONARY HEAVY DOWNPOURS. FOR THE WEEKEND...TROUGHING ALONG THE EAST COAST FINALLY SHIFTS EASTWARD TOWARDS GA/FL. THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER AND DEEP MOISTURE THAT IS NOW SITUATED IN WESTERN LOUISIANA WILL SHIFT EASTWARD AS WELL. EXPECT INCREASING CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THIS WEEKEND AS THIS SYSTEM AND LOCAL SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE INFLUENCE DEVELOPMENT. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE HEAVY DOWNPOURS...GUSTY WINDS...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. .LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...BY MONDAY DEEP MOISTURE WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND. RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DIURNAL CONVECTION EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON. BY FRIDAY ANOTHER SLOW MOVING TROUGH WILL BREAK DOWN THIS RIDGE AND STALL ALONG THE EAST COAST. && .AVIATION...HAVE TS IN VICINITY FOR CSTL TAF SITES THIS AFTN. BEST CHANCES FOR TS WILL BE AT GNV AND HAVE TEMPO FOR IFR VSBY AND GUSTY WINDS. FOG WILL BE PATCHY LATE TONIGHT AND HAVE MVFR VSBY FOR 2-3 HOURS. && .MARINE...WEAK LOW PRES SYSTEM IS BEYOND THE OFFSHORE WATERS AND WINDS ARE GENERALLY N TO NE AND WILL BECOME MORE EAST NEAR SHORE. WINDS WILL BE S TO SW THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRES RIDGE BUILDS OVER SOUTH FL. GFS SHOWS STRONG SLY WINDS SUNDAY NIGHT THRU MONDAY AND HAVE BLENDED THESE WITH CURRENT GRIDS FOR CONTINUITY. NAM ACTUALLY HAS A STRONGER PRES GRADIENT...SO IT DOES SEEM REASONABLE TO EXPECT AT LEAST SCEC SUN NGT AND MON. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 72 93 72 91 / 20 60 40 50 SSI 76 89 75 89 / 20 50 40 50 JAX 73 92 73 92 / 30 50 40 50 SGJ 74 89 74 90 / 30 50 40 40 GNV 72 93 73 92 / 30 60 20 40 OCF 73 92 73 91 / 40 60 20 40 && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GA...NONE. AM...NONE. && HURLBUT/TRABERT/WALKER
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 535 AM EDT FRI JUL 6 2007 FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-071000- HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY- ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE- JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY- INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN- COASTAL CAMDEN- 535 AM EDT FRI JUL 6 2007 THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... ...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON... ...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN SOUTH OF JACKSONVILLE THIS AFTERNOON... ...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES TODAY... A MOIST AND UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL COMBINE WITH A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE AREA TO PRODUCE SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL BE AGAIN BE GENERALLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM GAINESVILLE TO ST AUGUSTINE. SOME STORMS WILL BE STRONG ESPECIALLY AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND POSSIBLY STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS BUT NO SEVERE STORMS ARE ANTICIPATED. STEERING WINDS REMAIN LIGHT WHICH WILL RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OF OVER 2 INCHES IN SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS. THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES TODAY. RIP CURRENTS WERE REPORTED YESTERDAY. REFER TO THE SURF ZONE FORECAST FOR MORE DETAILS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY. THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO SELF-ACTIVATE TODAY IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX. PP
The Jacksonville radar (KJAX), 17 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:15 UTC.
1 lightning, 1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.
Lightning struck an air conditioner at a home in north Arlington on Sanders Road. The strike caused a small fire. The cost of damage was estimated.
Heavy rainfall caused street flooding at South 18th Street and A1A in Flagler Beach. The Department of Transportation had to barricade the street until the water subsided.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, July 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 44040, 44041.