A band of thunderstorms, triggered by an upper level low pressure system passing to the south of Arkansas, produced isolated severe storms in southern Arkansas on the 14th.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LZK wrote it up.
A band of thunderstorms, triggered by an upper level low pressure system passing to the south of Arkansas, produced isolated severe storms in southern Arkansas on the 14th.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 14, 1:15 PM CST, 1 hour 27 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 215 PM CDT WED MAR 14 2007 .SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT UPPER LOW SPINNING OVER NORTH TEXAS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ARKLATEX REGION AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS THROUGH TONIGHT. MODELS STILL AGREEING ON BIG SWATH OF MOISTURE COMING UP FROM LOUISIANA DURING THE EVENING AS THE LOW MOVES ACROSS TO THE SOUTH OF ARKANSAS. THIS WILL KEEP SHOWERS LIKELY OVER ABOUT THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA. AS THE LOW MOVES EAST AND OUT OF THE AREA...DRIER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION...WITH MOISTURE SIGNIFICANTLY DECREASING. FOCUS THEN SHIFTS TO WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH. UPPER LOW WILL PULL THE FRONT FORWARD AND INTO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...MODELS NOW ARE MUCH MORE PESSIMISTIC WITH THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM...AND HAVE BEEN FOR THE LAST SEVERAL RUNS. THEREFORE...HAVE REDUCED POPS...AND ENDED PRECIP BY 12Z FRIDAY MORNING...AS THE FRONT WASHES OUT INVOF SOUTHERN ARKANSAS/NORTHERN LOUISIANA. AS FAR AS TEMPERATURES GO...WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE UPPER LOW... READINGS WILL GO BACK DOWN TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS...AS NORTHWESTERLY FLOW SETS UP IN THE UPPER LEVELS. && .LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BE PREDOMINANT AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD...WITH A SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE REGION. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE PRESENT INITIALLY. HOWEVER...BY THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK...A WARMING TREND WILL TAKE PLACE AS THE SURFACE RIDGE MOVES EASTWARD...AND WEAK RETURN FLOW SETS UP. BY MONDAY...UPPER FLOW WILL BEGIN TO FLATTEN OUT A BIT...AS A SURFACE FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION. THIS WILL ACT TO SLOW THE SYSTEM DOWN A BIT. ANOTHER INHIBITING FACTOR WILL BE THE STRENGTHENING OF A MID-LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION. THE FRONT WILL LIKELY STALL OUT INVOF SOUTHERN MISSOURI OR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA BY TUESDAY. WILL KEEP SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN FOR TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...AS SEVERAL IMPULSES MOVE THROUGH IN THE MEAN FLOW...AND INTERACT WITH MOISTURE IN THE WARM SECTOR. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BATESVILLE AR 54 65 41 58 / 60 30 30 10 CAMDEN AR 55 77 48 66 / 70 30 30 10 HARRISON AR 51 64 38 58 / 30 30 30 10 HOT SPRINGS AR 54 73 48 64 / 60 30 30 10 LITTLE ROCK AR 56 72 47 63 / 70 30 30 10 MONTICELLO AR 57 73 49 64 / 70 30 30 10 MOUNT IDA AR 50 74 44 63 / 50 30 30 10 MOUNTAIN HOME AR 53 65 39 60 / 40 30 30 10 NEWPORT AR 54 65 42 59 / 70 40 30 10 PINE BLUFF AR 56 73 48 63 / 70 30 30 10 RUSSELLVILLE AR 51 68 41 61 / 50 30 30 10 SEARCY AR 54 71 45 61 / 70 40 30 10 STUTTGART AR 56 71 47 61 / 70 40 30 10 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && SHORT AND LONG TERM...57/222
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 500 AM CDT WED MAR 14 2007 ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-151000- ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND- CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING- INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE- MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE- PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE- WOODRUFF-YELL- 500 AM CDT WED MAR 14 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE...REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE TOWARD THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY. THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO BE TO THE SOUTH OF ARKANSAS. HOWEVER AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH MARGINALLY LARGE HAIL OR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS CANNOT BE RULED OUT. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS ARKANSAS ON THURSDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER THE FRONT PASSES. SEVERE WEATHER IS GENERALLY NOT EXPECTED BUT ONCE AGAIN AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO COULD BECOME STRONG ENOUGH LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING TO PRODUCE MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. && VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK ON CENTRAL ARKANSAS. 29
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 159 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:43 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Thunderstorm winds caused minor damage to a horse barn on Valley Junction Road.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, March 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 11203.