Alaska, 2007

Extreme Cold in Alaska, February 22 to 23, 2007

February 22 to 23, 2007 · NWS AFG · 1 event in 1 county or zone

With very cold air over the North Slope, east winds increased to 15 to 25 mph on the 22nd over the Western Arctic Coast, creating Extreme Wind Chills until clouds moved in during late morning of the 23rd, raising temperatures. The coldest Wind Chills were reported were: Wainwright ASOS - 63 F; Point Lay AWOS -70 F.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AFG wrote it up.

With very cold air over the North Slope, east winds increased to 15 to 25 mph on the 22nd over the Western Arctic Coast, creating Extreme Wind Chills until clouds moved in during late morning of the 23rd, raising temperatures. The coldest Wind Chills were reported were: Wainwright ASOS - 63 F; Point Lay AWOS -70 F.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 22, 12:00 AM AKST, 5 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 22, 12:00 AM AKST, 5 hours 53 minutes before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
500 AM AST THU FEB 22 2007

.DISCUSSION...DEEP COLD 495 DM UPPER LOW NOW CENTERED
JUST S OF MACKENZIE DELTA INLAND E OF OLD CROW. ONLY
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH IT ARE MID/HIGH CLOUDS FROM
SHORT-WAVE DROPPING S ON BACK-SIDE OF IT OVER CENTRAL
INTERIOR.

MODELS DIFFER TO SOME DEGREE IN SHORT-TERM ON PLACEMENT
AND DURATION OF UPPER LOW...BUT ACTUALLY RESOLVE THESE AND
COME TOGETHER BETTER IN MID/LONGER TERM. NAM AND ECMWF
KEEP UPPER LOW IN PLACE THROUGH SAT OVER YUKON/ALCAN BORDER
AREA...WHILE GFS SPLITS LOW FRI WITH MAIN PORTION RETREATING
BACK NWRD OVER ARCTIC IN RESPONSE TO SHORT-WAVE MOVING ESE FROM
SIBERIA UNDERCUTTING IT. AT THIS TIME STILL PREFER NAM/ECMWF
SOLUTION...AS IT IS MORE CONSISTENT AND INITIALIZES A LITTLE
BETTER.

COLD -30 TO -34C AIR THEN WILL REMAIN OVER ERN HALF N SLOPE
AND CENTRAL/ERN INTERIOR UNTIL ABOUT 00Z SUN. LITTLE IN THE
WAY OF CLOUDS WILL KEEP TEMPS. VERY COLD THESE AREAS THROUGH
THEN. FIRST SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO PATTERN WILL BE A SHORT-WAVE
ALL MODELS FORECAST TO SLIDE E FROM SIBERIA OVER CHUKCHI SEA
FRI...THEN SE TOWARD WRN GULF AK/S-CENTRAL AK SAT. THIS WILL
BRING SOME -SN TO MOST OF W COAST FRI...AND AT LEAST SOME
FLURRIES TO WRN INTERIOR FRI NIGHT. RESIDUAL CLOUDS FROM THIS
AND WEAK DYNAMICS WILL BRING CLOUDS OVER INTERIOR E TO ABOUT
PARC-PAFA SAT...AND POSSIBLY SOME FLURRIES. THIS WOULD ALSO
MODERATE TEMPS. A BIT.

MODELS ALSO CONSISTENT AND AGREE IN SHOWING MUCH STRONGER
WAVE WITH STRONG CONSOLIDATED WRLY JET FLOW ROARING E FROM
SIBERIA SUN/MON. THIS WOULD BRING MORE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALLS
TO W COAST/WRN INTERIOR SUN/SUN NIGHT...AND TO INTERIOR MON.
THIS KIND OF STRONG WAVE WITH FAST CYCLONIC WSWRLY LOW-MID
LEVEL FLOW COULD BE HEAVY SNOW PRODUCER FOR AREAS LIKE PATA-
PAFA. ONLY PROBLEM IS TRAJECTORY OF THIS FLOW IS MOSTLY OVER
ICE-COVERED BERING...AND MOISTURE AVAILABILITY WOULD LIKELY
BE LIMITED. BUT SHOULD BE GOOD ENOUGH FOR AT LEAST 1-2 INCHES
SNOW ANYWAY FOR CENTRAL INTERIOR MON E TO ABOUT SALCHA.
MODERATION OF TEMPS. WILL BE FULLY UNDERWAY FOR INTERIOR SAT.
EVENING THROUGH MON. WITH INCREASING CLOUD COVER AND RETREAT
OF COLDEST AIR E INTO CANADA.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR AKZ225-AKZ226.
&&

MAR FEB 07

Event by event

1 extreme cold/wind chill. Local standard time, as filed.

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill, Western Arctic Coast

When
February 22, 5:53 AM AKST to February 23, 12:56 PM AKST
Where
Western Arctic Coast forecast zone
Reported by
AWOS

What these are

Extreme Cold/Wind Chill
Temperatures or wind chills at or below the local warning criteria, or cold that caused deaths.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, February 2007

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 9949.