September 15 Severe Thunderstorm Event Summary: Scattered thunderstorms developed over the extreme southern panhandle and the South Plains of west Texas during the late afternoon and evening hours of the 15th. Several of these storms became severe and produced large hail.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LUB wrote it up.
September 15 Severe Thunderstorm Event Summary: Scattered thunderstorms developed over the extreme southern panhandle and the South Plains of west Texas during the late afternoon and evening hours of the 15th. Several of these storms became severe and produced large hail. No significant property or agricultural damage was reported.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 15, 2:22 PM CST, 3 hours 38 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 322 PM CDT FRI SEP 15 2006 .SHORT TERM... LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE MAINTAINING HOPE OF THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN THE SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE TEXAS-NEW MEXICO BORDER. TEMPERATURES AS OF 3 PM WERE STILL CREEPING UP TOWARDS THE 86-88 DEGREE MARK NEEDED TO BREAK THROUGH THE PESKY WARM LAYER AROUND 13000 FEET OFF THE GROUND. ANY STORMS THAT EMERGE WILL REAP THE BENEFIT OF STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND ADEQUATE CAPES FOR A THREAT OF FAST MOVING (TO THE NORTHEAST) SUPERCELLS. LATEST DAY ONE CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK HAS EDGED SLIGHT RISK AREA FURTHER SOUTH AND WEST TO COVER GREATER PART OF OUR AREA...ALTHOUGH THE ABOVE MENTIONED CAP CREATES UNCERTAINTY OF STORMS INITIATING. OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST STILL APPEARS VALID AND WAS LARGELY RETAINED FOR TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS DIPS DOWN INTO THE SOUTHWEST AND A HEALTHY UPPER LEVEL JET CORE CROSSES JUST TO OUR NORTH. VEERING FLOW ALOFT SATURDAY SHOULD PUSH BEST MOISTURE OVER EASTERN ZONES BY AFTERNOON...AGAIN MUCH AS IN OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST. WE MAY ALSO SEE ANOTHER MORNING STRATUS EVENT...PROBABLY BEST JUST OFF THE CAPROCK. MIXING AND WARMING DOWNSLOPE COMPONENT SUPPORTS TEMPERATURES SATURDAY IN THE 90S MOST PLACES. MCQUEEN .LONG TERM... SCATTERED CONVECTION MAY BE ONGOING AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD SATURDAY EVENING AFTER FORMATION ALONG SFC TROUGH. AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES A COLD FRONT WILL AT LEAST TO THE DOORSTEP JUST NORTH OF THE FCST AREA IF NOT INTO THE FCST AREA PER THE WRF. THIS LATTER EVENT WILL KEEP A CHANCE OF PRECIP GOING ACROSS THE NERN PART OF THE AREA THROUGH THE NIGHT. SOME CONCERN WITH HOW FAR NORTH THE DEEP MOISTURE FROM TROPICAL STORM LANE WILL MAKE IT BEFORE BEING SHUNTED EWD BY THE UPPER TROUGH CROSSING THE PLAINS. MODELS SUGGEST SOME OF THIS MOISTURE MAY MAKE IT INTO THE SERN THIRD OF THE AREA...POSSIBLY INTERACTING WITH EITHER THE ONGOING EVENING CONVECTION OR POSSIBLE LATER CONVECTION ALONG THE ENCROACHING COLD FRONT. IF IT DOES WE WILL HAVE SOME POTENTIAL FOR SOME HEAVIER SHOWERS...BUT DEFINITELY NOT ENOUGH OF A THREAT TO MENTION FURTHER ATTM. BUT IT DOES LEND CREDENCE TO CONTINUED PRECIP THREAT ALONG THE SWD MOVING FRONT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. TEMPS SUNDAY WITH THE FRONT MOVING THROUGH WILL SERVE AS THE OTHER CHALLENGE...PARTICULARLY WITH SLIGHT DIFFERENCES WITH FRONTAL TIMING. ALTHOUGH SOME DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE WRF AND GFS THEIR RESPECTIVE MOS GUIDANCE NUMBERS ARE VERY CLOSE AND SIMILAR TO INHERITED FCST. WITH THIS CAN FIND NO REASON FOR SIGNIFICANT ADJUSTMENT ATTM. BEYOND SUNDAY THE PREVIOUS FCST LOOKS TO BE IN FINE SHAPE WITH BENIGN WEATHER ANTICIPATED BEFORE THE NEXT FRONTAL INCURSION AROUND THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... FRIONA 56 90 56 74 / 20 10 10 10 TULIA 63 91 59 76 / 20 20 10 10 PLAINVIEW 64 92 61 79 / 20 20 10 10 LEVELLAND 63 91 63 81 / 20 20 10 10 LUBBOCK 68 93 63 83 / 20 20 10 10 BROWNFIELD 66 94 66 85 / 20 10 10 10 CHILDRESS 69 95 65 80 / 20 20 20 20 SPUR 68 95 68 89 / 20 20 20 20 ASPERMONT 73 97 71 92 / 20 20 20 30 && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && 05/07
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 618 AM CDT FRI SEP 15 2006 TXZ021>044-161130- PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE- FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING- YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL- 618 AM CDT FRI SEP 15 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT CONVECTIVE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECT TO DEVELOP ALONG A SURFACE TROUGH LOCATED NEAR THE STATE LINE THIS AFTERNOON. MODERATE INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL ALLOW A FEW OF THESE STORMS TO BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THE MOST LIKELY LOCATIONS TO EXPERIENCE THE STRONG STORMS WILL BE ALONG AND WEST OF A BROWNFIELD TO ABERNATHY TO SILVERTON LINE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS A DRYLINE TAKES SHAPE ACROSS THE CENTRAL SOUTH PLAINS. AN APPROACHING PIECE OF JET ENERGY WILL HELP TO ENHANCE ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ALONG THE DRYLINE. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN CONCERN. IF THESE STORMS CAN DEVELOP THEY WILL OCCUR ALONG AND EAST OF A TULIA TO LUBBOCK TO SILVERTON LINE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TODAY AND SATURDAY.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...COR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 635 PM CDT FRI SEP 15 2006 TXZ029-160045- HALE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PLAINVIEW 635 PM CDT FRI SEP 15 2006 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT PLAINVIEW IN HALE COUNTY BETWEEN 635 AND 7 PM... AT 630 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM LOCATED ABOUT 5 MILES WEST OF PLAINVIEW MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. THE STORM WILL AFFECT THE CITY OF PLAINVIEW AND PRODUCE BRIEF BUT STRONG WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH...SMALL HAIL AND BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS. IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. KW
The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 71 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:02 UTC.
6 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
Motorists along Interstate 27 north of Plainview encountered quarter size hail. The report was relayed by the local broadcast media.
The public reported nickel size hail in rural portions of northeastern Swisher County.
A severe thunderstorm occurred over central Hockley County during the 18:00 CST hour. Skywarn Spotters reported nickel size hail along U.S. Highway 84 just southeast of Anton as the left-moving (anticyclonic) member of a storm-split moved north-northeastward.
The right-moving (cyclonic) member of the former Hockley County storm produced hail ranging in size from pennies to quarters as it moved eastward over northern Lubbock County and southern Hale County.
The right-moving (cyclonic) member of the Hockley County storm produced large hail up to the size of quarters as it moved eastward over northern Lubbock County and southern Hale County.
A local broadcast media storm chaser reported three-quarter inch diameter hail along a one half-mile stretch of Farm to Market Road 213 west of Wellman.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, September 2006
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5532220, 5532221, 5532222, 5532223, 5532224, 5532219.