A line of showers produced severe threshold winds at Pine Springs, Texas.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
A line of showers produced severe threshold winds at Pine Springs, Texas.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 27, 6:28 PM CST, 33 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
628 PM CST MON NOV 27 2006
.UPDATE...
SCATTERED CONVECTION CONTINUES THIS EVENING ACROSS FAR WEST TEXAS
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN THIRD OF NEW MEXICO. THIS
CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING INSTABILITY AS
DEEP LAYER LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRANSLATING
NORTHEAST OVER WESTERN NEW MEXICO SOUTH ACROSS NORTHWESTERN
CHIHUAHUA COOLS THE COLUMN. FARTHER EAST...ACROSS THE PERMIAN
BASIN...NOTED A FEW MOGR CU AND WEAK ECHOES OVER THE PAST HOUR
ALONG A DRYLINE THAT EXTENDS FROM NEAR SEMINOLE SOUTH TO JUST EAST
OF FORT STOCKTON. THE 28/0000 UTC KMAF SOUNDING DOES INDICATE
MODEST INSTABILITY /LI OF -1.4C/ BUT WITH SOME INHIBITION NOTED IN
THE 850 TO 700 HPA LAYER. WITH CONTINUED COOLING OF THE PBL...WE
EXPECT CONTINUED STABILIZATION DOWN LOW...BUT AS THE COLUMN COOLS
IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING DCVA ALOFT...SOME ELEVATED INSTABILITY
MAY DEVELOP LATER THIS EVENING. AS IT STANDS...ISOLD TSRA AT BEST
WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING GENERALLY NORTHWEST OF A
VALENTINE...MIDLAND...TO GAIL LINE...WITH THE BEST CHANCES FOR
RAIN EXPECTED OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS IN
CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE DYNAMICAL FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE
AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE TROUGH.
POP AND SENSIBLE WEATHER ELEMENTS HAVE BEEN UPDATED TO REFLECT
THIS REASONING. HAVE KEPT THE QPF LOW GIVEN THE EXPECTED LOW
COVERAGE AND LOW /5-15 MM/ PRECIP WATER VALUES. CLOUDS HAVE BEEN
INCREASED AS WELL GIVEN CURRENT OBSERVATIONS AND EXPECTED TRENDS.
NO OTHER UPDATES WERE NECESSARY. TEXT PRODUCTS ARE GOOD TO GO...
GRAPHICAL PRODUCTS WILL ROLL OUT SHORTLY.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 319 PM CST MON NOV 27 2006/
SHORT TERM...
UPPER TROUGH CURRENTLY ACROSS ARIZONA WILL SWING THROUGH THE
FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT. WE WILL CONTINUE THE HIGH WIND WARNING
FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS BEHIND THIS TROUGH...THOUGH LATEST
MODEL RUNS INDICATING THE MOUNTAIN WAVE SIGNATURE OF LESS MAGNITUDE.
STILL BELIEVE THE GUADALUPE BOWL HAS A DECENT SHOT OF SEEING HIGH
WINDS AS THE STRONGER WIND FIELDS ALOFT MOVE OVER THAT AREA.
A NARROWER WINDOW FOR HIGH WINDS AT THE GUADALUPE PASS AS THE WIND
DIRECTION WILL NOT BE CONDUCIVE FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL PROBABLY STILL LINGER ACROSS THE EASTERN BASIN TOWARDS MORNING
AND WITH RATHER LIGHT WINDS MENTIONED PATCHY FOG WITH LOW CLOUDS A
POSSIBILITY. LOWERED TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE WESTERN SECTIONS OVERNIGHT
WITH CLEARING AND DRYING ANTICIPATED.
LONG TERM...
THE MAIN FOCUS CONTINUES TO BE CENTERED ON THE COLDER TEMPERATURES
HEADED FOR WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO DURING THE MIDDLE
PORTION OF THIS WEEK. SOME LIGHT WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS ALSO
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW
MEXICO.
FIRST...CONTINUED ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE FOR TUESDAY AS SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND A
WEAK THERMAL RIDGE REMAIN OVER THE REGION. VERY WINDY CONDITIONS
ARE ALSO EXPECTED ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS TUESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING. MODEL CROSS SECTIONS SHOW A VERY FAVORABLE
MOUNTAIN WAVE SIGNATURE WITH VERY IMPRESSIVE DOWNWARD OMEGA
VALUES AROUND 50 UBAR/SEC. 700MB SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE ALSO
PROGGED TO REMAIN IN THE 50-60KT RANGE. WE HAVE INCREASED WIND
SPEEDS OVER THE MOUNTAINS WITH THE ABOVE IN MIND. IT APPEARS THE
STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR DURING THE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING TIME FRAME.
850MB TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO COOL ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN CWA ON
WEDNESDAY...BUT WILL CHANGE LITTLE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS.
WE HAVE OPTED TO RAISE TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY BASED ON THE ABOVE
REASONING. THE SHORT RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW DISAGREEMENT
WITH REGARDS TO THE TIMING OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY...WITH THE
WRF12 TRENDING SLOWER THAN THE GFS40. WE HAVE DELAYED THE ARRIVAL
OF THE COLD FRONT A FEW HOURS...BUT DO NOT FEEL COMFORTABLE GOING
MUCH MORE THAN THAT AT THE PRESENT TIME GIVEN THE MODELS TYPICALLY
DO POOR WITH A SHALLOW...COLD AIRMASS. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD
RAPIDLY PUSH SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY AFTER SUNSET AS
GUSTY NORTH WINDS SPREAD OVER THE REGION. LOCALLY STRONG GAP WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS. WE WILL HOLD OFF
ON A HIGH WIND WARNING FOR NOW AND WILL OPT TO WAIT FOR A LITTLE
BETTER AGREEMENT WITH REGARDS TO THE FRONTAL POSITION. MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THURSDAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES SOME 20 TO
30 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. ALONG WITH THE MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES
WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE PERMIAN
BASIN...WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
PLAINS LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL BE
FAVORED OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND THE NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN
BASIN AS MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT IN THE -10C
TO -15C DEGREE LAYER. FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE WESTERN LOW
ROLLING PLAINS AND PERMIAN BASIN...MOISTURE IS LACKING IN THE MID-
LEVELS...SO A MENTION OF FREEZING DRIZZLE HAS BEEN ADDED INSTEAD
OF SNOW. LITTLE OR NOW ACCUMULATION OF FROZEN PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED.
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN A SLOW WARMING TREND THROUGH FRIDAY...BUT
ARE STILL EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW NORMAL. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE INTO THE REGION ON SATURDAY WITH A CONTINUATION OF BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH MONDAY.
FIRE WEATHER...
APPEARS AT THIS TIME THAT FIRE WEATHER THREAT IS LOW TOMORROW. WINDS
WILL BE A PROBLEM IN AREAS NEARING 15 PERCENT AND RH/S WILL BE A
PROBLEM WHERE 20 FOOT WINDS NEAR 20 MPH. SOME CONCERN FOR THE DAY WEDNESDAY
IF THE FRONT ENDS UP ACTUALLY PROGRESSING LATER RATHER THAN SOONER...
LATER SHIFTS WILL NEED TO MONITOR.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX 50 72 52 64 / 10 0 0 10
CARLSBAD NM 42 70 46 58 / 20 0 0 0
DRYDEN TX 53 75 53 73 / 10 0 0 10
FORT STOCKTON TX 51 76 51 74 / 10 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS TX 43 63 42 57 / 20 0 0 0
HOBBS NM 40 71 43 57 / 20 0 0 10
MARFA TX 34 67 36 67 / 10 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX 48 74 50 67 / 10 0 0 10
ODESSA TX 48 75 51 68 / 10 0 0 10
WINK TX 42 78 47 72 / 10 0 0 10
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM MST WEDNESDAY
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY
COUNTY.
TX...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM MST WEDNESDAY
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.
&&
70/02HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 650 PM CST MON NOV 27 2006 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-281200- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR- REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND- GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA- PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 650 PM CST MON NOV 27 2006 /550 PM MST MON NOV 27 2006/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY EVENING OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF WEST TEXAS...GENERALLY NORTHWEST OF A VALENTINE TEXAS...MIDLAND TEXAS...TO GAIL TEXAS LINE. GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND DEADLY LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORM THIS EVENING. STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS TONIGHT. WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY STRONG WEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE TO 35 TO 50 MPH ON TUESDAY AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY WITH GUSTS OVER HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE. THESE WINDS WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS THROUGH GUADALUPE PASS ON U.S. 62/180...AND A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. THESE WINDS...ALONG WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS...WILL ALSO RESULT IN CONDITIONS FAVORING RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AN ARCTIC AIRMASS IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS BY THE MIDDLE OF THIS WEEK. THE LEADING EDGE OF THIS ARCTIC AIR WILL ARRIVE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND SPREAD SOUTH ACROSS ALL OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE COLD THURSDAY...WITH MOST LOCATIONS SEEING HIGH TEMPERATURES SOME 20 TO 30 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. THESE TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL RESULT IN LOW WIND CHILL READINGS THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. IN ADDITION...STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS THROUGH GUADALUPE PASS ARE FORECAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY AND MAY CREATE TRAVEL PROBLEMS FOR MOTORISTS UNTIL THESE WINDS SUBSIDE FRIDAY. LASTLY... A HARD FREEZE...WITH LOWS IN THE MID TEENS TO THE MID 20S...WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS ALL OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO THURSDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND 70
The El Paso radar (KEPZ), 179 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 01:00 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
The Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at Guadalupe Pass (KGDP) recorded a wind gust of 60 mph associated with outflow from a passing line of showers.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, November 2006
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 6040.