Hail in South Dakota, August 24, 2006

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR SOUTHEAST SD/SOUTHWEST MN/NORTHWEST IA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
300 PM CDT THU AUG 24 2006

.DISCUSSION...
WRM FNT STILL LOCATED FM HON TO N OF MWM. HVWR...NOT MUCH OCCURRING
ON THIS BNDRY WITH MAIN ACTIVITY FURTHER N ON H85 BNDRY WHERE MID
LEVE TEMPS ARE COOLER. AIRMASS APPEARS TO BE CAPPED EVEN JUST N OF
FNT. NOT SURE IF MUCH WL GO NR WARMFNT THIS EVE...BUT WL STILL KEEP
A CHC IN AS MODELS DO HINT AT A LITTLE MID LEVEL COOLING DURING EVE
NEAR THE FNT. ACRS REST OF CWA...ANY TRW THAT DOES OCCUR WL HAVE TO
BE ALONG CDFNT WHICH WL SWEEP SEWD ACRS CWA OVERNIGHT. MAIN FNT
LOCATED IN CNTRL SD WITH SFC TROF ALONG JAMES RVR VALLEY. THIS TROF
SHUD STALL AND DISSIPATE IN RESPONSE TO PRES FALLS AHEAD OF MAIN
FNT. MAIN S/W WL CONT TO MOVE EWD ACRS ND INTO NRN MN AND
CONVERGENCE WL NOT BE ALL THAT GREAT ALONG CDFNT. SO FOR NOW WL JUST
GO WITH 20% POPS ALONG CDFNT...BUT WL UP TO 30% LATER TONIGHT ACRS
NW IA AS FNT SLOWS A BIT AND SOME COOLER MIDE LEVEL AIR CATCHES UP
WITH FNT...PSBLY BREAKING CAP A LTL BETTER. IF ANY STORMS BECOME
SVR...MAINLY HAIL AND WND.

LOOKS DRY AND PLEASANT ON FRI WITH PLENTY OF SUN AND LOWER HUMIDITY.
WEAK S/W WL MOVE ACRS CNTRL PLAINS LATE FRI NITR AND SAT AND MAY
BRING A FEW RW- TO NW IA ON SAT. SHUD REMAIN PLEASANT WITH TEMPS NR
OR SLIGHTLY BLO NORM.

SUITE OF MODELS PORTEND SHORTWAVE OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES EJECTING
INTO THE WESTERN PLAINS OVER THE WEEKEND. MODELS PROJECT A VARIETY
OF TRAJECTORIES...WITH THE ECMWF ADVERTISING A SOUTHERN SOLUTION
TAKING THE WAVE WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA...WHILE THE GFS AND
CANADIAN CONTINUE TO KEEP THE WAVE FURTHER NORTH BRUSHING THE
SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE CWA LATE ON SUNDAY. HAVE KEPT POPS AT SLIGHT
CHANCE WITH THIS FEATURE AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND ATMOSPHERIC
INSTABILITY APPEAR TO BE SEVERELY LIMITED.

CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT EAST ON MONDAY SETTING UP A VERY
BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS INTO THE WESTERN PLAINS. THIS WILL RESULT IN A GRADUAL
WARMING TREND...LIGHT WINDS...AND MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE CWA LATE IN THE
WEEK...BUT HAVE NOT ADDED POPS AS FRONTAL PASSAGE LOOKS TO BE JUST
OUTSIDE OF THE SEVEN DAY PERIOD.

&&

.FSD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
NE...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
420 PM CDT THU AUG 24 2006

SDZ038>040-050-052>071-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-098-
IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-NEZ013-014-251200-
AURORA-BEADLE-BON HOMME-BROOKINGS-BRULE-BUENA VISTA IA-
CHARLES MIX-CHEROKEE IA-CLAY-CLAY IA-COTTONWOOD MN-DAKOTA NE-
DAVISON-DICKINSON IA-DIXON NE-DOUGLAS-GREGORY-HANSON-HUTCHINSON-
IDA IA-JACKSON MN-JERAULD-KINGSBURY-LAKE-LINCOLN-LINCOLN MN-
LYON IA-LYON MN-MCCOOK-MINER-MINNEHAHA-MOODY-MURRAY MN-NOBLES MN-
OBRIEN IA-OSCEOLA IA-PIPESTONE MN-PLYMOUTH IA-ROCK MN-SANBORN-
SIOUX IA-TURNER-UNION-WOODBURY IA-YANKTON-
420 PM CDT THU AUG 24 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA...
SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...NORTHWEST IOWA...AND NORTHEAST NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE STRONGEST STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 90 WHERE UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL...WINDS TO
65 MPH AND  AN ISOLATED TORNADO ARE POSSIBLE. ALONG AND SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 90...ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH HAIL
TO HALF DOLLAR SIZE AND WINDS TO 65 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER 5 PM CDT.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/FSD. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

RSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
704 PM CDT THU AUG 24 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     4 NW WOLSEY             44.45N 98.53W
08/24/2006                   BEADLE             SD   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FUNNEL CLOUD MOVING SOUTHEAST.

0633 PM     TORNADO          4 W WOLSEY              44.41N 98.55W
08/24/2006                   BEADLE             SD   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TORNADO DAMAGED POWER LINES AND HOMES BETWEEN WESSINGTON
            AND WOLSEY.

0640 PM     TORNADO          WESSINGTON              44.45N 98.70W
08/24/2006                   BEADLE             SD   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTI VORTEX TORNADO WITH AT LEAST 3 FUNNELS CAUSING
            DAMAGE NEAR WESSINGTON.

0640 PM     TORNADO          5 W WOLSEY              44.41N 98.58W
08/24/2006                   BEADLE             SD   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TORNADO A QUARTER MILE WIDE WEST OF WOLSEY.

0642 PM     TORNADO          1 S WESSINGTON          44.44N 98.70W
08/24/2006                   BEADLE             SD   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TORNADO DAMAGE SOUTH OF WESSINGTON.

0642 PM     TORNADO          4 SE WESSINGTON         44.41N 98.64W
08/24/2006                   BEADLE             SD   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TORNADO OBSERVED SOUTHEAST OF WESSINGTON.

0645 PM     TORNADO          4 NW WOLSEY             44.45N 98.53W
08/24/2006                   BEADLE             SD   PUBLIC

            QUARTER MILE WIDE TORNADO NORTHWEST OF WOLSEY. REPORT
            RELAYED BY EMERGENCY MANAGER.

0650 PM     TORNADO          5 W HURON               44.36N 98.32W
08/24/2006                   BEADLE             SD   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TORNADO WEST OF HURON AIRPORT.

&&

WILLIAMS