Flood in Pennsylvania, January 18, 2006

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
450 AM EST WED JAN 18 2006

ANZ430-431-450>455-DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-
007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-060>062-067>071-191000-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-
SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
450 AM EST WED JAN 18 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA, DELAWARE, THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE AND
NEW JERSEY, EXCLUDING THE FIVE NORTHEAST COUNTIES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON FOR DELAWARE, NEW
JERSEY, MOST OF THE NORTHEAST MARYLAND SHORE, AND EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA, WITH A WIND ADVISORY THEN IN EFFECT
UNTIL 7 PM. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM ELSEWHERE
(EXTREME NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND, AND MUCH OF SOUTHEASTERN AND
EAST-CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA).

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL AREAS UNTIL NOON.

ALSO, RAIN MAY END AS SNOW SHOWERS ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN
OVER NORTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY AND EAST-CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA, WITH
ANY SNOW AMOUNTS AN INCH OR LESS THIS AFTERNOON.

MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITH THE HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING,
THEN BLOW OUT TIDES ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE NEW
JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS AND LIKELY TONIGHT ALONG THE OCEAN
FRONT AND DELAWARE BAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
IT WOULD BE APPRECIATED IF SPOTTERS COULD REPORT IN ANY STRONG
WIND GUSTS (OVER 50 MPH) OR ANY DAMAGE REPORTS, AS WELL AS ANY
FLOODING REPORTS.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
416 AM EST WED JAN 18 2006

DEZ002>004-NJZ013-014-020>027-181715-
KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...
FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST
416 AM EST WED JAN 18 2006

...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING POSSIBLE WITH THE HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING...
...THEN BLOW OUT TIDES POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE NEW JERSEY
AND DELAWARE COASTS AND LIKELY TONIGHT ALONG THE OCEAN FRONT AND
DELAWARE BAY...

STORM FORCE SOUTHERLY WINDS GUSTING TO 60 MPH PRECEDING A COLD FRONT
THIS MORNING WILL LIKELY PRODUCE MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AT THE TIME OF
HIGH TIDE LATE THIS MORNING ALONG THE OCEAN FRONT. WAVE ACTION AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN COULD EXACERBATE THE FLOODING. THE
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FOR MOST AREAS WILL BE BETWEEN 10 AM AND NOON
THIS MORNING. THE STORM FORCE SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL LIKELY PRODUCE
MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ALSO IN NORTHERN PARTS OF REHOBOTH AND BARNEGAT
BAYS.

DO NOT PARK YOUR VEHICLE IN AREAS PRONE TO MINOR TIDAL FLOODING.
ALSO DO NOT TAKE ROADS THAT ARE PRONE TO MINOR TIDAL FLOODING.

A COLD FRONT PASSING THROUGH THE REGION WILL CHANGE SOUTHERLY WINDS
TO THE WEST BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THESE WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE
IN SPEED TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH THROUGH MOST OF THE
AFTERNOON. THESE STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS COULD PRODUCE BLOWOUT TIDES
AT THE TIMES OF LOW TIDE THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND
DELAWARE COASTS. THE TIME OF LOW TIDE ALONG THE OCEAN FRONT OCCURS
BETWEEN 4 AND 6 PM TODAY.

BLOWOUT TIDES ARE MORE LIKELY EARLY THIS EVENING IN DELAWARE BAY AS
THE LOW TIDE WORKS ITS WAY UP THE BAY. WHILE THE NEAR SHORE WINDS
WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT, THE OFFSHORE WINDS WILL STILL BE STRONG. THIS
IN ALL LIKELIHOOD WILL HELP PRODUCE BLOWOUT TIDES AGAIN LATE TONIGHT.

BLOWOUT TIDES OCCUR WHEN TIDAL LEVELS DROP UNDER 1.8 FT BELOW MEAN
LOWER LOW WATER.

BLOWOUT TIDES ARE NOT EXPECTED IN CHESAPEAKE BAY AS THE WINDS WILL
BE BLOWING TOWARD THE MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE OR ALONG THE DELAWARE
RIVER AS IT WILL BE HIGH TIDE AROUND THE TIME OF THE STRONGEST WEST
WINDS.

TIDES ALONG DELAWARE BAY AND THE OCEAN FRONT WILL GRADUALLY RETURN
TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS BY THE TIME OF THE NEXT LOW TIDE LATE THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.

TFG