A very strong area of low pressure moved northeast through the Lower Mississippi Valley and through central Ohio during the afternoon and evening hours of the 1st. Gusty southwest winds caused widespread damage throughout the day.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS CLE wrote it up.
A very strong area of low pressure moved northeast through the Lower Mississippi Valley and through central Ohio during the afternoon and evening hours of the 1st. Gusty southwest winds caused widespread damage throughout the day. Winds shifted to the west during the evening hours, and tapered off into the morning of the 2nd across the region as the low pressure moved into western New York state.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 1, 12:03 PM EST, 3 hours 5 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 1203 PM EST FRI DEC 1 2006 .AVIATION(18Z-18Z)... MECHANICAL TURBULENCE WL BE A PROB FOR THE LLVLS TIL THIS EVE AS STG WNDS WITH SFC GUSTS TO NR 50KTS ARE PSBL. WNDS TO GRADUALLY DMNSH BTWN 00Z AND 06Z TNGT. COLDER AIR WL CHG ANY LINGERING SCT SHRA TO SHSN WITH CONTD SCT SHSN TNGT IN THE SNOWBELT...ESP ARND ERI. CIGS SHUD MNLY BE HI END MVFR OR BETTER WITH CLDS BCMG SCT TNGT FM SW TO NE. CLDS WL LIKLEY HANG ON SAT MORN FOR ERI WITH MEAN FLOW OFF OF LERI ADDING LK EFCT MSTR INTO THE MIX...OTRW HI PRES RIDGED OVR AREA SHUD PROVIDE VFR CONDS. && .SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)... EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A POTENT SHORTWAVE MOVING OUT OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND INTO WESTERN ILLINOIS. AHEAD OF THIS WAVE...SHOWERS CONTINUED ACROSS MOST OF THE OHIO VALLEY...WITH INTERMITTENT SNOW IN PORTIONS OF INDIANA AND MICHIGAN WHERE COLDER AIR RESIDED. AT THE SURFACE...THE COLD FRONT THAT PUSHED THROUGH THE REGION YESTERDAY AFTERNOON ONLY MADE IT AS FAR AS A CINCINNATI OH TO BRADFORD PA LINE. POST FRONTAL TEMPS WERE GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S...WHILE MUCH WARMER AIR IN THE MID 60S LINGERED JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. COUPLE OF CONCERNS WITH TODAYS FORECAST. PREVIOUS FORECAST REMAINS IN GREAT SHAPE AND THANKFULLY ONLY HAD TO MAKE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO TEMPS THRU THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND. ALL MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A WAVE MOVING ALONG THE FRONT AND THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA SOMETIME AROUND 15Z NEAR FINDLAY AND AROUND 18Z NEAR ERIE PA. AHEAD OF THIS WAVE...WILL LIKELY SEE A QUICK RETURN OF WARM AIR...BUT THIS WILL BE VERY SHORT LIVED AS COLD AIR WILL WRAP AROUND THE WAVE AND BE ADVECTED IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. AREAS IN EXTREME NW OH MAY NEVER SEE THE WARM AIR AS THE SURFACE LOW WILL LIKELY PASS JUST TO THE EAST...AND WILL FORECAST TEMPS ONLY IN THE LOWER 40S TODAY NEAR TOLEDO. ELSEWHERE...TEMPS COULD CONCEIVABLY JUMP INTO THE LOWER 60S FOR AN HOUR OR TWO...THEN PLUMMET INTO THE 30S THRU THE AFTERNOON. WILL MAINTAIN NON-DIURNAL WORDING IN THE TEXT AND DRAW IN SHARP TEMPERATURE DROPS DURING THE AFTERNOON. WIND REMAINS THE PRIMARY THREAT TODAY...WILL NOT BE MAKING ANY ADJUSTMENTS TO HIGH WIND WARNING HEADLINE AT THIS TIME. LOW LEVEL WINDS (925-950) STILL FORECAST TO BE IN EXCESS OF 50 KTS THRU THE DAY AND DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSFER SHOULD EASILY ALLOW FOR HIGH WINDS ALL DAY WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. MODELS CLEARLY SHOWING A NARROW POST-FRONTAL DRY SLOT MOVING INTO THE AREA SOMETIME AROUND NOON TODAY...COINCIDENT IS A NARROW AREA OF CAPES AROUND 400 J/KG...LIFTED INDICES AROUND -1 TO +1C...AND 0-3KM BRN SHEAR VALUES AROUND 45KTS. THINK A WEAK LINE OF LOW TOPPED CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE ALONG AND SLIGHTLY BEHIND THE FRONT LATE THIS MORNING BUT THINK IT WILL BE INTO WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA BY THE TIME IT REALLY DEVELOPS INTO SOMETHING SIGNIFICANT...IF IT BECOMES SIGNIFICANT AT ALL. STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA IN A SLIGHT RISK AND WILL MAINTAIN MENTION OF THUNDER IN THIS AREA THROUGH AT LEAST MID DAY. FOLLOWING THE FRONT...WILL LIKELY SEE A BRIEF BREAK IN THE PRECIP AS COLDER AIR WORKS IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST...ONLY TO BE REPLACED WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS. TRAJECTORY ACROSS LAKE ERIE DOES APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE...HOWEVER LOW LEVEL WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 KTS WOULD LIKELY SHEAR APART ANY LAKE BANDS THAT DID TRY TO DEVELOP...NOT TO MENTION BUFKIT PROFILES DOWNWIND OF THE LAKE NOT SHOWING ANY SIGNIFICANT UPWARD MOTION THROUGH THE FAVORED SNOW GROWTH REGION. WILL THEREFORE ONLY DRAW IN AN INCH OR LESS OF SNOWFALL ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...A LITTLE MORE (1-2 INCHES) IN THE SNOWBELT THRU SATURDAY MORNING. BUFKIT...SURPRISINGLY ENOUGH...WAS INSISTENT ON SHOWING MOSTLY FREEZING DRIZZLE AFTER 00Z AT MOST LOCATIONS AS STRONG SUBSIDENCE/DRYING MOVES INTO NORTHERN OHIO INSTEAD OF SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. GIVEN THAT THIS IS THE FIRST INDICATION OF THIS FROM BUFKIT...CONFIDENCE IN FZDZ IS LOW AND WILL NOT MAKE MENTION OF IT AT THIS TIME AND WILL PASS ON TO NEXT SHIFT TO MONITOR PRECIP TYPE AFTER 00Z. ON SATURDAY...WEAK SURFACE RIDGING WILL MOVE IN AND ACT TO CONFINE ANY PRECIP TO AREAS DOWNWIND OF LAKE ERIE. GIVEN THIS RIDGING AND NEW MODEL GUIDANCE...HAVE CUT BACK ON POPS TO LOW CHANCE DURING THE DAYTIME AND OVERNIGHT DOWNWIND OF THE LAKE...BUT THINK SOME LES IS POSSIBLE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. NEW 00Z WRF ADVERTISING THIS LES WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL CLOSER TO SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT WILL NOT MAKE CHANGES THIS FAR OUT SINCE 00Z GFS MAINTAINS A SNOWY SUNDAY. && .LONG TERM (SUN THRU THUR)... NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN IN PLACE WITH A SERIES OF SHORT WAVES/ALBERTA CLIPPERS PERIODICALLY REINFORCING THE COLD AIR. WILL BE HARD TO PIN DOWN EXACT WEATHER BUT NOT MUCH PRECIPITATION IN THIS PATTERN EXCEPT FOR SNOWBELT. GFS MODEL HAS FIRST WAVE AND CLIPPER CROSSING AREA MONDAY WITH ANOTHER DROPPING ACROSS GRTLKS TUE NGT WITH SOME LAKE EFFECT FOLLOWING EACH. WILL TRY TO FINE TUNE TIMING AND INTENSITY AS WE GET CLOSER TO EACH EVENT. ECMWF DEVELOPS STRONGER SURFACE LOW MID WEEK OVER THE PLAINS STATES AND RETURNS A SW FLOW AND BRIEFLY WARMER TEMPS. WILL WAIT FOR ADDITIONAL RUNS TO SEE IF MODELS TREND IN THAT DIRECTION. && .CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...HIGH WIND WARNING FRIDAY NW OH OHZ010>014-020>023- 031>033-038-089. HIGH WIND WARNING FRI MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING N CENTRAL AND NE OH OHZ003-006>009-017>019-027>030-036-037-047. GALE WARNING LAKE ERIE. LOW WATER STATEMENT WESTERN BASIN LERI. PA...HIGH WIND WARNING FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING PAZ001>003. GALE WARNING LERI. && SHORT TERM...LEINS LONG TERM...KOSARIK AVIATION...ADAMS
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 518 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006 OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-021200- LUCAS-WOOD-OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE OH-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA-LAKE-GEAUGA- ASHTABULA INLAND-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE- TRUMBULL-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-ASHLAND-WAYNE-STARK-MAHONING- MARION-MORROW-HOLMES-KNOX-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE- SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA- 518 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO...NORTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS OHIO AND PENNSYLVANIA TODAY...USHERING IN MUCH COLDER AIR TO THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THIS FRONT THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING DAMAGING WINDS. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED MOST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER. VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL EXIST BEHIND THIS FRONT...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 40 MPH LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL ALSO GUST TO 60 MPH AT TIMES TODAY. FOLLOWING THE FRONT...SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AROUND AN INCH POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT. AREAS DOWNWIND OF LAKE ERIE COULD SEE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW BY SATURDAY MORNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHEAST OHIO/NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA SNOWBELT COUNTIES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...ALTHOUGH IT IS TOO EARLY TO PINPOINT EXACT ACCUMULATIONS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...ALTHOUGH SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY DOWNED TREES OR OTHER STORM DAMAGE TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT. LEZ142>149-162>169-021200- MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH-RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH- THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH- AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH-WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH- GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH-CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY- MAUMEE BAY OH TO RENO BEACH OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE-GENEVA-ON- THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OF SHORE- 518 AM EST FRI DEC 1 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SOUTHWEST GALES TO 40 KNOTS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ON LAKE ERIE...WITH WAVES BUILDING TO 10 TO 13 FEET BY TONIGHT. ALSO...THE WATER LEVEL ON THE WESTERN BASIN OF THE LAKE WILL DROP BELOW THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE NAVIGATION LATE THIS AFTERNOON. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. LEINS
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A 58 mph wind gust was measured at the Meadville Airport. Also, numerous trees were reported down five miles east of Conneautville.
Numerous trees were reported down across the county.
Numerous trees were reported down across the county.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Pennsylvania in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in Pennsylvania, December 2006
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 8565, 8560, 8562.