North Carolina, 2006

Damaging Wind in North Carolina, May 20, 2006

May 20, 2006 · NWS GSP · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 thunderstorm wind, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 20, 1:23 AM EST, 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 20, 1:23 AM EST, 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
223 AM EDT SAT MAY 20 2006

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NAM AND WRF WERE RIGHT ON TARGET DEVELOPING WIDESPREAD CONVECTION
OVER EASTERN TN AND WRN NC EARLY THIS MORNING. AS THE LLVL FLOW
VEERS MORE OUT OF THE WEST AND INCREASES...CONVECTION SHOULD BE
FAIRLY PROGRESSIVE...THOUGH THERE IS NO SAYING JUST HOW LONG STORMS
WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP UPSTREAM. THE GENERAL MODEL CONSENSUS IS
THAT CONVECTION WL TAPER OFF AND MOVE EAST OF THE CWFA BETWEEN 12-15
UTC...AND HIGHS POPS WILL PROBABLY BE NEEDED OVER THE NC FOOTHILLS
AND PIEDMONT EARLY INTO THE FIRST PERIOD TODAY (THAT IS...AFTER 6
AM EDT).

RECENTLY THERE HAS BEEN A TREND FOR CLOUD TOPS TO COOL OVER ERN TN
WHILE THE REFLECTIVITY IN THE CONVECTIVE CORES HAS BEEN
DECREASING. THIS APPEARS TO BE A SIGN THAT THE ATMOSPHERE IS
BECOMING MORE MOIST IN THE VICINITY OF THE TRAINING CELLS. THIS
WILL TEMPER THE SEVERE THREAT BUT WILL RESULT IN HEAVIER
RAIN...AND AN ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING THREAT COULD DEVELOP OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS SURFACE BASED CAPE ON THE NAM AND WRF
RISES TO AROUND 2500 J/KG OVER THE UPSTATE AND NE GA...WITH
DOWNSLOPE RESULTING IN LOWER DEWPOINTS INTO THE NORTH CAROLINA
FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. WITH MODERATE TO STRONG SPEED SHEAR...EXPECT
THAT STORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE HIGH TERRAIN OVER THE SRN NC MTNS
AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SC AND GA. CONVECTION SHOULD STRENGTHEN
AS IT QUICKLY MOVES SOUTHEAST...WITH A FEW SEVERE STORMS A GOOD BET
OVER THE SOUTHEAST PARTS OF THE CWFA BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. THERE
SHOULD ALSO BE SEVERAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES RESULTING FROM THIS
MORNING/S CONVECTION...AND STORMS THIS AFTERNOON MAY ALSO INITIATE
AND TRACK ALONG THESE BOUNDARIES...THOUGH THE EXACT LOCATION OF THIS
KIND OF MESOSCALE FORCING WON/T BE KNOWN UNTIL LATER IN THE DAY.
WITH HIGH CLOUD BASES AND COOL MID LEVEL TEMPS...THERE SHOULD BE
BOTH A HAIL AND WIND THREAT.

TONIGHT AND SUNDAY THE GFS KEEPS AN AXIS OF INSTABILITY OVER THE SRN
PART OF THE FORECAST AREA...ESPECIALLY THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS. THE
NAM AND WRF ARE A LITTLE DRIER WITH STRONGER NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. WILL COMPROMISE AND KEEP LOW CHANCE POPS OVER
THE SOUTHWEST.

DUE TO ONGOING CONVECTION...DID NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO THE ZONES
BEYOND SUNDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
ANOTHER DAY...ANOTHER LOW CONFIDENCE MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST. GENERAL
PATTERN REMAINS THE SAME...TROFINESS IN THE EAST AND RIDGE IN THE
WEST. THIS CREATES NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS OUR AREA WITH DIFFICULT
TO TIME SHORT WAVES MOVING THRU THE FLOW. THERE COULD BE A PATTERN
CHANGE BY THE END OF THE PERIOD WITH THE TROF AND RIDGE MOVING EAST.
AT THE SURFACE A STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS NEAR OR OVER THE AREA
UNTIL THURSDAY WHEN IT MOVES BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT THEN EAST OF
THE AREA THURSDAY. THAT SAID...EACH MODEL DIFFERS WITH THE POSITION
AND TIMING OF THE FEATURES WITH EACH NEW RUN. THEREFORE...HAVE GONE
VERY CLOSE TO HPC NATIONAL GUIDANCE. POP DISTRIBUTION GENERALLY
SLIGHT CHC WEST/NOTHING EAST EARLY...THEN SLIGHT CHC MOST AREAS
MIDDLE PERIOD...AND CHC WEST/SLIGHT CHC EAST BY THE END. TEMPS NEAR
NORMAL EARLY RISING TO ABOVE NORMAL MIDDLE PERIODS AND REMAINING THRU
THE END OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
VSBY/CIG RESTRICTIONS DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON
TRACKS OF INDIVIDUAL DEEP CONVECTIVE CELLS AND BASED ON 88D
DEPICTION...CERTAINLY KAVL STANDS THE BEST CHANCE OF THIS HAPPENING.
BASED ON ORIENTATION OF COLDEST CLOUD TOPS AND THE EVOLUTION OF LLVL
WAA MAX...HIGHEST CHANCES FOR DEEP CONVECTION THROUGH ABOUT 12 UTC
WILL BE ACRS KAVL/KGSP AND THEN MOVING ON TOWARD KCLT. POTENTIAL TSTM
CLUSTER SHOULD BE DOWNSTREAM OF KCLT BY A FEW HOURS AFTER SUNRISE
WITH A DIURNAL LULL IN PCPN CHANCES. DEEP MIXED LAYER AGAIN THIS
AFTERNOON...SO GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS EXPECTED FOR KGSP/KAND/KCLT. WRF
DEPICTION OF AFTERNOON DEVELOPMENT AS GOOD AS A GUESS AS ANYTHING...
SPREADING CONVECTIVE PCPN BACK INTO THE MTNS AND UPSTATE INTO EARLY
EVENING.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...MCAVOY
LONG TERM...MCAVOY
AVIATION...CSH
Hazardous weather outlook, May 19, 4:53 AM EST, 20 hours 35 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
553 AM EDT FRI MAY 19 2006

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-201000-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-
CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-
CABARRUS-UNION NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
553 AM EDT FRI MAY 19 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY LATE AFTERNOON OVER THE
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA. OVERNIGHT THERE WILL BE A
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION. A FEW OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
OVER THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...THE UPSTATE AND NORTHEAST
GEORGIA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY OF NEXT WEEK. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE
WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY BY LATE TONIGHT SOUTH AND WEST
OF A LINE FROM GREENVILLE TO ASHEVILLE.

MCAVOY

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 20, 12:17 AM EST, 1 hour 11 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
117 AM EDT SAT MAY 20 2006

NCZ051-052-059-200730-
SWAIN-HAYWOOD-NORTHERN JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHEROKEE...WAYNESVILLE...SYLVA
117 AM EDT SAT MAY 20 2006

...THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...

AT 108 AM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING FROM EAST TENNESSEE INTO THE CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. THE HEAVIEST ACTIVITY WAS INITIALLY ALONG THE
TENNESSEE BORDER...FROM NEWFOUND GAP TO INTERSTATE 40. STORMS
MOVING INTO THIS REGION WILL CONTINUE INTO HAYWOOD AND NORTHERN
SWAIN COUNTIES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...MAINLY ALONG THE
INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR. A STRAY THUNDERSTORM MAY DEVELOP INTO
NORTHERN JACKSON COUNTY AS WELL. THE HEAVIEST STORMS WILL PRODUCE
BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL. STORMS ARE
INITIALLY LOSING STRENGTH AS THEY NEAR THE SPINE OF THE
APPALACHIANS...THOUGH THE THREAT FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER
WILL REMAIN THROUGHOUT THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA
OUTLETS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

GMS

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 69 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 06:29 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Madison

When
May 20, 1:28 AM EST
Where
Madison County, 12 mi NW of Mars Hill
Measured
50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
Coordinates
35.950, -82.683

A tree down on highway 212, and another on highway 23, both along the Tennessee border.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in North Carolina in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, May 2006

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5508138.