Thunderstorm Wind, Warren
- When
- June 23, 12:15 PM EST
- Where
- Warren County, 5 mi N of Vaughan
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- GENERAL PUBLIC
- Coordinates
- 36.500, -78.000
Numerous trees down around Lake Gaston.
Flash Flood and Hail in North Carolina, June 23, 2006
2 thunderstorm wind, 1 hail, 1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Where it happened
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
The toll
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 4
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 23, 10:03 AM EST, 2 hours 12 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 23, 10:03 AM EST, 2 hours 12 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 1103 AM EDT FRI JUN 23 2006 .SHORT TERM /REST OF TODAY/... CONVERGENCE ZONE HAS SET UP OVER THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PIEDMONT THIS MORNING. CLOUDS HAVE BEGUN TO INCREASE IN THIS AREA... AND EXPECT SHOWERS TO QUICKLY DEVELOP HERE ONCE THE CONVECTIVE TEMP IS REACHED... GIVEN THE HIGH WATER CONTENT THROUGH THE COLUMN WITH THE 12Z GSO SOUNDING SHOWING 200% OF NORMAL PW AND SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW 70S. UPPER AIR ANALYSES SHOW GOOD UPPER DIVERGENCE OVER WESTERN VA AND NC WHICH SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY. POP FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE. TEMPERATURES ARE RUNNING A COUPLE OF DEGREES HIGHER THAN THIS TIME YESTERDAY... ALTHOUGH THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER SHOULD TEMPER THEM A BIT ACROSS THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN CWA. SOUTHEAST SECTIONS SHOULD STILL SEE ENOUGH SUNSHINE TO BRING READINGS CLOSE TO THE MID 90S... AND WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 70S... HEAT INDEX VALUES SHOULD CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR 100 OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE CWA. WILL ISSUE A BRIEF SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT TO ADDRESS ANOTHER DAY OF HIGH HEAT INDICES. -GIH && .PREV DISCUSSION... (ISSUED 205 AM EDT FRI JUN 23 2006) SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... THE MID LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CAROLINAS BEGINS TO WEAKEN TODAY AND GIVE WAY TO A TROUGH FROM THE MIDWEST. THE AIRMASS DESTABILIZES FROM THE WEST AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES MAXIMIZE NEAR 2 INCHES OVER THE PIEDMONT. LOWER LEVEL FLOW FROM THE SOUTH BECOMES CONFLUENT OVER THE CWA. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS MORE NUMEROUS TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MAX TEMPERATURES SHOULD BACK OFF A LITTLE FROM THURSDAY...BUT STILL ABOVE NORMAL IN THE LOWER 90S. TONIGHT AND SAT...A FRONT STALLS TO OUR WEST WHILE PRESSURES LOWER IN THE SUBTROPICAL STREAM TO OUR SOUTH. THIS SETS UP A SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW OFF THE ATLANTIC INTO CENTRAL NC. THE MOST SATURATED CONDITIONS REMAIN TO OUR NORTH AND WEST...BUT LOWER LEVELS MOISTEN THROUGHOUT THE CWA WITH SOUTHEAST FLOW. 20-30 PCT POPS WILL REMAIN OVERNIGHT AND RISE TO 40-50 PCT ON SAT. CLOUDS AND A MORE MARITIME INFLUENCE WILL NARROW THE DIURNAL RANGE OF TEMPERATURES WITH LOWS NEAR 70 AND HIGHS MID-UPPER 80S. SAT NGT-SUN...CONTINUED DEEPER SOUTHEAST FLOW SETS UP A MOIST ADIABATIC ENVIRONMENT WITH WIDESPREAD CUMULUS AND ALTOCUMULUS AT VARIOUS LEVELS AND SCATTERED TO OCCASIONALLY NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED TSTMS. MODEL DIFFERENCES IN HANDLING SUBTROPICAL LOW DEVELOPMENT OR EASTERLY WAVES DICTATES UNCERTAINTY IN RAIN CHANCES. BUT WITH PLENTY AVAILABLE MOISTURE...POPS WILL RISE TO AT LEAST THE 50-60 PCT RANGE THROUGHOUT THE CWA. THE DIURNAL TEMPERATURE RANGE STAYS NARROW WITH THE CLOUDS AND WELL MIXED MARITIME AIRMASS. -RFG LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... AN INVERTED TROUGH IN THE LOWER LEVELS OR SUBTROPICAL LOW PERSISTS OVER THE FL PANHANDLE TO SRN APPALACHIAN REGION HELPING TO MAINTAIN A FLOW OF AIR OFF THE SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC. A BROAD NRN STREAM TROUGH ALOFT DEEPENS OVER THE OHIO VALLEY SUN NIGHT AND MON. THIS SHOULD SET UP A CLASH OF MOIST MARITIME AIR AND AN AIRMASS BOUNDARY OR QUASI STATIONARY FRONT SAGGING SE INTO THE MID ATLC STATES AND NC MON THROUGH WED. SCATTERED CLUSTERS OR BANDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD RESULT WITH THE EXACT AXIS OF HEAVIEST PCPN HARD TO DETERMINE GIVEN INCONSISTENCIES WITH SMALLER SCALE FEATURES AT THIS FORECAST RANGE. POPS SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE CLIMATOLOGY ..40-50 PCT...FOR EACH 12 HOUR SEGMENT SUN NIGHT THROUGH WED. TEMPERATURES SHOULD AVERAGE AROUND NORMAL MID-UPPER 80S. FOR WED NIGHT AND THU...THERE ARE INDICATIONS FROM THE GFS FOR A MORE WESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW WITH AN EXTENSION OF THE BERMUDA HIGH INTO THE NE GULF. A BROAD UPPER TROUGH REMAINS TO THE NW HOWEVER MAINTAINING INSTABILITY ALOFT AND THE CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR TSTM. POPS NEAR NORMAL IN THE 20-30 PCT RANGE. MORE SUNSHINE WITH SWLY FLOW SHOULD ALLOW MAX TEMPERATURES TO RISE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL NEAR 90. -RFG AVIATION... SCATTERED TO BROKEN CLOUD BASES AT 5 THOUSAND FEET AFTER 15Z... OTHERWISE CEILINGS UNLIMITED...EXCEPT PATCHY MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS AROUND RWI 09Z TO 13Z. MVFR VISIBILITY IN PATCHY HAZE AND FOG THROUGH 13Z EXCEPT IFR TO LIFR VICINITY RWI...OTHERWISE VISIBILITY UNRESTRICTED. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AFTER 18Z. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH THROUGH 13Z...THEN INCREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH. -RHJ && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && SHORT TERM...HARTFIELD
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 23, 11:35 AM EST, 40 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 1235 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2006 NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-240800- PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE- ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM- WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE- ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- 1235 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT HOT TEMPERATURES AND HIGH HUMIDITY VALUES HAVE LED TO A VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... MAINLY IN NORTHERN SECTIONS FIRST. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE TOWARD THE EAST AT 15 TO 20 MPH. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG DOWNBURST WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. HAIL THE SIZE OF PENNIES COULD ALSO OCCUR WITH ISOLATED STORMS. ANY STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE EXCESSIVE AMOUNTS OF LIGHTNING. A SINGLE CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE OVER 100 CLOUD TO GROUND STRIKES IN JUST 15 MINUTES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE... AS THESE STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING. AMOUNTS COULD EXCEED AN INCH PER HOUR IN A FEW OF THE HEAVIER SHOWERS AND STORMS... WHICH MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED STREET FLOODING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THE THREAT OF LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL AND SPOT FLOODING WILL INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH A PERSISTENT FLOW OF MOIST AIR OFF THE SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC INTO CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER NETWORK ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FROM MID AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. RFG/GIH
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 23, 10:14 AM EST, 2 hours 1 minute before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 1114 AM EDT FRI JUN 23 2006 NCZ011-027-028-041>043-075>078-084>086-088-089-232100- HALIFAX-NASH-EDGECOMBE-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT- WAYNE-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROANOKE RAPIDS...NASHVILLE... ROCKY MOUNT...RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...SOUTHERN PINES... SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG... RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON 1114 AM EDT FRI JUN 23 2006 ...HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR 100 THIS AFTERNOON... TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE INTO THE LOWER TO MID 90S THIS AFTERNOON. THIS HEAT COMBINED WITH HIGH HUMIDITY WILL PUSH HEAT INDEX VALUES TO THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND 100 DEGREES ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN PIEDMONT... THE SANDHILLS... AND PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL PLAIN OF NORTH CAROLINA. HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND 100 CAN POSE A HEALTH HAZARD FOR SOME GROUPS... PARTICULARLY ELDERLY PEOPLE... THE VERY YOUNG... FOR PEOPLE WORKING STRENUOUSLY OUTDOORS IN THE HEAT OF THE DAY... AND THOSE WITH HEALTH PROBLEMS MADE WORSE BY THE HEAT. TO REDUCE HEAT STRESS WHILE OUTDOORS...STAY IN A WELL VENTILATED AREA AND STAY OUT OF DIRECT SUNSHINE. DRINK PLENTY OF WATER. IF POSSIBLE... TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS IN AN AIR CONDITIONED PLACE. HARTFIELD
Special weather statement, Jun 23, 11:40 AM EST, 35 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 1240 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2006 NCZ008>010-231745- GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...HENDERSON...WARRENTON 1240 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2006 ...STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS GRANVILLE... VANCE... AND WARREN COUNTIES THROUGH 215 PM... AT 1230 PM EDT... DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASR PIEDMONT AND NORTHERN COASTAL PLAINS WHICH INCLUDE STOVALL...OXFORD...KERR LAKE...KITTRELL...LAKE GASTON... AND WARRENTON. THESE STORM WILL PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTENING. REU
The radar
The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 103 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 17:14 UTC.
Event by event
2 thunderstorm wind, 1 hail, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Hail, Granville
- When
- June 23, 1:20 PM EST
- Where
- Granville County, Oxford
- Measured
- 0.75 in hail
- Reported by
- TRAINED SPOTTER
- Coordinates
- 36.317, -78.583
Thunderstorm Wind, Granville
- When
- June 23, 1:28 PM EST
- Where
- Granville County, Oxford
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- TRAINED SPOTTER
- Coordinates
- 36.317, -78.583
Large limbs blown down causing power outages.
Flash Flood, Warren
- When
- June 23, 2:05 PM EST to 4:05 PM EST
- Where
- Warren County, Warrenton
- Reported by
- GENERAL PUBLIC
- Coordinates
- 36.397, -78.107 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Reports of numerous roads flooded.
What these are
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
- Hail
- Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
The same day elsewhere
- Lightning Strike in New Jersey, June 23, 2006
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Virginia, June 23 to 24, 2006
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Georgia, June 23, 2006
- Flash Flooding and Flood in Massachusetts, June 23, 2006
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Nebraska, June 23 to 24, 2006
- Damaging Winds in Mississippi, June 23, 2006
- Damaging Wind in Mississippi, June 23, 2006
- Lightning Strike in North Carolina, June 23, 2006
- Damaging Wind in Tennessee, June 23, 2006
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Virginia, June 23, 2006
- Damaging Winds and Lightning Strike in Tennessee, June 23, 2006
- Hail and Damaging Wind in Mississippi, June 23, 2006
More
Every storm in North Carolina in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, June 2006
Sources
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5511293, 5511360, 5511361, 5511362.