Damaging Wind in North Carolina, April 22, 2006

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
200 AM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO SPIN OVER GREAT LAKES WHILE SHORTWAVES
TRANSLATE THROUGH UPPER TROUGH OVER THE SE STATES. AREA REMAINS
UNDER GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE WITH LARGE SCALE LIFT AND DEEP
MOISTURE. PERIODS OF STRONG CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MUCH
OF SAT SO WILL CONTINUE CATEGORICAL POPS OVER BULK OF CWA UNTIL MID
DAY...THEN DECREASING POPS FROM THE W DURG THE LATE AFTN. EXPECT A
BREAK SAT NIGHT BEFORE A SHORTWAVE...UPPER DIVERGENCE AND A SFC
BOUNDARY PUSH S TOWARD MTNS SUN. HAVE ADDED SLIGHT CHANCE TSTMS...
MAINLY OVER MTNS SUN. WINDS ALSO INCREASE FROM THE SW SUN AS SFC
HIGH BUILDS ALONG GULF AND LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS NE OF AREA. SLIGHT
CHANCE TSTMS OVER MTNS CONTINUES MON.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS/TSTMS CONTINUES TUE AND WED AS FRONT PUSHES
FARTHER S INTO AREA. COOL HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE N FOR
THU AND FRI. NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
VERY COMPLICATED 6Z TAF PACKAGE. MCS CURRENTLY WORKING ACROSS THE
UPPER SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY WITH INDEPENDENT CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES NE
ACROSS THE NC MTNS AND I-40 CORRIDOR. THE FIRST CHALLENGE WILL BE
TIMING THE MCS ACROSS THE TERMINALS. TOWARD SUNRISE...THE MAJORITY
OF THE MOS GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT AFTER 9Z MVFR TO IFR FOG AND
STRATUS MAY DEVELOP. CURRENT TRENDS ACROSS THE REGION DOES NOT
SUPPORT A RAPID DECREASE IN THE CEILING DUE TO THE CONVECTION.
HOWEVER...BASED ON THE RECENT RAINFALL AND MORNING FOG I WILL
INCLUDE A TEMPO BETWEEN 10-13Z.

TROF AXIS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON...BRINGING ANOTHER
ROUND OF SHRA AND TSRA. HOWEVER...REGIONAL RADAR COMPOSITE SHOWS
SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS A FEW HOURS AHEAD OF THE MID LEVEL TROF.
I WILL FAVOR TIMING A LITTLE EARLIER THAN THE NAM FOR AFTERNOON
TSRA...I WILL HIGHLIGHT TSRA WITH A TEMPO BETWEEN 15-19Z. BY 0Z
SUN...WINDS SHOULD VEER AND SKY WILL CLEAR...VFR FORECAST FOR THE
REST OF THE NIGHT.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...RB
LONG TERM...RB
AVIATION...NED

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
331 AM EDT FRI APR 21 2006

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-
SCZ001>014-019-220745-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-CALDWELL-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
BUNCOMBE-MCDOWELL-BURKE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-
MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-POLK-RUTHERFORD-
CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-
GREENWOOD-
331 AM EDT FRI APR 21 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

LOOK FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. SOME STORMS
COULD BECOME SEVERE...THE MAIN THREAT BEING LARGE HAIL AND WIND.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY INTO
SATURDAY EVENING. THERE IS ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SOME STORMS COULD BE SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1047 PM EDT FRI APR 21 2006

NCZ036-056-069-220345-
CATAWBA-IREDELL-LINCOLN NC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HICKORY...LINCOLNTON...STATESVILLE
1047 PM EDT FRI APR 21 2006

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT THE AREA FROM LINCOLNTON TO
STATESVILLE THROUGH 1145 PM...

AT 1047 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM JUST EAST OF LINCOLNTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
20 MPH. THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT DENVER BY 11 PM...TERRELL
BY 1115 PM...AND TROUTMAN BY 1130 PM. EXPECT TORRENTIAL
DOWNPOURS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND POSSIBLY SMALL HAIL WITH THIS
THUNDERSTORM.

HG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1053 PM EDT FRI APR 21 2006

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-220500-
AVERY-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-MACON NC-MADISON NC-
MITCHELL NC-NORTHERN JACKSON NC-SOUTHERN JACKSON NC-SWAIN-
TRANSYLVANIA-YANCEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHEVILLE...BREVARD...CHEROKEE...
FRANKLIN...HENDERSONVILLE...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...SYLVA...
WAYNESVILLE
1053 PM EDT FRI APR 21 2006

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST INTO THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THESE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE SMOKY MOUNTAINS AREA BY
MIDNIGHT...AND GRADUALLY SPREAD EAST TO THE BLUE RIDGE THROUGH 3
AM. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AT RATES OF 1/2 TO 1 INCH PER HOUR WILL
ACCOMPANY THE THUNDERSTORMS...AS WELL AS FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND
ISOLATED PEA SIZE HAIL.

HG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1135 PM EDT FRI APR 21 2006

SCZ007-220400-
SPARTANBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SPARTANBURG
1135 PM EDT FRI APR 21 2006

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT NORTHERN SPARTANBURG COUNTY THROUGH
MIDNIGHT...

AT 1132 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF BOILING SPRINGS...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT THE FINGERVILLE
AREA AROUND 1145 PM. EXPECT TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND POSSIBLY PEA SIZE HAIL WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

HG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1214 AM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-SCZ001-004-010-011-019-220615-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA...
HARTWELL...ELBERTON...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...GREENWOOD
1214 AM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE
WESTERN UPSTATE...

AT 1210 AM EDT...WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH INTO NORTHEAST GEORGIA.
BETWEEN 1230 AND 115 AM THE LINE WILL MOVE ACROSS MOST OF
HABERSHAM... RABUN AND STEPHENS COUNTIES.

40 TO 50 MPH WINDS...PEA SIZED HAIL...TORRENTIAL RAIN AND
CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTING WILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER
STORMS IN THE LINE. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE AS THEY
MOVE ACROSS THE AREA WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

BETWEEN 1 AND 2 AM THE LINE WILL MOVE ACROSS FRANKLIN COUNTY IN
GEORGIA AND OCONEE AND WESTERN PICKENS COUNTIES IN SOUTH CAROLINA.

MCAVOY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1226 AM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0731 PM     HAIL             1 N BELTON              34.54N 82.50W
04/21/2006  M0.25 INCH       ANDERSON           SC   PUBLIC

            GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.

&&

HG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1226 AM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0731 PM     HAIL             1 N BELTON              34.54N 82.50W
04/21/2006  M1.25 INCH       ANDERSON           SC   PUBLIC

            GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.

&&

HG