1 thunderstorm wind, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 28, 10:44 AM EST, 1 hour 7 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 1144 AM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006 .SHORT TERM /REST OF TODAY/... SOME MINOR CHANGES TO FORECAST FOR THE AFTERNOON UPDATE. BREAKS IN CLOUD COVER OBSERVED HERE AND ON SATELLITE MAINLY ACROSS SOUTH HALF OF CWA. THUS WILL BRING MAX TEMPS UP FOR VALLEY LOCATIONS INTO THE BERKSHIRES. WILL ALSO GO A LITTLE MORE OPTIMISTIC ON SKY COVER IN THESE LOCATIONS AS WELL. MORNING ALY SOUNDING SHOW PWS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES...2.04 INCHES. FLASH FLOOD THREAT AS DESCRIBED BELOW STILL A CONCERN. HAVE POSTED A SMALL STREAM ADVISORY FOR HERKIMER AND HAMILTON COUNTIES INTO THIS AFTERNOON...BUT SO FAR NO FLASH FLOODING THERE AS WE CONTINUE TO MONITOR. MODIFYING 12Z ALY SOUNDING TO 85/72 YIELDS CAPE OF ABOUT 2KJ/KG. EARLY MORNING ALY THINKING WAS THAT SEVERE THREAT WOULD BE MORE OF A SOUTH HALF CWA ISSUE...THAN ENTIRE REGION. MORNING SPC UPDATE CONCURRED...ESSENTIALLY WRAPPING SEVERE THREAT FROM CAPITAL DISTRICT SOUTH. IF WE CAN MAINTAIN SOME SUNSHINE TO REACH EXPECTED HIGH TEMPS...THEN SHORTWAVE TROUGH REACHING AREA THIS AFTERNOON WILL HAVE SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY TO WORK WITH TO ALLOW FOR AT LEAST SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE STORMS. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 400 AM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006/ SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST FROM THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY AND THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES REGION WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR WITH SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY APPROACH SEVERE LEVELS FROM THE LOWER CATSKILLS...CAPITAL DISTRICT...SOUTHERN VERMONT SOUTH AND EAST. THE WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PASS EAST OF NEW ENGLAND IN THE EARLY EVENING. DRIER AIR WILL BRIEFLY TAKE HOLD ON SATURDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT DESCENDS FROM SOUTHEASTERN CANADA WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR SUNDAY. SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... TODAY...THE LATEST 40KM RUC/IR LOOP AND THE WATER LOOP SHOWS A COMPLEX OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS WRN NY AND NW PA AT 07Z. THIS ACTIVITY IS TIED TO A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE NRN GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS FEATURE WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR SCATTERED POTENTIALLY SVR TSRAS AND ESPECIALLY SOME REAL SOAKERS. PWAT VALUES ARE GENERALLY 1.75-2+ OVER THE FCST AREA. THE 00Z ALY SOUNDING HAD A PWAT OF 2.14 AND A K-INDEX OF 40. THE PWAT VALUE IS 200% OF NORMAL...WHICH IS A COUPLE STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL. THE FAVORABLE SYNOPTIC AND CONVECTIVE PARAMETERS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ARE AS FOLLOWS: A JET STREAK OF 60-75 KTS WHICH AT 18Z WOULD PUT THE SRN HALF OF THE FCST AREA IN THE RIGHT REAR QUADRANT WITH STRONG UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND EXCELLENT 700 MB OMEGA COUPLED WITH STRONG LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE. THETA-E VALUES ARE IN THE 335K-350K RANGE. MODEL SOUNDINGS AND 2-D PANEL LAYOUTS SHOW SBCAPE/MLCAPE VALUES FROM 1000-1500 J/KG OFF THE GFS AND WRF FROM THE CAPITAL REGION SOUTH AND EAST. THE GFS HAS MUCH LESS INSTABILITY NORTH OF ALY. 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR VALUES RISES TO 40-45 KTS WITH ORGANIZED CONVECTION IMPLIED. THE 850MB LLJ JET STRENGTHENS TO 35-40 KTS SOUTH OF ALY AFTER 18Z. SFC DEWPOINTS WILL CONTINUE IN THE U60 TO L70S RANGE. THE BOUNDARY LAYER IS MOISTURE RICH...BUT WILL SUFFICIENT DIABATIC HEATING OCCUR AT THE SFC OR IN BOUNDARY LAYER ? THIS FACTOR COUPLED WITH REALLY POOR LAPSE RATES IN THE H850-500 AND H700-500 LAYERS MAY INHIBIT SEVERE CONVECTION OVER THE ENTIRE AREA. WE PHONE COLLABORATED WITH SPC THIS MORNING AFTER THE DAY 1 OUTLOOK PLACED THE ENTIRE AREA IN A SLIGHT RISK. WE FELT AREAS SOUTH AND EAST OF THE ALY FCST AREA WOULD BE THE MOST VULNERABLE FOR SEVERE CAPABILITY...LEANING TOWARD THE GFS OVER THE WRF. THE INSTABILITY AXIS OFF THE WRF WARRANTED THE NRN EXTENT. WE WILL BE PLACING ENHANCED WORDING IN THE ZFP PRODUCT WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREAT FROM THE LOWER CATSKILLS...GREATER CAPITAL REGION AND SRN VT SOUTHWARD. THE UNIDIRECTIONAL LOW-MID LEVEL FLOW INDICATES MULTICELL CONVECTION MAY FORM INTO LINEAR SEGMENTS. THE POTENTIAL SEVERE CONVECTION WILL MOST LIKELY FIRE IN THE 16Z-19Z TIME FRAME. BACK TO THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT...WE WERE CONCERNED ABOUT ISOLD-SCT FLASH FLOOD/MINOR FLOODING ISSUES WITH THE HIGH PWATS, K INDICES IN THE UPPER 30S TO 40. WE COLLABORATED WITH BUF...BGM AND BTV FOR A POSSIBLE FLASH FLOOD WATCH. ALL FELT THE THREAT WOULD NOT BE THERE IN A WIDESPREAD FORM. EVEN HPC CHIMED IN AND FELT 1-2 AMOUNTS IN A 3-6 HOUR WINDOW WOULD YIELD ISOLD FLASH FLOODING AT BEST. THE GFS AND NAM BOTH PAINT 1-2.5 OVER THE CAPITAL REGION...AND THE FLOOD RAVAGED CNTRL MOHAWK VALLEY IN A 6-12 HR WINDOW. THE ZONE FFG VALUES SHOULD HOLD THESE AMOUNTS...BUT IF 2-3 FALL IN LESS THAN 3 HOURS PROBLEMS MAY ARISE IN URBAN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND ON THE SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS. WE WILL COMMUNICATE THIS THREAT BELOW IN THE HYDRO SECTION AND IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. THIS WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED CAREFULLY THROUGHOUT THE DAY. WE RAISED POPS TO CATEGORICAL AND LIKELY VALUES THROUGHOUT THE DAY. FRI NIGHT...WE LEANED CLOSER TO THE GFS AND CAN REG AND HAVE THE COOL FRONT AND SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE FCST AREA BY 01Z. THE WRF LINGERS THINGS LONGER...BUT ITS PERFORMANCE HAS BEEN WEAKER THE PAST FEW RUNS. THE COLD AIR ADVECTION IS WEAK BEHIND THE BOUNDARY WITH H850 TEMPS ONLY DROPPING TO +15/+16C. DEWPOINTS ONLY CRACK DOWN TO THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SATURDAY...SFC HIGH PRESSURE NUDGES IN FROM THE TN VALLEY AND NW FLOW KICK IN THE LOW TO MID LEVELS. H850 TEMPS +17C-+18C WITH A DOWNSLOPING COMPONENT PRODUCING COMPRESSIONAL/SUPERADIABATIC HEATING WOULD YIELD HIGHS IN THE U80 TO L90S IN THE VALLEYS. WE PLACED LOW CHANCES OF SHRAS/TSRAS OVER THE SRN ADIRONDACKS AND SRN GREENS WITH TERRAIN INDUCED INSTABILITY IN THE NW FLOW. ANOTHER SFC COLD FRONT DESCENDS SOUTHWARD FROM HUDSON BAY LATE IN THE DAY. SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...WE WENT WITH A DRY SCENARIO SATURDAY NIGHT WITH ANY CHANCES OF RAIN ACROSS THE NRN TIER ENDING EARLY. THE COOL FRONTAL BOUNDARY LOOKS LIKE A SLOW MOVER WITH IT PRESSING SOUTHWARD IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. INSTABILITY LOOKS MEAGER WITH LIMITED DYNAMICAL SUPPORT...SO WE WENT WITH A GENERIC LOW CHANCE OF SHRAS/TSRAS ON SUNDAY. LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... NO CHANGES WERE MADE BEYOND SUN NIGHT WITH THE HEAVY ANALYSIS ON THE POTENTIAL SHORT TERM SVR/HVY RAIN THREAT. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY BECOMES STATIONARY NEAR NY/PA ON MON. SFC HIGH PRESSURE MAY PUSH IT FAR ENOUGH SOUTHWARD FOR A DRY DAY ON MON. SLIGHT CHANCE OR LOW CHANCE POPS FOR SHRAS AND TSRAS ARE IN THE GRIDS MON NIGHT-THU...AS DISTURBANCES MOVE ALONG THE BOUNDARY INTO MID WEEK. TEMPS LOOK NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE STRETCH. AVIATION... A WARM AND HUMID SUMMERTIME AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY. VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH SUNRISE...EXCEPT FOR SOME AREAS OF MVFR IN HAZE. THERE ARE A FEW SHOWERS FROM ALB TO POU THROUGH SUNRISE...BUT WIDELY SCATTERED AND LIGHT SO ACKNOWLEDGING WITH VCSH. LARGER AREA OF CONVECTION WILL AFFECT ALL AREAS LATER THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON WITH LOCALLY IFR CONDITIONS IN THUNDERSTORMS. THE CONVECTION WILL EXIT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ALLOWING VFR CONDITIONS TO RETURN THIS EVENING. LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS UP TO 10 KT WILL SHIFT TO WEST BY THIS EVENING. FIRE WEATHER...RAINFALL EXPECTED TODAY SHOULD MINIMIZE ANY FIRE WEATHER THREATS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN HIGH TODAY IN THE 75-100% RANGE. THE WINDS WILL BE SOUTH AT 5 TO 15 MPH BEFORE SHIFTING TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS FOR MOST UPSTATE NEW YORK ON SATURDAY. HYDROLOGY...MOST AREAS RECEIVED WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS YESTERDAY WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS UP TO 1 INCH. TODAY WILL FEATURE MORE ORGANIZED CONVECTION AS AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE CROSSES THE AREA. WITH HIGHLY ANOMALOUS PRECIPITABLE WATERS OVER 2 SD ABOVE NORMAL...AND EARLIER OBSERVED 6 HOURLY RAINFALLS IN THE OHIO VALLEY FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES IN 6 HOURS...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS IN OUR REGION...ESPECIALLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN. LOCAL AMOUNTS COULD BE DOUBLE IN HIGHER TERRAIN...MEANING LOCAL POINT RAINFALLS 4 TO 6 INCHES IN A RELATIVELY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. SINCE FLASH FLOOD THREAT CONFINED TO WIDELY SCATTERED PEAKS IN THE ADIRONDACKS AND CATSKILLS...WHERE FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS THE LOWEST...NO FLASH FLOOD WATCH SINCE THREAT NOT QUITE WIDESPREAD ENOUGH...BUT HIGHLY LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY BE A PROBLEM THIS AFTERNOON. EVEN SOME URBAN AND SMALL STREAM NUISANCE FLOODING POSSIBLE WITH OVER 1 INCH OF RAIN IN AN HOUR ANYWHERE IN THE REGION. BASIN AVERAGE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE BETWEEN A HALF INCH AND THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH SO NO PROBLEMS EXPECTED ON THE LARGER RIVERS. LOCAL FLOODING THREAT WILL BE HIGHLIGHTED IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. && .ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...NONE. MA...NONE. NY...NONE. VT...NONE. && SHORT TERM...OKEEFE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 534 AM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ041-047>054-058>061-063>066-084- VTZ013>015-291100- NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE- SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN SARATOGA-SCHOHARIE- WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA- WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER- EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA- EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS- EASTERN DUTCHESS-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM- EASTERN WINDHAM- 534 AM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EASTERN CATSKILLS...GREATER CAPITAL REGION...MID HUDSON VALLEY...TACONICS...AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND... .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST FROM THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY. THE MAIN THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP INTO CLUSTERS AND LINES AND MOVE FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST AT 25 TO 30 MPH. ALSO...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS OF RAINFALL WILL OCCUR WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS. ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE IN POORLY DRAINED URBAN AREAS...IF THE THUNDERSTORMS REPEATEDLY MOVE OVER THE SAME AREAS. MINOR FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY ALSO OCCUR. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AND WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY NEEDED LATER TODAY. PLEASE REPORT ANY RAINFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF TWO INCHES VIA THE SPOTTER PHONE NUMBER OR WEBPAGE. NYZ032-033-038>040-042-043-082-083-291100- NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON- MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-NORTHERN FULTON- SOUTHEAST WARREN- 534 AM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE CENTRAL MOHAWK VALLEY...SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...AND THE LAKE GEORGE REGION. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR TODAY. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST AT AROUND 30 MPH. THUNDERSTORMS CONTAINING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING...IF THEY MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AND WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY. HOWEVER...PLEASE REPORT ANY RAINFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF TWO INCHES VIA THE SPOTTER PHONE NUMBER OR WEBPAGE. TAW
The Albany radar (KENX), 92 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 16:51 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Law enforcement personnel reported that 3 trees were blown down about a mile and a half north of the community of Herkimer, in the village of Kast Bridge.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New York in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in New York, July 2006
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5521606.