Deep moisture transport in advance of a weak shortwave caused thunderstorms to develop over portions of south central Missouri. Flash flooding occurred with a few of these thunderstorms.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SGF wrote it up.
Deep moisture transport in advance of a weak shortwave caused thunderstorms to develop over portions of south central Missouri. Flash flooding occurred with a few of these thunderstorms.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 16, 2:25 AM CST, 9 hours 20 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 325 AM CDT MON OCT 16 2006 .DISCUSSION... AN AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN IS CURRENTLY MAKING ITS WAY INTO SOUTHERN MISSOURI BEING AIDED BY GOOD ISENTROPIC LIFT AT AROUND THE 305K SURFACE...GOOD UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT...AND A 40-50 KT LOW LEVEL JET. UPPER LOW NOW SITUATED OVER NEW MEXICO IS PROGGED TO LIFT OUT...WEAKEN...AND MOVE THROUGH THE AREA BY TUESDAY. AS THE UPPER LOW LIFTS OUT TODAY...RAIN SHIELD WILL TO CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION. LOOKS LIKE MOST OF THE AREA WILL RECEIVE SOME BENEFICIAL RAINS...WITH SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI GETTING THE BEST SOAKING. WITH DRY ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS AND RELATIVELY HIGH FLASH FLOOD VALUES....DO NOT SEE MUCH OF A FLOOD THREAT OVER THE AREA AT THIS TIME. CLOUDS TO HANG IN OVER THE AREA TONIGHT WITH PATCHY FOG IN THE WEST AND AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL REGIONS. TUESDAY LOOKS TO BE A FAIRLY DECENT DAY AS THE CLOUDS BREAK AND TEMPERATURES REBOUND INTO THE 70S. THE NEXT SYSTEM THEN APPROACHES THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. BEST CHANCES FOR RAIN LOOK TO BE ACROSS THE NORTHERN CWA AND DID NOT MAKE ANY ADJUSTMENTS TO THE GOING FORECAST AT THIS TIME. FRONTAL PASSAGE ON WEDNESDAY WILL AGAIN COOL US BACK DOWN INTO THE 50S FOR HIGHS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. GAEDE && .AVIATION... FOR 12Z TAFS...WILL CONTINUE PREDOMINANT RAIN THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING WITH CEILINGS/VISIBILITY AVERAGING AROUND LOW END MVFR AND OCCASIONAL DROPS TO IFR. EXPECT MUCH OF THE PRECIP TO END DURING MID/LATE AFTERNOON AROUND JOPLIN...AND LAGGING INTO EARLY EVENING BEFORE ENDING AT SPRINGFIELD. WILL PROBABLY HOLD ON TO MVFR OVERCAST THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH LARGE MOISTURE SHIELD OVER THE REGION. GUSTY SURFACE SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 20 KTS AT TIMES. MMT && .SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...NONE. KS...NONE. WFO SGF
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 536 AM CDT MON OCT 16 2006 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-171100- BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON- ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS- LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON- LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE- TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- 536 AM CDT MON OCT 16 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED: AREAS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE ISOLATED FLOODING LOW WATER CROSSINGS. AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING: THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL OCCUR DURING THE DAY MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44. DISCUSSION: AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL INTERACT WITH MOISTURE MOVING NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO TO PRODUCE A STEADY RAIN THROUGHOUT THE DAY. A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. ISOLATED FLOODING OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS MAY DEVELOP WHERE PROLONGED HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. && THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE) GAEDE
The Springfield radar (KSGF), 161 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 17:49 UTC.
5 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy rain caused a low water crossing over Highway 142 to become impassable to motorists.
Heavy rain caused a low water crossing over Highway 142 to become impassable to motorists.
Haskins Ford Road and County Road 865 were closed due to high water.
Myatt Creek flooded a section of Highway 142.
A low water crossing on Highway T flooded and became impassable to motorists.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, October 2006
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 6584, 6585, 6586, 6587, 6588.