Damaging Wind in Missouri, July 21, 2006

Name: Damaging Wind in Missouri, July 21, 2006
Start: 2006-07-21T12:30
End: 2006-07-21T12:30
Location: Missouri

July 21, 2006 · NWS PAH · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 thunderstorm wind, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

Tornadoes
Tropical storms and surge
Floods
Wind
Hail
Winter weather
Heat and drought
Cold
Fire, smoke and dust
Marine and coastal
Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths: 0
Injuries: 0
Property damage: None recorded
Crop damage: None recorded
Events: 1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 21, 1:00 AM CST, 11 hours 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 21, 1:00 AM CST, 11 hours 30 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
200 AM CDT FRI JUL 21 2006

.DISCUSSION...
THE BRIEFING WAS THAT THE GFS WAS SCREAMING CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK BUT
IT SURE IS HANDLING NEAR TERM CONVECTION WELL...BETTER THAN WRF.
MAIN COMPLEX OF TSMS IN VCNTY OF SURFACE LOW...SHOULD CONT ESE SLIDE
AND AFFECT MAINLY NERN PTNS PAH FA EARLY THIS AM. AFTER THAT IS WHEN
MAYBE THE FEEDBACK COMES INTO PLAY AND AS SUCH WELL USE GFS W/
CAUTION AND IN TANDEM W/ WRF. BOTH MODELS DIVE FRONT SOUTH ACROSS FA
BY LATE FRIDAY-FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH CONVECTION DEVELOPING JUST TO THE
WEST DURING THE HEAT OF THE DAY AND EXPANDING EAST OVER ENTIRE QUAD
STATE OVERNIGHT. AS A RESULT WEVE UPPED POPS TO CATEGORICAL FRI
NIGHT W/LOWEST MODEL MOS OUTPUT OF ANY KIND IN THE HIGH LIKELY CATEGORY.

THE FRONT WILL BE DRIVEN THRU BY THE PASSAGE OF THE UPPER TROF
FAIRLY EARLY IN THE DAY SATURDAY...THEREFORE WEVE ELIMINATED POPS
AFT 18Z. GFS IS FASTER THAN WRF BUT BOTH ARE QUICK AND HAVE BEEN
TRENDING FASTER SO WERE REASONABLY COMFORTABLE EXITING PCPN BY
THEN. CERTAINLY NUMERICAL MOS OUTPUT OF ALL MODELS SUPPORTS DOING SO.

AFTER THAT THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE OTHER THAN THE ELIMINATION OF A
SLGT CHANCE TUE. WE CONSIDERED SHIFTING IT TO TUE NIGHT BUT THEN WE
REALLY COULDNT RULE OUT 20 POPS DEFINITIVELY FOR SEVERAL TIME
PERIODS. GIVEN THE DRY POST FRONTAL REGIME IN THE NEAR TERM...WE
DECIDED TO JUST WAIT TIL THE MODELS BEGIN TO OUTPUT A MORE CONDUCIVE
TO PCPN PATTERN. THIS LOOKS LIKE IT COULD BE COMING TOGETHER BY DAY
7 BUT WELL FOLLOW THE USUAL ROUTINE AND WAIT FOR SOME CONSISTENCY
ON THIS OUTPUT BEFORE INTRODUCING IT.

NEAR TERM NGM MOS LOOKS GOOD BLENDED INTO MAV/MEX MOS AND THE
COLLABORATIVE PICTURE IN THE MEDIUM-LONG RANGE.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 21, 10:25 AM CST, 2 hours 5 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1125 AM CDT FRI JUL 21 2006

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-221630-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
1125 AM CDT FRI JUL 21 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ENTIRE
AREA TODAY. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE THE MAIN
THREATS...WITH SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE POSSIBLE DUE TO THE LARGE
AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR IN THE ATMOSPHERE.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN MOVING INTO THE
AREA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA. THE THREAT FOR
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A LINGERING CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY...
HOWEVER...NO WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVIATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 21, 12:07 PM CST, 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
107 PM CDT FRI JUL 21 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0102 AM     HAIL             5 SE MOUNT VERNON       38.27N 88.85W
07/21/2006  E0.88 INCH       JEFFERSON          IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JG

Local storm report, Jul 21, 12:08 PM CST, 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
108 PM CDT FRI JUL 21 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 AM     TSTM WND DMG     MOUNT VERNON            38.32N 88.91W
07/21/2006                   JEFFERSON          IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ONE TREE DOWN

&&

JG

Local storm report, Jul 21, 12:11 PM CST, 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
111 PM CDT FRI JUL 21 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1257 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SESSER                  38.09N 89.05W
07/21/2006                   FRANKLIN           IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE LIMBS DOWN...TREE DOWN IN SESSER

&&

JG

Local storm report, Jul 21, 12:13 PM CST, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
113 PM CDT FRI JUL 21 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MOUNT VERNON            38.32N 88.91W
07/21/2006                   JEFFERSON          IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ONE TREE DOWN

0101 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BENTON                  38.01N 88.92W
07/21/2006                   FRANKLIN           IL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            SIGNS BLOWN DOWN...TREES DOWN...STANDING WATER ON THE
            ROAD

0102 PM     HAIL             5 SE MOUNT VERNON       38.27N 88.85W
07/21/2006  E0.88 INCH       JEFFERSON          IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JG

Local storm report, Jul 21, 12:16 PM CST, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
116 PM CDT FRI JUL 21 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0108 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DU QUOIN                38.00N 89.24W
07/21/2006                   PERRY              IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN CITY WIDE

&&

JG

Local storm report, Jul 21, 12:18 PM CST, 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
118 PM CDT FRI JUL 21 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0108 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MURPHYSBORO             37.77N 89.34W
07/21/2006                   JACKSON            IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER LINES DOWN

&&

JG

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 113 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 18:29 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Bollinger

When: July 21, 12:30 PM CST
Where: Bollinger County, Sedgewickville
Measured: 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
Reported by: LAW ENFORCEMENT
Coordinates: 37.517, -89.917

Trees were down across a highway.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind: Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

Every storm in Missouri in 2006 Every state in 2006 This day in weather history Warnings in Missouri, July 2006

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5521975.