Flood in Minnesota, April 7 to 8, 2006

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR SOUTHEAST SD/SOUTHWEST MN/NORTHWEST IA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
305 AM CDT FRI APR 7 2006

.DISCUSSION...

SYSTEM WRAPPING UP AND DROPPING SOUTH EARLY THIS MORNING WITH
CONVECTION RAPIDLY WANING. STILL A LARGE AREA OF WRAP AROUND
PRECIPITATION...THAT IS BEING EATEN AWAY ALONG NORTHERN EDGE...AND
THIS DRYING WILL INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT WITH MOST PRECIP
SOUTH OF THE CWA BY 18Z. RAINFALL GOT WITHIN A COUPLE OF MILES OF
HURON...BUT NEVER QUITE MADE IT. SOME SPOTTY SHOWERS AROUND
ATY/ABR/PIR BUT THESE WILL ALSO RAPIDLY DIE. HEAVIEST BAND OF PRECIP
SET UP PRETTY CLOSE TO I90 WITH RAINFALL RATES CLOSE TO AN INCH AN
HOUR AT TIMES. IN THE END...SHOULD SEE A BAND OF RAINFALL FROM 1.5
TO 2.5 FAIRLY CLOSE TO I90 FROM ABOUT MITCHELL TO JACKSON MN. QUITE
A BIT OF STANDING WATER AROUND THE SIOUX FALLS AREA WITH WATER INTO
SOME OF THE BUSINESSES NEAR I90 AND CLIFF AND SILVER CREEK NEAR
RENNER OUT OF ITS BANKS.

OTHERWISE...LOOKING AT MUCH DRIER AND COOLER AIR TO ADVECT IN
TODAY...BRINGING CLEARING SKIES. MAY SEE A FEW AFTERNOON CU BUT DOES
NOT LOOK LIKE MUCH. HIGH PRESSURE THEN SETTLES IN TONIGHT FOR WHAT
SHOULD BE THE COOLEST NIGHT COMING UP. WEAK SOUTHEAST FLOW THEN SETS
UP ON SATURDAY AND WHILE COOL...LIGHT WINDS AND LOTS OF SUN SHOULD
CREATE A PLEASANT DAY.

WARMER SOUTHERLY FLOW INCREASES ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY AND INCREASED
HIGHS A BIT BOTH DAYS. SHOULD BE A LITTLE BREEZY BOTH DAYS AS WELL.
STILL LOOKING AT A SYSTEM COMING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...BUT MORE OF
A COLD FRONTAL EVENT WHICH USUALLY IS NOT VERY EXCITING FOR US IN
APRIL. AFTER THIS...LOOKING AT A MILD PATTERN SETTING UP FOR MID TO
LATE WEEK...AND WENT AHEAD AND BUMPED UP HIGHS AND LOWS FOR THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY.

WILL GO AHEAD AND CANCEL FLOOD WATCH AS EVENT IS ONGOING AND MORE
INTENSE RAINFALL RATES WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE. SEE NO REASON TO
REMOVE WIND ADVISORY FOR TODAY...SO WILL MAKE NO CHANGES THERE.

&&

.FSD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR IAZ001-IAZ002-
     IAZ003-IAZ012-IAZ013-IAZ014-IAZ020-IAZ021-IAZ022-IAZ031-
     IAZ032.

MN...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR MNZ071-MNZ072-
     MNZ080-MNZ081-MNZ089-MNZ090-MNZ097-MNZ098.

NE...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR NEZ013-NEZ014.

SD...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR SDZ040-SDZ055-
     SDZ056-SDZ061-SDZ062-SDZ065-SDZ066-SDZ067-SDZ068-SDZ069-
     SDZ070-SDZ071.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR SDZ038-SDZ039-
     SDZ050-SDZ052-SDZ053-SDZ054-SDZ057-SDZ058-SDZ059-SDZ060-
     SDZ063-SDZ064.

&&

08

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
601 AM CDT FRI APR 07 2006

SDZ038>040-050-052>071-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-098-
IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-NEZ013-014-081200-
AURORA-BEADLE-BON HOMME-BROOKINGS-BRULE-BUENA VISTA IA-
CHARLES MIX-CHEROKEE IA-CLAY-CLAY IA-COTTONWOOD MN-DAKOTA NE-
DAVISON-DICKINSON IA-DIXON NE-DOUGLAS-GREGORY-HANSON-HUTCHINSON-
IDA IA-JACKSON MN-JERAULD-KINGSBURY-LAKE-LINCOLN-LINCOLN MN-
LYON IA-LYON MN-MCCOOK-MINER-MINNEHAHA-MOODY-MURRAY MN-NOBLES MN-
OBRIEN IA-OSCEOLA IA-PIPESTONE MN-PLYMOUTH IA-ROCK MN-SANBORN-
SIOUX IA-TURNER-UNION-WOODBURY IA-YANKTON-
601 AM CDT FRI APR 07 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA...
SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...NORTHWEST IOWA...AND NORTHEAST NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

FLOODING...
MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG SOME RIVERS AND STREAMS FROM
SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA...INTO NORTHWEST IOWA AND SOUTHWEST
MINNESOTA.

HEAVY RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVERNIGHT ALONG INTERSTATE 90
FROM MITCHELL EAST INTO SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA WILL RESULT IN MANY
CREEKS AND STREAMS CLIMBING TO OR EXCEEDING BANKFULL.

WIND AND FOG...
NORTHEAST WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE MORNING HOURS...BUT SHOULD DECREASE
DURING THE AFTERNOON TO 15 TO 30 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/FSD. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.