1 lightning, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 11, 11:15 PM EST, 2 hours 24 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 1115 PM EST SAT MAR 11 2006 .AVIATION... COLD FRONT OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION BETWEEN 09-13Z. WIDESPREAD MVFR CONDITIONS AHEAD OF COLD FRONT WITH EMBEDDED CONVECTION...ESPECIALLY FROM PTK SOUTHWARD WHERE BEST LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE/LOW LEVEL JET FOCUSED. ANTICIPATE CONVECTION TO BEGIN IN DTW AREA AROUND 07Z...AND FNT/MBS AROUND 0730-0800Z. MAIN CONCERN WITH CONVECTION WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR HAIL...UP TO ONE HALF INCH ESPECIALLY IN DTW AREA WHERE BETTER LIFT AND MOISTURE WILL FOCUS. SMALL HAIL EVEN POSSIBLE IN FNT/MBS AREAS WITH VERY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. ANTICIPATE AREAS OF IFR MAINLY IN DTW/DET AREA 08-12Z. COLD FRONT TO STALL OUT OVER THE NORTHERN OHIO VALLEY SUNDAY MORNING...WITH MVFR CLOUDS LINGERING IN THE DTW AREA THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY. ANTICIPATE RETURN TO VFR CONDTIONS BY AFTERNOON IN MBS/FNT AREAS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO TO THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES REGION. NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO AFFECT THE REGION AROUND 06Z MONDAY IN FAST SOUTHWEST FLOW. STRONG LIFT ALONG AND AHEAD OF ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT WILL FOCUS CONVECTION IN MBS/FNT AREAS AT END OF TAF FORECAST PERIOD...WITH A QUICK RETURN TO MVFR CONDTIONS BY 06Z. && .SHORT TERM...TONIGHT AND SUNDAY LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN MINNESOTA WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK INTO ONTARIO OVERNIGHT. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY LAGS BEHIND THIS SYSTEM ACROSS EASTERN IOWA TO MISSOURI. CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO FIRE ALONG THE SOUTHERN END OF THIS BOUNDARY ACROSS SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WILL NEED TO WATCH THIS FEATURE FOR RAIN POTENTIAL AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. MOST MODELS SHOW SOMEWHAT OF A WAVE RIDING UP ALONG THIS BOUNDARY...WITH THE GFS BEING THE STRONGEST WITH THIS FEATURE. THE GFS HAS TRENDED CONSIDERABLY FURTHER NORTH WITH THIS FEATURE OVER THE PAST THREE CYCLES AND AM WONDERING IF CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK IS LEADING IT ASTRAY. WILL THEREFORE LEAN FORECAST TOWARDS THE NAMX SOLUTION WHICH HAS SUPPORT FROM THE UKMET AND GEM SHOWING THIS WAVE TRACKING ALONG OR JUST SOUTH OF THE MICHIGAN BORDER. THIS IDEA SEEMS REASONABLE WITH THE WARM FRONT STILL LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND WILL LIKELY STALL OUT ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA/OHIO OVERNIGHT. THE LOW LEVEL THETA-E RIDGE GENERALLY REMAINS SOUTH OF THE STATE LINE WHICH ALSO SUPPORTS THE TENDENCY FOR THE TRACK TO REMAIN TO THE SOUTH. DESPITE THIS SOUTHERN TRACK WE ARE STILL LOOKING AT GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AS WELL AS A LOW LEVEL JET ACROSS SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND INDIANA. THERE IS GOOD MID LEVEL INSTABILITY AS WELL. FEEL CONFIDENT ENOUGH THAT HEAVIEST PRECIP WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CWA WHERE WE HAVE PLACED HIGHEST POPS TO NOT ISSUE A FLOOD WATCH FOR THE NORTHERN CWA. FLOOD WARNINGS ARE ALREADY OUT FOR THE CASS RIVER FROM VASSAR TO FRANKENMUTH AND THE TITTABAWASSEE RIVER IN MIDLAND. OTHER CREEKS MAY BE RUNNING HIGH AS WELL WITH SATURATED SOILS...BUT WITH ONLY THREE TENTHS OF AN INCH OF PRECIP OR LESS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...THINK CURRENT WARNINGS HAVE SITUATION COVERED WELL. QPF ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CWA WILL GENERALLY BE AROUND A HALF INCH WITH A SMALL BAND POSSIBLY RECEIVING AN INCH OR MORE DEPENDING ON THE TRACK OF THE MCS OVERNIGHT. SOILS ARE NOT AS SATURATED ACROSS THE SOUTH WHERE LITTLE SNOW WAS AROUND TO MELT OVER THE PAST WEEK. HAVE EXTENDED PRECIP INTO SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN CWA BUT WILL EXPECT THIS TO BE WRAPPING UP BY MID MORNING. DEEP MOISTURE WILL STRIP AWAY PRETTY QUICKLY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. A THIN DECK OF STRATO CU WILL CLEAR IN THE NORTH AND SCATTER OUT IN THE SOUTH DURING THE AFTERNOON AS 850MB RH DROPS BELOW 10 PERCENT ACROSS NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. THE WEAK COLD FRONT THAT SLIDES THROUGH OVERNIGHT WILL HAVE LITTLE EFFECT ON TEMPERATURES. HIGHS ON SUNDAY WILL RANGE FROM MID 60S SOUTH TO UPPER 50S NORTH. && .LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY THE OVERALL MEAN TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN US WILL LIFT ACROSS THE PLAINS AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS AN UPPER LOW NOW OVER THE BERING SEA RAPIDLY MOVES ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA AND INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST BY MONDAY. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE NAM...THE 12Z MODEL SUITE CONTINUE TO BE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SYSTEM AND ARE FAIRLY WELL INITIALIZED OVER WESTERN NORTH AMERICA. THE UPPER WAVE AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ARE STILL EXPECTED TO PASS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES ON MONDAY. THERE HAS BEEN A LITTLE INCONSISTENCY WITH RESPECT TO TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM FROM RUN TO RUN...WITH THE 12Z RUNS A TOUCH SLOWER THAN EARLIER RUNS. THE UPPER WAVE WILL REMAIN OPEN AS IT HEADS ACROSS THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES ON MONDAY...EVENTUALLY CLOSING OFF OVER SOUTHERN QUEBEC BY TUESDAY MORNING. GIVEN THE REASONABLE AGREEMENT AMONG THE 12Z MODEL SUITE AND WITH A FAIRLY GOOD INITIALIZATION UPSTREAM...WILL LEAN THE FORECAST TOWARD THE CURRENT GFS TIMING AND TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MI EARLY MON AFTERNOON. DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE UPPER WAVE WILL TRANSPORT AMPLE MOISTURE INTO THE GREAT LAKES SUNDAY NIGHT. GFS MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RISING TO 1.3 INCHES BY 12Z MON. GFS EVEN STRENGTHENS THE 850MB WIND MAX TO 60 TO 70 KNOTS OVER THE OHIO VALLEY BY 12Z MON. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL LIFT ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SUN NIGHT...SENDING A WARM FRONT NORTH ACROSS SOUTHERN MICHIGAN. AMPLE CONVERGENCE ON THE NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET AND ALONG THE SURFACE WARM FRONT COUPLED WITH THE INCREASE IN MOISTURE WILL SPELL A GOOD CHANCE FOR RAIN. GFS SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO SHOW A DEEP ELEVATED MIXED LAYER ABOVE THE 850MB MOIST AXIS WITH SHOWALTER INDICES FALLING TO 0 TO -2C. SO THUNDERSTORMS STILL LOOK LIKE A GOOD BET. GIVEN THE AVAILABLE MOISTURE THAT IS EXPECTED... SOME HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE GFS LOOKS TO SUFFER FROM A LITTLE CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK. LOOKING AT THE WRF HEMISPHERIC AND EUROPEAN SUITE POINTS TO THE BEST CHANCES OF RAIN OCCURRING AFTER MIDNIGHT SUN NIGHT THROUGH EARLY MON MORNING. THE 12Z SUITE...MUCH LIKE THE MODEL RUNS OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS...SHOW A VERY STRONG PUNCH OF MID LEVEL DRY AIR ADVANCING INTO SE MICHIGAN SUN AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS MAY SEVERELY LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION TO DEVELOP ALONG THE SURFACE COLD FRONT LATE SUN AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE A GOOD BIT OF WARM AIR WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR OF THE SURFACE LOW. WILL THUS CARRY MAX TEMPS ON MON ABOVE GUIDANCE. WILL KEEP THE SAGINAW VALLEY IN THE 50S THOUGH IN THE EVENT THE SURFACE LOW TRACKS ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MI PER GFS SOLUTION. EUROPEAN SUITE SUGGEST A SLIGHTLY FARTHER NORTH TRACK OF THE LOW...WHICH WOULD ALLOW THE WARMER AIR TO ADVECT ALL THE WAY INTO MBS. THE COLD AIR ADVECTION IN THE WAKE OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT LATE MON AFTERNOON AND EVENING IS STILL QUITE IMPRESSIVE. 850MB TEMPS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO FALL TO -12C BY TUES MORNING. STRONG SUBSIDENCE IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...ALONG WITH THE AGGRESSIVE COLD AIR ADVECTION SHOULD ALLOW SOME STRONGER WINDS TO BE BROUGHT TO THE SURFACE MON NIGHT...PERHAPS EVEN APPROACHING ADVISORY CRITERIA. THE OVERALL PATTERN IS STILL EXPECTED TO BECOME ZONAL BY MID WEEK. THE NEXT SYSTEM TO MONITOR WILL BE A WAVE LIFTING OUT OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND ACROSS THE MID SECTION OF THE COUNTRY WED INTO FRI. THE 12Z GFS HAS TRENDED A LITTLE SLOWER WITH THIS WAVE AND MORE IN LINE WITH THE TIMING ON THE ECMWF. MODEL TRENDS HAVE STILL BEEN ERRATIC WITH RESPECT TO THE NORTHWARD EXTEND OF THIS WAVE. THE CHANCE OF SNOW ON THURSDAY STILL LOOKS GOOD...WILL JUST PUSH THE CHANCE INTO THURS NIGHT BASED OFF THE MODEL TRENDS. WITH DEEP TROUGHING PERSISTING OVER EASTERN CANADA...TEMPS WILL REMAIN BELOW CLIMO THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. && .DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MI...NONE. LAKE HURON...NONE. LAKE ST CLAIR...NONE. MI WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...NONE. && SHORT TERM...KAHL LONG TERM....CONSIDINE AVIATION...KAHL YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 1250 AM EST SUN MAR 12 2006 MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-121200- MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER- ST.CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE- 1250 AM EST SUN MAR 12 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AN AREA OF RAIN...WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS...WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT. THE HIGHEST CONCENTRATION OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST SOUTH OF THE M 59 CORRIDOR...WHERE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO HALF AN INCH AND PEA SIZED HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES. ALTHOUGH NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE WITH SOME OF THE STORMS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT. LCZ422-423-460-LEZ444-LHZ421-422-441>443-462>464-121200- ST. CLAIR RIVER-DETROIT RIVER-LAKE ST. CLAIR- MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE-OUTER SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY- PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI- PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- LAKE HURON OFFSHORE BEYOND 5 NM FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI- LAKE HURON OFFSHORE BEYOND 5 NM FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI- LAKE HURON OFFSHORE BEYOND 5 NM FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- 1250 AM EST SUN MAR 12 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ST CLAIR...THE MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE HURON. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AN AREA OF RAIN...WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS...WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT. THE HIGHEST CONCENTRATION OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST FROM LAKE ST CLAIR SOUTH INTO WESTERN LAKE ERIE...WHERE PEA SIZED HAIL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER ALL THE NEARSHORE WATERS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WITH GALE FORCE WINDS EXPECTED ON THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE HURON BY TUESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT. DG YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).
The Detroit radar (KDTX), 102 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 06:39 UTC.
1 lightning. Local standard time, as filed.
A lightning strike sparked a house fire leading to smoke and water damage estimated at 35K to the structure and 15K to the contents.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Michigan in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in Michigan, March 2006
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5490530.