Kentucky, 2006Damaging Wind in Kentucky, July 3 to 4, 2006
July 3 to 4, 2006 · NWS JKL · 1 event in 1 county or zone
1 thunderstorm wind, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 3, 7:25 PM EST, 4 hours 33 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 3, 7:25 PM EST, 4 hours 33 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
825 PM EDT MON JUL 3 2006
.DISCUSSION...
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS WANED NOW AS THE SUN SETS. RUC CONTINUES TO
FIRE SOME STORMS TO OUR SOUTH OVERNIGHT WITH A WEAK IMPULSE OVER THE
SEQUATCHIE VALLEY BUT BELIEVE EAST KENTUCKY WILL REMAIN MOSTLY IN THE
DRY FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT...WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE ACTIVITY IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE OHIO VALLEY. WHILE CAN/T
RULE OUT A SHOWER OR TWO FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...COVERAGE SHOULD
REMAIN WELL LESS THAN 10% AND WILL UPDATE ZONES TO RID THEM OF THE
EVENING POPS AND HANDLE ANYTHING THAT DOES FIRE WITH A NOWCAST.
REMAINDER OF FORECAST SUITE LOOKS IN EXCELLENT SHAPE AND WILL NEED NO
UPDATE. HAVE A GOOD NIGHT...
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION...
237 PM EDT MON JUL 3 2006
QUASI-STATIONARY SFC BOUNDARY HAS RETREATED TO THE NORTHERN PORTION
OF THE OHIO VALLEY. THE INCREASED SFC MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA HAS
LED TO MORE ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE AREA. WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR COVERAGE AND MAY INCLUDE A 20 POP FOR ALL ZONES EARLY THIS
EVENING.
A SLOWER FRONTAL PROGRESSION STILL LOOKS IN THE OFFING AS GUIDANCE
HAS TRENDED BACK ON POPS FOR TOMORROW AS THE BOUNDARY SLOWLY SAGS
TOWARD THE AREA FROM THE NORTH. MAIN PRECIPITATION EVENT ADVERTISED
BY BOTH THE GFS AND NAM/WRF LOOKS TO BE TUESDAY NIGHT AND DURING THE
DAY WEDNESDAY...AS UPPER LEVEL FORCING INCREASES AND S/W/S TRAVERSE
ATOP THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. HAVE INCREASED POPS TO HIGH LIKELY FOR THE
NORTHERN TWO THIRDS TUESDAY NIGHT...AND MAINTAINED PERSISTENCE FOR
WEDNESDAY AS THE FRONT SLIDES ON THROUGH BY THURSDAY MORNING. GFS HAD
BEEN RELATIVELY CONSISTENT WITH THE TIMING OF THE EXIT...HOWEVER 00Z
AND 12Z RUNS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS HAVE BEEN WAFFLING...SO STUCK
CLOSE TO PERSISTENCE HERE AS WELL...ENDING ALL POPS BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.
A SEVERE AS WELL AS AN ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING THREAT WILL BE
POSSIBLE FROM TUESDAY ALONG AND NORTH OF I-64...AND TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. THE CURRENT HWO HAS ALL
OF THIS WELL HANDLED.
A MORE PLEASANT AIR MASS WILL REPLACE THE CURRENT ONE ON
THURSDAY...WITH DRY WEATHER AND MODERATING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
1211 PM EDT MON JUL 3 2006
DID A SLIGHT SPATIAL EXPANSION OF THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
OVER OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS LOOK FAVORABLE FOR THEM TO FIRE...WITH MORE MID LEVEL
MOISTURE PRESENT IN OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES TO RESULT IN LESS
ENTRAINMENT OF DRY AIR IN THE CONVECTIVE CURRENTS AS THEY BUILD
UPWARD. THERE HAS BEEN VERY ISOLATED COVERAGE FOR THE PAST COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND SUSPECT THE COVERAGE MIGHT BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER TODAY.
OUTSIDE OF THE SLIGHT CHANCE AREA...HAVE LOWERED CLOUD COVER THIS
AFTERNOON TO THE MOSTLY SUNNY CATEGORY...EXPECTING CONDITIONS
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY. HAVE ALSO ADDED HUMID WORDING TO THE ZFP UP
UNTIL COLD FROPA...AND HAVE ADDED WORDING FOR LESS HUMIDITY ON
THURSDAY AFTER COLD FROPA.
540 AM EDT MON JUL 3 2006
THIS MORNINGS SFC CHART SHOWS A NEAR STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY
STRETCHING FROM PA WESTWARD...THROUGH CNTRL OH...IN...AND IL. A
SECOND FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS HEADING SE FROM CANADA...CURRENTLY
ENTERING THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION. SFC HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED
OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS...EASTERN TN VALLEY. RADAR
SHOWS FAIRLY ACTIVE WEATHER TO THE NORTH ALONG THE STATIONARY
BOUNDARY. EACH CLUSTER OR COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS IS ACTING AS A
WAVE OR RIPPLE ALONG THE FRONT...SHIFTING THE BOUNDARY SLIGHTLY
NORTH AND THEN SOUTH AS THEY PASS. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
CONTINUES TO FIRE AROUND THE SFC HIGH PRESSURE CENTER TO OUR SOUTH
AS WELL. ALSO NOTICED THAT SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS LASTED MUCH LONGER
INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TODAY THAN YESTERDAY.
THE GFS TRENDED FASTER WITH WEDNESDAY COLD FRONT. THE WRF HELD
STEADY...MORE IN LINE WITH THE ECMWF. ALSO...THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN
CONTINUES TO SHOW A SLOWER TRANSITION TO THE FRONT ACROSS OUR AREA.
CONSEQUENTLY...STAY WITH PERSISTENCE AND PREVIOUS SHIFTS TIMING FOR
MID DAY TO MID AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY FROPA.
OTHERWISE...NO MAJOR CHANGES IN LAST NIGHTS MODEL RUNS AND THIS IS
REFLECTED IN THE FORECAST AS WELL. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT CHANGE WAS
TO ADD A SLIGHT POP TO OUR SOUTHERN MOST ZONES FOR LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. WHILE ACTIVITY HAS BEEN ISOLATED AT BEST
OVER THE WEEKEND...EACH PASSING DAY HAS SEEN A BIT OF AN INCREASE IN
COVERAGE WITH ACTIVITY REACHING SLIGHTLY FURTHER TO THE NORTH AROUND
THE SFC HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO OUR SOUTH. BOTH THE WRF AND GFS FCST
SOUNDINGS SHOW CONSIDERABLY DEEPER MOISTURE TO OUR SOUTH. AND BOTH
MODELS HINTED AT A WEAK SHORT WAVE...MORE OF RIPPLE TRACKING THROUGH
THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE GFS WAS A BIT STRONGER
WITH THIS RIPPLE...AND BASED ON ITS FCST SOUNDINGS APPARENTLY ENOUGH
TO WEAKEN THE MID LEVEL CAP FURTHER TO OUR SOUTH. FINALLY...WITH DEW
POINTS NOW REACHING INTO THE UPPER 60S ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF OUR AREA AND WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING WELL INTO THE 90S...IT IS
HARD NOT TO GET A FEW LATE DAY POP UPS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN.
WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION POTENTIAL THREATS...PARTICULARLY ISOLD
FLASH FLOODING IN THE HWO. PW/S STILL FORECASTED TO BE AROUND 2
INCHES WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. HOWEVER...IF GFS/S FASTER
TREND TO SYSTEM MOVEMENT PANS OUT...FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL LOWER AS
WELL.
&&
.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&
ABE
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 3, 7:46 PM EST, 4 hours 12 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
846 PM EDT MON JUL 3 2006
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-041215-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
846 PM EDT MON JUL 3 2006
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
AND AGAIN SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 64 ON THURSDAY.
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 64
CORRIDOR ON TUESDAY...AND FOR THE ENTIRE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN
THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE
OUTLOOK AREA FROM TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS A SLOW MOVING COLD
FRONT PUSHES THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY. THIS WILL LEAD TO THE
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. ALSO...SPOTTERS
ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL IN REPORTS OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OR FLOODING
TUESDAY...TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
RAY/GEOGERIAN/ABE
Thunderstorm Wind, Breathitt
- When
- July 3, 11:58 PM EST to July 4, 1:02 AM EST
- Where
- Breathitt County, Jackson
- Measured
- 53 kt (61 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $1,000
- Reported by
- NWS EMPLOYEE(OFF DUTY)
- Coordinates
- 37.550, -83.383
Few trees down in Lakeside subdivision. Shingles off of employees home.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Rip Current in Maryland, July 3, 20061 death · 1 injured · 1 event
- Damaging Winds and Lightning Strike in Indiana, July 3, 2006$141,000 · 60 kt wind · 4 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Virginia, July 3, 2006$74,000 · 70 kt wind · 8 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Connecticut, July 3, 2006$60,000 · 1 in hail · 3 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Iowa, July 3, 2006$36,000 · 1 in hail · 7 events
- Flash Flood in Colorado, July 3, 2006$40,000 · 1 event
- Hail and Damaging Wind in Massachusetts, July 3, 2006$25,000 · 50 kt wind · 3 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Ohio, July 3, 2006$17,000 · 1 in hail · 10 events
- Damaging Winds in New York, July 3, 2006$20,000 · 50 kt wind · 2 events
- Damaging Wind in Tennessee, July 3, 2006$20,000 · 60 kt wind · 1 event
- Hail and Damaging Winds in West Virginia, July 3, 20061 injured · 50 kt wind · 7 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Iowa, July 3, 2006$14,000 · 52 kt wind · 4 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5519347.