1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 13, 9:36 AM EST, 4 hours 49 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 1036 AM EDT THU JUL 13 2006 .DISCUSSION... FORECAST PRETTY MUCH ON TRACK THIS MORNING. LATEST SATELLITE OBS SHOW AN AREA OF CLEAR SKIES IN SOUTHERN PORTION OF FORECAST AREA...BUT ANTICIPATE THIS WILL CONTINUE TO QUICKLY FILL IN AS DAYTIME HEATING INTENSIFIES. A FEW SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS ALSO MOVING ACROSS FA THIS MORNING AS PER FORECAST. THESE ALSO SHOULD INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY WITH INCREASE IN SURFACE HEATING AND APPROACH OF SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. TEMPERATURES LOOKED GOOD ACROSS THE BOARD WITH THE EXCEPTION OF JKL...AS WE HAD A SHOWER MOVE OVERHEAD AROUND 1430Z...WHICH CAUSED THE TEMPERATURE TO DROP SEVERAL DEGREES. OTHER THAN THAT...EVERYTHING IS IN GOOD SHAPE. REMOVED SOME MORNING AND AFTERNOON WORDING FROM THE TEXT FORECAST TO CLEAN THINGS UP A BIT. && .PREV DISCUSSION... 433 AM EDT THU JUL 13 2006 SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL KENTUCKY ARE ADVANCING SLOWLY EASTWARD. INDIVIDUAL CELL MOVEMENT WAS TO THE NE. THIS PRECIP SHOULD REACH OUR NW CWA EARLY THIS MORNING...AND SPREAD EASTWARD THROUGH THE REST OF THE CWA TODAY. 06Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED THE QUASI STATIONARY FRONT FROM NEW YORK TO KANSAS. THIS FRONT WILL DRIFT SOUTH AND BECOME DIFFUSE THROUGH SATURDAY. MODELS ARE SHOWING A COUPLE OF INCREASED MEAN RH AND OMEGA FIELDS MOVING THROUGH TODAY. A VORT MAX WILL ALSO WORK ITS WAY EAST THROUGH KENTUCKY TODAY. MODELS SHOW CAPES REACHING 500 TO 1000 J/KG THIS AFTERNOON OVER MOST OF THE AREA...WITH 1000 TO 1500 NEAR THE TN BORDER. LIFTED INDICES SHOULD REACH AROUND -2 OR -3. MAIN CONCERN FOR THE DAY WILL BE HEAVY RAIN...AND THE POSSIBILITY OF LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. PWATS REMAIN AROUND 2 INCHES FROM TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. CONSIDERED ISSUING A FLASH FLOOD WATCH...BUT THERE IS UNCERTAINTY ABOUT TRAINING OF STORMS AND EXACT QPF AMOUNTS. DECIDED TO KEEP THE MENTION OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE FORECAST...AND WILL HIGHLIGHT THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT ONCE AGAIN IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. LATER SHIFTS WILL BE MONITORING THE FLOOD POTENTIAL CLOSELY...AND WILL ASSESS THE NEED FOR ANY FLASH FLOOD WATCHES. IT WILL BE ANOTHER HUMID DAY WITH DEW POINTS AVERAGING AROUND 70 DEGREES. TONIGHT THE VORT MAX AND OMEGA WILL STILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE EASTERN 2/3RDS OF THE CWA. WENT WITH CHANCE POPS IN THE EXTREME NW...WITH LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL ELSEWHERE. KEPT THE MENTION OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE EVENING. CONVECTION SHOULD DECREASE IN COVERAGE FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE NIGHT GOES ALONG. MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A FEW UPPER WAVES MOVING THROUGH FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. DAYTIME HEATING SHOULD ALSO HELP TO FUEL CONVECTION. DO NOT HAVE MUCH CONFIDENCE IN SPECIFIC MODEL DETAILS WITH ALL OF THE CONVECTION IN THE AREA. BELIEVE THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SCATTERED IN NATURE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. RAISED POPS FOR SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT SINCE ALL MODELS ARE NOW INDICATING A LITTLE MORE SUPPORT FOR PRECIP. USED MOS AND MIXED DOWN 850 MB TEMPS...ACCOUNTING FOR CLOUD COVER...FOR THE MAX TEMP FORECAST. WENT ABOVE MOS FOR OVERNIGHT LOWS. EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK...SO NO CHANGES WERE MADE FROM SUNDAY ON. EVENING CONVECTION HAS WANED WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING. WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS CONTINUES TO REMAIN OVER THE REGION (PWS FROM AREA RAOBS ARE NEAR 2 AND DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S. HOWEVER...THERE IS NO REAL FOCUS FOR PRECIP ATTM AND A GENERAL LULL IN THE PRECIP COVERAGE IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ISENTROPIC ASSENT SHOULD INCREASE LATER TONIGHT AS A SW/V OVER THE MS VALLEY MOVES EAST INTO THE OH VALLEY. 18Z GFS AND NAM RUNS INDICATE THAT AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION SHOULD OCCUR LATER TONIGHT. FOR NOW HAVE DECREASED POPS THROUGH 6Z FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND THEN TRENDED POPS TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR 9Z AND AFTER TO ACCOUNT FOR LATER ANTICIPATED ARRIVAL OF PRECIP. PATCHY FOG SHOULD AGAIN DEVELOP IN THE FAVORED VALLEY LOCATIONS. 514 PM EDT WED JUL 12 2006 19Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT LYING ACROSS THE NORTHERN OHIO VALLEY RUNNING SOUTHWEST TO CENTRAL MISSOURI. MEANWHILE...TO THE SOUTHEAST...HIGH PRESSURE IS HOLDING ON...STILL INFLUENCING OUR EASTERN COUNTIES. ON RADAR...SEVERAL AREAS OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND ARE ROLLING STEADILY NORTHEAST INTO OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES. THESE STORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND TRAINING OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS. WITH WET BULB ZERO HEIGHTS SO HIGH AND PWS NORTH OF 2 INCHES...EXPECT DAMAGING WIND GUSTS FROM BOWS AND LINES TO BE THE MAIN SVR THREAT ALONG WITH THE HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLY LEADING TO LOCAL HIGH WATER PROBLEMS. PLENTY OF SUNSHINE OVER EAST KENTUCKY THIS AFTERNOON HELPED TEMPERATURES CLIMB TO NEAR 90 DEGREES WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 60S AT MOST LOCATIONS...THOUGH LOW 70S ARE FOUND IN THE NORTHWEST...CLOSER TO THE FRONT AND STORMS. THIS AIR MASS WILL PROVIDE THE FUEL FOR CONTINUED CONVECTION WELL INTO THE EVENING. THE MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH 60 HOURS AS THEY SHOW THE WELL DEFINED WESTERLIES RUNNING THROUGH CANADA WITH LIGHT FLOW OVER THE STATES. IN THIS SLOWER FLOW...A WEAK TROUGH WILL CROSS THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY WITH SIMILARLY WEAK RIDGING PASSING THROUGH IN ITS WAKE FRIDAY. WITH THE JET STREAM WELL TO THE NORTH... AND RIDGING BUILDING OVER THE SOUTHWEST STATES...SFC FEATURES AND THE MESO-SCALE WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. FOR THE FORECAST... FOLLOWED A BLEND OF THE NAM AND GFS ALOFT...NOT TRUSTING ANY MODEL SPECIFICS DUE THE WEAK FLOW. LATER ON...EAST KENTUCKY WILL BE ON THE FRINGE OF THE STRONG RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE ROCKIES INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEK AND UNDER WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW FAVORABLE FOR POSSIBLE MCS ACTIVITY TO OUR NORTH. OTHERWISE...EXPECT THIS FAIRLY TYPICAL SUMMERTIME WEATHER PATTERN TO KEEP A DAILY THREAT OF CONVECTION EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SENSIBLE WEATHER WILL FOCUS ON THE HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAIN THREAT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING AS THIS FRONT SLIPS SOUTHEAST AND SLOWLY DISSIPATES. EXPECT THE FRONT TO HELP FOCUS ACTIVITY AND ENHANCE TRAINING FROM POCKETS OF CONVECTION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH HIGH PWS LEADING TO BRIEF HEAVY RAINS FROM EACH CELL. CHOSE TO HOLD OFF ON A FLOOD WATCH AS CONDITIONS ARE NOT PRIMED FOR FLASH FLOODING... EXCEPT...PERHAPS FOR LOCATIONS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 64 THAT HAVE SEEN AN INCH OR SO IN THE PAST DAY. DEPENDING ON HOW THE SITUATION EVOLVES THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...A WATCH MAY BE WARRANTED FOR THURSDAY. WILL CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT THIS CONCERN IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. ANTICIPATE THE MAIN STORM TRACK TO PUSH TO THE FAR SOUTHERN PART OF THE STATE BY THURSDAY NIGHT. FOLLOWING THIS...THE FRONT BECOMES MORE DIFFUSE AND EXPECT A DIURNAL CONVECTIVE TREND TO DOMINATE INTO THE WEEKEND. SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR...NEGLIGIBLE UPPER SUPPORT...AND LESS IN THE WAY OF SFC FEATURES WILL YIELD LOWER POPS SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ADDITIONAL CONVECTION CANNOT BE RULED OUT TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER WEAK FRONT APPROACHES...BUT WILL MINIMIZE THIS CONCERN AT THIS TIME DUE TO MORE UNCERTAINTY. MOS TEMPERATURES WERE SIMILAR AT NIGHT...WHILE THE FWC WAS WARMEST DURING THE DAYS. FAVORED A BLEND OF THE MET...MAV AND RAW NAM12 DATA FOR HIGHS THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WENT WITH A MODIFIED PERSISTENCE FOR LOWS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT AS HIGH DEWPOINTS WILL FURTHER LIMIT THE NOCTURNAL DECLINES. WITH THE POPS...MY GRIDS ENDED UP CLOSEST TO THE MET NUMBERS THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...BUT THE MAV WAS NOT MUCH DIFFERENT. IN THE IFPS/GFE GRIDS...FOLLOWED MY USUAL PROCEDURE TO POPULATE DEWPOINTS AND WINDS FROM THE NAM12 THROUGH 84 HOURS. THE WINDS CAME IN QUITE WELL...JUST ENHANCED THE LAPSE RATE A BIT IN THE AFTERNOONS. WITH THE DEWPOINTS...THE HIGH PW AIR MADE THE NAM NUMBERS APPEAR REASONABLE. DID TAKE DOWN THE DEWPOINTS A TAD EACH AFTERNOON FROM FRIDAY ON FOR SOME MIX DOWN OF DRIER AIR FROM ALOFT. THE REST OF THE GRIDS WERE IN GREAT SHAPE AND THE MAIN CHANGES FOCUSED ON BEEFING UP THE POP AND SKY GRIDS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT WITH ALL GUIDANCE KEYING IN ON THE PCPN THREAT THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. LIKED THE MID FORECASTERS USE OF HEAVY RAIN WORDING FOR TONIGHT...AND ALSO THE USE OF THE HAZE DESCRIPTOR IN THE WX GRID EARLIER TODAY. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && WJM/AR
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 507 AM EDT THU JUL 13 2006 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-141200- FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN- ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT- OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE- 507 AM EDT THU JUL 13 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE AREA TODAY INTO TONIGHT. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THIS COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM TIME TO TIME FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WITH ANY REPORTS OF FLOODING OR HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS. WJM
The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 82 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:24 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Route 199 closed near McVeigh due to water flowing across it. Six Camp Road is also closed and water is around a couple of homes at the head of Six Camp Road.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, July 2006
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5520037.