2 heavy rain, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 2, 3:35 AM CST, 6 hours 25 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 335 AM CST THU FEB 2 2006 .DISCUSSION... THE MAIN CONCERN FOR THIS FORECAST REMAINS POPS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A MID/UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER THE TX/LA BORDER AT THIS TIME WILL WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY AS IT LIFTS NORTHEAST AND IS ASSIMILATED INTO A DEVELOPING LARGER SCALE TROUGH. AT 500MB AND ABOVE...THIS SYSTEM GETS SQUASHED PRETTY GOOD...BUT 700MB AND BELOW THE TROUGH STAYS BETTER INTACT AND THE SURFACE LOW ACTUALLY DEEPENS AND BECOMES THE PRIMARY LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE INITIAL TROUGH DEVELOPMENT. STRONG FORCING IN THE LOW LEVELS IS CAPTURED BY ALL THE MODELS...AND SUPPORTS WIDESPREAD RAINS OVER THE ENTIRE AREA TODAY. THE MAIN MODEL DIFFERENCE IS IN THE END TIME OF THE EVENT. THE NAM IS FASTER TO MOVE IT OUT OF THE AREA AND WOULD SUPPORT A MINOR POP IN THE EAST THIS EVENING...WHILE THE SLOWER GFS WOULD REQUIRE A CATEGORICAL POP IN THE EAST EARLY THIS EVENING. GIVEN THE CATEGORICAL POPS POSTED BY OUR NEIGHBORS TO THE EAST...HAVE SIDED WITH THE GFS AND HAVE A SHARP GRADIENT OF POPS FROM CATEGORICAL IN THE FAR EAST...TO 10 IN WESTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED LARGER-SCALE TROUGH DEVELOPING JUST EAST OF THE AREA...COOL NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BE THE RULE FOR AWHILE. NONE OF THE 00Z MODELS SHOW ANY SIGNIFICANT QPF WITH THE SYSTEM PREVIOUSLY FORECAST FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...SO HAVE FINALLY PULLED ALL MENTION OF PRECIPITATION FOR THIS PERIOD. HOWEVER...THE NAM AND GFS BOTH INDICATE A SURGE OF LOW LEVEL CLOUD COVER AND COOLER AIR MOVING SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY...SO A RETURN TO NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND AND BEYOND. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL FLIRT WITH THE AREA IN THE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY TIMEFRAME. THE 00Z GFS SKIRTS IT TO OUR WEST AND SOUTH...WITH SOUTHEAST MISSOURI THE ONLY AREA TO FLIRT WITH PRECIPITATION. HOWEVER...THE 00Z ECMWF INDICATES A BETTER CHANCE OVER THE ENTIRE AREA. GIVEN THAT THE ECMWF FITS THE EXISTING FORECAST...DECIDED TO LEAVE THE FORECAST MOSTLY ALONE. ONLY CHANGE WAS TO SPREAD A 25 POP FOR LIGHT SNOW OR RAIN OVER THE ENTIRE AREA BOTH PERIODS. THE COLUMN WILL SUPPORT SNOW...DEPENDING ON THE SURFACE TEMPERATURES...WHICH WILL BE BELOW FREEZING FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. GIVEN THE DRY AIR ADVERTISED BY THE GFS...THIS COULD BE A SURPRISE SNOW EVENT...IF THE SYSTEM DOES NOT SKIP BY THE AREA TO ONE SIDE OR THE OTHER. THE 00Z GFS AND ECMWF BOTH INDICATE A CLOSED LOW MOVING ACROSS THE AREA FOR MIDWEEK...BUT IN A RATHER CHAOTIC PATTERN. WILL HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE WHAT THE DAY SHIFT THINKS ON THIS ONE. WILL KEEP WEDNESDAY DRY FOR NOW. AS FOR SHORT TERM TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE...LOADED IN MAV HOURLY TEMPERATURES FOR TODAY...LEADING TO MAXES IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S. THEREAFTER GENERALLY FOLLOWED THE MAV NUMBERS. THERE WAS LITTLE TO CHOOSE FROM FOR THE NIGHT PERIODS...AND SATURDAY HIGHS...BUT THE FRIDAY HIGHS WERE ALL OVER THE PLACE. LOOKS LIKE TWO MORE REASONABLY MILD DAYS...THEN A RETURN TO NORMAL OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...NONE. MO...NONE. IL...NONE. IN...NONE. && DRS
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 419 AM CST THU FEB 2 2006 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-031100- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 419 AM CST THU FEB 2 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT WIDESPREAD RAINS OVER THE AREA TODAY WILL LIKELY TAX DRAINAGE SYSTEMS IN MANY AREAS. ONE INCH OF RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE BEFORE IT ENDS FROM WEST TO EAST LATE TODAY THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH COOLER...MORE SEASONABLE AIR FORECAST TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA SATURDAY...AND A PLETHORA OF STORM SYSTEMS LIKELY TO AFFECT THE REGION...THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS INCREASING. AT THIS TIME...THE BEST CHANCE TO SEE SOME SNOW WILL BE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. HOWEVER...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE TIMING AND EXACT LOCATIONS OF THE STORM SYSTEMS IS QUITE LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY HIGH WATER PROBLEMS THEY ENCOUNTER TODAY AND THIS EVENING. DRS
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.
A portion of Schneidman Road was under water but passable. Total daily rainfall at the Paducah airport was 1.65 inches.
Heavy rain caused flooding of Kentucky 1433, which was closed for a one-mile stretch.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, February 2006
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5487729, 5487730.