Hail and Damaging Winds in Indiana, July 3, 2006

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
310 PM EDT MON JUL 3 2006

.DISCUSSION...FORECAST FOCUS WILL BE ON THE CHANCE OF PRECIP OVER
THE NEXT 48 HRS.

AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS WAS MOVING EAST ACROSS NORTHERN INDIANA THIS
AFTERNOON.  THERE WAS A WEAK BOUNDARY FM CENTRAL IA TO NRN IL/IN.
TSRA WERE OCCURRING INVOF THIS BNDRY.  AS THIS BOUNDARY SINKS SOUTH
IN RESPONSE TO THE COLD FRONT IN MN MOVING SOUTH THERE WILL BE A
CHANCE OF TSRA LATER TONIGHT.  HAVE PUT HIGHER POPS IN THE NORTHERN
TIER OF THE CWA CLOSER TO WHERE PRECIP IS ONGOING.

MODELS HAVE AGAIN SLOWED THE TIMING OF A COLD FRONT TO PASS THROUGH
CENTRAL INDIANA ON TUESDAY.  WILL USE A BLEND AS THEY ARE NOT ALL
THAT FAR FROM EACH OTHER.  CDFNT WL BE NEAR LAF IN THE EARLY MORNING
THEN SLOW DOWN OR WASH OUT OVER INDY LATER IN THE AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY EVENING.  WITH SLOW TIMING OF FRONT TSRA MAY NOT BE ORGANIZED
UNTIL LATER TUESDAY EVENING.  WILL KEEP A LIKELY POP GOING FOR MOST
OF TUESDAY.

AS FRONT FINALLY WORKS ITS WAY TO THE OHIO RIVER BY EARLY WED
MORNING SOME LINGERING SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED FROM VINCENNES TO BMG
AND SOUTH BUT ENDING BY LATE WED MORNING.  THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK
WILL BRING DRY WEATHER AND COOLER TEMPS AS A COOL UPPER LOW SINKS
SOUTH.  THURS NOW LOOKS LIKE THE COOLEST DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW
80S.

TEMPS TOMORROW WONT BE QUITE AS WARM AS TODAY AS CLOUD COVER WILL
INHIBIT SUCH WARMING.  DEWPOINTS WILL GET INTO THE UPPER 60S TO LOW
70S WHICH WILL MAKE FOR A HUMID DAY TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...DISCUSSION FOR 031800Z TAF ISSUANCE. EXPECT SCT TRWS TO
DEVELOP BY EARLY AFTERNOON AS MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACRS THE BULK OF
THE FA EXPECTED TO PUSH TEMPS TO NEAR 90 DEGREES BY 2 PM EDT.
MODIFIED 12Z SOUNDINGS FM ILX AND ILN INDICATING CONVECTIVE TEMPS
AROUND 88 DEGREES. ALSO...WEAK BOUNDARY ACRS NRN IN TO DROP SLOWLY S
...AND OLD CONVECTIVE OUTLFOWS ALONG WITH WEAK IMPULSES PASSING JUST
TO OUR N SHOULD ALLOW SCT TRWS TO FIRE BY EARLY AFTERNOON AND CONT
TNGT. CIGS SHOULD MAINLY BE VFR EARLY WITH POSSIBLY SOME TEMPO MVFR
CIGS TNGT AND TOMORROW MRNG. WINDS SHOULD STAY UP ENOUGH TNGT TO
AVOID ANY SIG FOG EXCEPT PERHAPS UNDER ANY TRW. MAIN FNT TO SWEEP
ACRS CNTRL INDIANA TOMORROW AS WELL.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

PUBLIC...SALLY
AVIATION...KOCH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED TYPO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
332 PM EDT MON JUL 3 2006

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-041945-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-
332 PM EDT MON JUL 3 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. SOME STORMS COULD
BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND...HAIL AND LIGHTNING THE MAIN
THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH CENTRAL INDIANA MAKING
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY ON INDEPENDENCE DAY. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD
BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND...HAIL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING THE
MAIN THREAT. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE MAJORITY OF THE STORMS
WILL BE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70 BY 1000 PM EDT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY ON INDEPENDENCE DAY.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

INZ060>065-067>072-041945-
SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-
MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
232 PM CDT MON JUL 3 2006 /332 PM EDT MON JUL 3 2006/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. SOME STORMS COULD
BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND...HAIL AND LIGHTNING THE MAIN
THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH CENTRAL INDIANA MAKING
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY ON INDEPENDENCE DAY. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD
BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND...HAIL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING THE
MAIN THREAT. PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE MAJORITY OF THE STORMS
WILL BE SOUTH OF A LINE FROM GREENSBURG TO BLOOMINGTON TO SULLIVAN
BY 1100 PM CDT OR 1200 AM EDT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY ON INDEPENDENCE DAY.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

SALLY