1 heavy rain, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 3, 12:27 PM EST, 2 hours 41 minutes earlier.
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 127 PM EDT SUN SEP 3 2006 .SHORT TERM (TONIGHT - TUESDAY)...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED ON SCHEDULE JUST BEFORE NOON...WITH CURRENT ACTIVITY MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD. CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTIES HAD SOME EARLIER SHOWER ACTIVITY...AND THIS HAS LEFT A BIT OF STABLE AIR BEHIND WITH MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS THERE. EXPECT SOME REDEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS BEFORE CONVECTIVE DEBRIS SHUTS DOWN THE HEATING FOR THE DAY...BUT IT WILL HAVE TO BE SOON AS CLOUDS ARE ALREADY INCREASING. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL COME TO A QUICK END THIS EVENING ALTHOUGH SOME LIGHT STEADY RAIN MAY LINGER AS THE CONVECTIVE DEBRIS COULD BE SLOW TO CLEAR. SKIES WILL EVENTUALLY BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY WITH DRY CONDITIONS AFTER MIDNIGHT. A PESKY SURFACE TROUGH OR WEAK TROPICAL WAVE MAY MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY...BUT THIS FEATURE HAS NOT BEEN HANDLED WELL BY THE MODELS THUS FAR. THE GFS DEPICTION IS A CLASSIC TROPICAL WAVE WITH ENHANCED SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW BEHIND THE WAVE AXIS PROVIDING INCREASED LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND RESULTANT CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. IF THE GFS VERIFIES...WE COULD SEE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE MET POPS ARE MUCH LOWER AND CERTAINLY DID A BETTER JOB WITH OVERALL COVERAGE YESTERDAY. FOR NOW I PLAN TO BLEND THE TWO...WHICH WILL RESULT IN NUMEROUS COVERAGE OVER THE SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS OF OUR AREA WITH SCATTERED COVERAGE NORTH OF THE BAY. LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW MONDAY NIGHT SHOULD KEEP MOST AREAS DRY AFTER THE PREVIOUS DAYS ACTIVITY DWINDLES...SO WILL SHOW A MAINLY DRY FORECAST WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. ON TUESDAY WE HAVE ANOTHER FEATURE TO TRY TO RESOLVE. THE GFS BRINGS A FRONT INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES WHILE LEAVING FLORIDA IN VERY LIGHT WIND FLOW BETWEEN HIGH CENTERS TO THE EAST AND WEST. THIS IS USUALLY A VERY WET PATTERN WHEN PRECIPITABLE WATERS ARE HIGH...AND BELIEVE THIS WILL BE NO EXCEPTION. BOTH MAV AND MET GUIDANCE ARE INDICATING HIGHER THAN NORMAL POPS...IN THE 60 TO 70 PERCENT RANGE FOR THE INTERIOR. WILL FOLLOW GUIDANCE CLOSELY HERE AND CAP POPS AT 40 TO 50 PERCENT FOR THE NORTHERN AND COASTAL CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST AREAS WHILE SHOWING 60 POPS FOR AREAS AWAY FROM THE COAST. .LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT-SUNDAY)...THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL START OFF WITH A LONG WAVE TROF OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND A RIDGE TO OUR EAST AND SOUTH. A SFC TROF LOCATED ALONG THE SE U.S. COAST EXTENDING DOWN TO N FL. THE MODELS HAVE BEEN SHOWING THESE FEATURES PAST SVRL RUNS. THIS PATTERN WILL CHANGE LITTLE DURING THE MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK...WITH A BAND OF DEEPER MOISTURE BOTH TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH OF TAMPA BAY. HOWEVER GIVEN LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE EXACT PLACEMENT OF THESE BANDS OF DEEPER MOISTURE...AT THIS POINT PREFER TO STICK CLOSE TO CLIMO POPS WITH CHANCE OR SCATTERED TSTMS EACH DAY. ONE NOTICEABLE PATTERN CHANGE IS WITH RESPECT TO THE SFC RIDGE AXIS POSITION...WITH GFS SUGGESTING THIS AXIS WILL LIFT NORTH AND BECOME CENTERED OVER THE TAMPA BAY VCNTY BY FRI. THIS WILL CHANGE THE TIMING AND DURATION OF DAILY TSTMS...SO INSTEAD OF THE W TO SW FLOW AND MORNING-EARLY AFTERNOON TSTMS WEVE HAD RECENTLY...WE SHOULD SEE MORE EASTERLY FLOW AND TSTM ACTIVITY LATER IN THE DAY FAVORING THE WEST COAST. THEREAFTER...THE FORECAST FOR THE WEEKEND BECOMES A BIT MORE TRICKY...WITH LAST TWO RUNS OF THE GFS WANTING TO TAKE A TROPICAL WAVE OR PERHAPS A TROPICAL CYCLONE BY TO OUR SOUTH AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. GIVEN THE LOW CONFIDENCE IN THIS SOLUTION...FOR NOW WILL CARRY CLIMO POPS IN THE 30-40% RANGE WITH EASTERLY FLOW AND LATE DAY WEST-COAST TSTM ACTIVITY AND TEMPS NEAR NORMAL. && .MARINE...OTHER THAN SOME LOCALLY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN A LINE OFFSHORE OF VENICE...ONLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND BECOME LESS ORGANIZED AS THE FOCUS SHIFT TO THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN SHAPING UP FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL FAVOR LAND AREAS MORE THAN WATER AREAS...SO NOT EXPECTING SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM STORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD. && .AVIATION...LITTLE CHANGE IN THE PATTERN THUS EXPECTING SCAT AFTERNOON AND EVENING TSTMS TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA...WITH ACTIVITY SETTLING DOWN LATER THIS EVENING. GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS OUTSIDE OF THE TSTM ACTIVITY...BUT THE HEAVIER DOWNPOURS MAY RESULTING TEMPORARY LOW-END MVFR OR EVEN IFR CONDITIONS. FOR MONDAY...WILL HOLD OFF TSTMS UNTIL THE AFTERNOON HOURS (RATHER THAN BRINGING IN ACTIVITY DURING THE MORNING AS WEVE SEEN PAST FEW DAYS) AS MODELS SUGGEST LITE OR EVEN LITE EASTERLY FLOW DURING THE DAY MONDAY. && .FIRE WEATHER...NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 75 89 75 89 / 20 60 20 40 FMY 74 89 75 89 / 20 60 20 50 GIF 74 90 75 90 / 30 60 20 60 SRQ 74 88 74 88 / 20 60 20 40 BKV 71 90 71 90 / 20 40 20 40 SPG 78 89 79 89 / 20 60 20 40 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GULF WATERS...NONE. && SHORT TERM/MARINE....JILLSON LONG TERM/AVIATION...PETRO
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 449 AM EDT SUN SEP 3 2006 FLZ039-042-043-048-031400- LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO- 449 AM EDT SUN SEP 3 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. THE MAIN THREATS FROM TODAYS STORMS WILL BE DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...BRIEF GUSTY WINDS...AS WELL AS HEAVY RAINFALL THAT WILL TEMPORARILY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO. WITH THE HIGHER RAINFALL TOTALS ACCUMULATED THIS WEEK...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST...ANY ADDITIONAL HIGH RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING AREAS. SMALL STREAMS MAY ALSO BRIEFLY EXCEED BANK FULL. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY...THOUGH COVERAGE IS FORECAST TO BE LESS BY WEEKS END. WITH THE STRONGER STORMS...EXPECT BRIEF GUSTY WINDS...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAINS...WHICH WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT FOR MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...HOWEVER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL IN HIGH RAINFALL TOTALS FROM TODAYS STORMS. FLZ049>052-055>057-060>062-065-031400- PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS- SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 449 AM EDT SUN SEP 3 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. THE MAIN THREATS FROM TODAYS STORMS WILL BE DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...BRIEF GUSTY WINDS...AS WELL AS HEAVY RAINFALL THAT WILL TEMPORARILY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO. WITH THE HIGHER RAINFALL TOTALS ACCUMULATED THIS WEEK...ANY ADDITIONAL HIGH RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING AREAS. SMALL STREAMS MAY ALSO BRIEFLY EXCEED BANK FULL. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY...THOUGH COVERAGE IS FORECAST TO BE LESS BY WEEKS END. WITH THE STRONGER STORMS...EXPECT BRIEF GUSTY WINDS...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAINS...WHICH WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT FOR MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...HOWEVER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL IN HIGH RAINFALL TOTALS FROM TODAYS STORMS.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 332 PM EDT SUN SEP 3 2006 FLZ052-057-032000- HIGHLANDS-POLK- 332 PM EDT SUN SEP 3 2006 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EASTERN POLK COUNTY AND SEBRING... A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS NEARLY STATIONARY...WILL AFFECT LAKE WALES... SEBRING...AVON PARK AND HAINES CITY...UNTIL 400 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH WILL OCCUR AND BRIEF FUNNEL CLOUDS ARE POSSIBLE. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED IF OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. IF INDOORS...REFRAIN FROM USING ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. JLC
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.
Rainfall of 5.39 inches was reported in one hour. No significant flooding or damage was reported.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, September 2006
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5531690.