1 rip current, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 16, 1:27 PM EST, 1 hour 48 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 227 PM EDT SAT SEP 16 2006 .DISCUSSION... TONIGHT...THE DRYING TREND WILL ENCOMPASS ALL OF ECFL TONIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUING TO BUILD SOUTH OVER THE STATE. ONLY MENTIONABLE RAIN CHANCE WILL BE THIS EVENING OVER THE EXTREME SOUTH WHERE ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE A COUPLE OF HOURS PAST DARK IN THE VICINITY OF THE DECAYING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER EXPECTED OVERNIGHT ASIDE FROM LOCALIZED FOG OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN SECTIONS. SUN...SLOW MOVING DEEP LAYER RIDGE SHOULD RESULT IN A DRY DAY AS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE FORECAST TO START OUT A LITTLE OVER AND INCH AND CLIMB JUST A FEW TENTHS DURING THE DAY. MOS POPS ARE ABOUT 5 PERCENT SO SEE NO REASON TO DIFFER FROM CURRENT DRY FORECAST. MON...THE GFS SHIFTS THE LOW LEVEL RIDGE TO OUR EAST WITH A RETURN SOUTHEAST/SOUTH FLOW DEVELOPING. MID/UPPER RIDGE WITH NORTH FLOW ALOFT DOES NOT LOOK LIKE A FAVORABLE SYNOPTIC PATTERN FOR ANYTHING MORE THAN ISOLATED AFTERNOON STORMS...WHICH IS WHAT MOS POPS ARE SHOWING. THINK THAT THE GFS IS PROBABLY RETURNING MOISTURE A LITTLE TOO QUICKLY BUT WILL INTRODUCE A SMALL POP FOR INTERIOR SECTIONS. TUE-WED...LATEST GFS LOOKS A LITTLE FASTER WITH APPROACH OF FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THIS WOULD PLACE HIGHEST POPS IN THE TUE/TUE NIGHT PERIOD FOR MOST OF THE AREA. OTHER MEDIUM RANGE MODELS LOOK SUPPORTIVE OF THE GFS SOLUTION SO HAVE TRENDED POPS TOWARDS MOS. THE HIGHEST MOS POPS ARE ONLY ABOUT 50 PERCENT AND NOW ON TUE...BUT WILL GENERALLY GO WITH 40 PERCENT FOR THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. DO NOT SEE A LOT OF UPPER SUPPORT AT THIS TIME BUT WITH RATHER HIGH MOISTURE VALUES WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR SOME WEAK DYNAMICS TO POSSIBLY TRIGGER HIGHER RAIN CHANCES. THU-FRI...GFS IS MORE EMPHATIC WITH POST FRONTAL DRYING THU... THEREFORE HAVE REMOVED THE SMALL POPS. CURIOUSLY THE GFS CONTINUES PRECIPITABLE WATER BELOW AN INCH ON FRI YET THE MEX POPS SHOW 20 PERCENT. WITH MID LEVEL RIDGING WE SHOULD HAVE ANOTHER DRY DAY. SAT...TROUGH FORECAST TO DIG FROM THE MIDWEST TO THE SOUTHEAST STATES WITH A FRONTAL TROUGH STILL WELL TO OUR NORTHWEST. AGAIN THE MODEL SHOWS PRECIPITABLE WATER RATHER LOW WITH A MID LEVEL RIDGE AXIS ACROSS THE AREA YET HAS POPS AROUND 20 PERCENT. WILL LEAVE THE PRELIMINARY GRIDS FROM THE 00Z RUN WHICH SHOW SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL POPS OF 20 PERCENT. && .MARINE...SWELL FACTOR WILL KEEP SEAS IN THE 3 TO 4 FT RANGE OVERNIGHT. 11 SEC PERIOD STILL BEING REGISTERED AT ATLC BUOYS IN LINGERING SWELL. HIGHER SEAS WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE WITH ALMOST NIL CONTRIBUTION OF WIND WAVE. NO WIND/SEA CONCERNS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE GFS SHOWS SOUTHWEST FLOW INCREASING TO AROUND 20 KNOTS AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TUE NIGHT BUT POST FRONTAL GRADIENT WINDS ONLY ABOUT 10-15 KNOTS WED. WILL CAP WINDS AT 15 KNOTS FOR NOW IN THE GRIDS. LATEST WAVE WATCH SHOWS SOME SMALL FORERUNNER SWELL ARRIVING LATE TUE ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE HELENE...BUT ONLY AROUND 1 FOOT. THIS LOOKS REASONABLE AS HELENE IS FORECAST TO BE AT A LATITUDE WITH A GREAT CIRCLE TRACK THAT INTERSECTS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. WOULD EXPECT THE SWELL HEIGHTS TO SLOWLY INCREASE WED/THU. MUCH DEPENDS ON THE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THE HURRICANE THOUGH. THE LATEST GFS (WHICH THE WAVE WATCH MODEL USES FOR ITS WIND INPUT) IS NOTED AS THE LEFT OUTLIER OF THE MODELS AND BRINGS THE SYSTEM FURTHER TO THE WEST THAN THE OFFICIAL NHC FORECAST. SUFFICE IT TO SAY...THERE WILL BE SOME SWELL FROM THE HURRICANE BUT EXACTLY HOW HIGH THE SURF WILL BE IS STILL WAY TO FAR OUT TO SAY FOR SURE. && .AVIATION...A FEW STRATUS AND LOCALIZED VISBYS NR 5SM MAINLY NR SFB DAB AND MCO ALONG INTERSTATE FOUR UNTIL SUNRISE. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AREA WIDE AFTER 00Z. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 71 89 72 90 / 10 0 10 10 MCO 72 91 72 89 / 10 10 10 20 MLB 73 87 71 88 / 10 10 10 10 VRB 73 88 71 87 / 10 10 10 10 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && SHORT TERM...PENDERGRAST LONG TERM....LASCODY
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 430 AM EDT SAT SEP 16 2006 AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147- 162000- COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD- OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA- SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD- 430 AM EDT SAT SEP 16 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT... A DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR MASS IS MOVING IN FROM THE NORTH. THIS COUPLED WITH AN EARLY EAST COAST SEA BREEZE ONSET WILL ACT TO LIMIT STORM DEVELOPMENT AND KEEP ACTIVITY CONFINED TO THE SOUTHERN AND FAR WESTERN INTERIOR SECTIONS. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. ...RIP CURRENT IMPACT... A LONG PERIOD NORTHEASTERLY SWELL WILL AGAIN RESULT IN A HIGH RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES TODAY. REMEMBER...WHEN THE RIP CURRENT RISK IS HIGH...THE SURF IS DANGEROUS EVEN TO EXPERIENCED SWIMMERS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. LINGERING LONG PERIOD OCEAN SWELLS WILL CONTINUE AN ELEVATED RIP CURRENT RISK INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY. GLITTO
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.
A 47 year old man drowned in a rip current at Daytona Beach.
As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.
| Event | Date | Age | Sex | Where | Kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rip Current, Volusia | 2006-09-16 | 47 | Male | In Water | Direct |
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, September 2006
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5533781.