A small-scale area of low pressure, referred to as a mesolow, formed over the Gulf of Mexico along a cold front which was moving into central Florida. The center of this feature was accompanied by a small band of showers and lightning storms as it moved onshore near the mouth of Tampa Bay.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MLB wrote it up.
A small-scale area of low pressure, referred to as a mesolow, formed over the Gulf of Mexico along a cold front which was moving into central Florida. The center of this feature was accompanied by a small band of showers and lightning storms as it moved onshore near the mouth of Tampa Bay. These storms moved rapidly northeast at 35 to 40 mph crossing the Kissimmee River into northwestern Osceola County. With the mesolow increasing, significant rotation was noted on doppler radar as the storms moved through northwestern Orange County and then into Seminole County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 7, 2:15 PM EST, 3 hours 40 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 215 PM EST TUE NOV 7 2006 .DISCUSSION... ...RAIN CHANCES INCREASING INTO THIS EVENING THEN DRY THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK... CURRENT/TONIGHT...MLB NEXRAD 88D RADAR CONTINUES TO SHOW WIDELY SCATTERED LIGHT SHRA ACTIVITY ACROSS ECFL. HEAVIER SHOWER ACTIVITY SLOWLY MOVING ONSHORE ACROSS THE WEST COAST OF NORTH-CENTRAL FL. SURFACE PRESSURE AND WIND DATA SUGGEST A MESOLOW ACROSS THE EASTERN GOMEX JUST WEST OF TAMPA. THIS FEATURE WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHEAST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TRACKING ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES PRESENTLY AND WILL CONTINUE TO PRESS EASTWARD. CURRENT CLOUDY SKIES WILL REMAIN THE NORM THROUGH TONIGHT. SOUTH WINDS WILL VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY THIS EVENING AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES ECFL...THEN WILL VEER TO WESTERLY BEHIND THE FRONT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NUMEROUS SHOWER CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TO GO UP LATE THIS AFTN/EVENING AS ISENTROPIC LIFT/UPGLIDE INCREASE IN THE 305K-315K PRESSURE SURFACE. LIFT WILL BE ENHANCED AS FAVORABLE JET DYNAMICS MOVE THROUGH THE REGION EARLY TONIGHT. WILL KEEP ISOLD LIGHTNING STORM CHANCES IN THE FORECAST INTO THIS EVENING AS WELL. STILL WILL NOT RULE OUT A STRONG STORM OR TWO BUT FEEL MAIN THREAT WILL BE GUSTY WINDS...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL. INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN LIMITED AND WIND SHEAR MAINLY UNIDIRECTIONAL AND UNFAVORABLE. PCPN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT FROM THE NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS ECFL. WITH A LACK OF COLD AIR ADVECTION BEHIND THIS SYSTEM ONLY EXPECT OVERNIGHT LOWS TO DROP INTO THE 60S AREAWIDE. THE BIGGEST CHANGE FELT WILL BE SOME DRIER AIR IN THE FORM OF LOWER DEWPOINTS POST-FRONTAL. WED...THE MID LVL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST ACROSS GA/SC TO JUST OFF THE COAST BY WED EVENING. FLOW ACROSS THE AREA WILL VEER FROM WSW TO WNW ALOFT AS THE SYSTEM PULLS OUT OF THE REGION. WILL LEAVE A SCHC FOR LINGERING MORNING SHRAS ACROSS ST. LUCIE/MARIN COUNTIES AS THE SURFACE FRONT EXITS THE AREA AND INTO THE WESTERN ATLC. ALL AREAS CAN EXPECT BREEZY WNW FLOW AT THE SURFACE AS STRONGER WINDS ALOFT BEHIND THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE. DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER DOWN THE PENINSULA AS DEWPOINT READINGS DROP INTO THE 50S IN MOST AREAS DURING THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL RECOVER INTO THE MIDDLE 70S ACROSS THE NORTH TO AROUND 80 DEGREES OVER THE SOUTH. WILL GO WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH LEFTOVER RESIDUAL MOISTURE AND SOME POSSIBLE GULF STRATOCU MOVING EAST OVERHEAD EARLY IN THE DAY. WED NIGHT-SAT...PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE CONTINENTAL US. STRONG RIDGE WILL BUILD IN QUICKLY BEHIND THE DEPARTING TROUGH WED NIGHT. COLD ADVECTION WILL DRIVE OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES DOWN INTO THE LOWER-MID 50S AS FAR SOUTH AS LAKE OKEECHOBEE. POST-FRONTAL NW FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY THU...PRODUCING MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND TEMPERATURES IN THE MID-UPPER 70S. EARLY MORNING TEMPERATURES FRI AGAIN LOOK QUITE COOL...EVEN ALONG THE COAST AS THE SURFACE HIGH SETTLES ACROSS THE CENTRAL PENINSULA. SURFACE HIGH WILL SLIDE QUICKLY INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC SAT...WITH THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONTAL BOUNDARY. MEANWHILE...ACTIVE SUBTROPICAL JET WILL LIKELY GENERATE A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS THE REGION...WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK. SUN-TUE...POTENT SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO NEW ENGLAND AS THE COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS FL LATE SAT/EARLY SUN. PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL INHIBIT PREFRONTAL MOISTURE ADVECTION AND WILL KEEP POPS BELOW 20 PERCENT FOR NOW. FLOW WILL VEER AS HIGH PRESSURE SETS UP ACROSS EASTERN CANADA EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL LIKELY OFFER A BETTER OPPORTUNITY FOR RAINFALL ALONG THE NEXT FRONTAL BOUNDARY WHICH THE GFS SUGGESTS WILL MOVE THROUGH NEXT TUE. && .MARINE...WINDS AT BUOY 9 HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT 17-19 KTS MOST OF DAY WITH SEAS 7.9-8.2 FT ON AVG. LATEST MODEL DATA SUGGESTS A WIND SURGE THIS EVENING AS S/SW WINDS INCREASE TO 20-25 KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS ACROSS OFFSHORE WATERS. SEAS WILL REMAIN 7-8 FT OFFSHORE OVERNIGHT...WHILE 4-6 FT MORE APPROPRIATE NEARSHORE. SCA IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR OFFSHORE WATERS WHILE SCEC FOR SEAS CONTINUES NEARSHORE. BEFORE DAYBREAK WED WINDS WILL VEER TO WESTERLY AS THE SURFACE FRONT MOVES SOUTHEAST THROUGH ECFL. SEAS WILL BE CHOPPY ON WED WITH OFFSHORE WIND COMBINING WITH A CONTINUING EASTERLY SWELL. OFFSHORE WINDS ON WED EXPECTED TO BE SUSTAINED NEAR 20 KTS AND GUSTY. A STRONG STORM OR TWO REMAINS POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTN/EARLY EVENING AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE WIND GUSTS GREATER THAN 34 KTS...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. BOATING CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE AS COLD ADVECTION SETS IN WED NIGHT. OFFSHORE FLOW WILL PRODUCE STRONGEST WINDS AND ROUGHEST SEAS ACROSS THE 20-60 NM ZONES AND WILL CONTINUE THE SCA PAST MIDNIGHT THU. WINDS AND SEAS WILL QUICKLY SUBSIDE THU AS A STRONG RIDGE BECOMES THE PREDOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE. FAVORABLE BOATING CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH SAT. && .AVIATION...CEILINGS OF 4-6 KFT WILL OVERSPREAD MUCH OF ECFL THIS EVENING IN ADVANCE OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. SHOWERY PCPN IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATE THIS AFTN INTO THIS EVENING. THERE WILL BE AN ISOLD LIGHTNING STORM RISK LATER THIS AFTN AND TONIGHT AS WELL. REDUCED VISIBILITIES TO 2SM AND CEILINGS OF AROUND 2.0-3.0 KFT POSSIBLE INVOF CONVECTION. SFC WIND GUSTS TO 40 KTS POSSIBLE IN AND AROUND ANY STORMS THROUGH EARLY EVENING. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 63 76 55 78 / 60 10 0 0 MCO 63 75 57 78 / 60 0 0 0 MLB 65 78 56 78 / 50 10 0 0 VRB 68 80 56 80 / 50 10 0 0 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... .SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20-60NM OFFSHORE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT && SHORT TERM...SEDLOCK LONG TERM....HIRSCH
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 841 AM EST TUE NOV 7 2006 AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147- 072300- COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE- INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD- OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA- SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD- 841 AM EST TUE NOV 7 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT... A STRONG DISTURBANCE OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES WILL MOVE QUICKLY EAST TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT. HIGH MOISTURE COMBINED WITH INCREASED ATMOSPHERIC LIFT WILL PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE SHOWERS WITH SCATTERED AFTERNOON STORMS. A FEW STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ALONG WITH PERIODS OF VERY HEAVY RAIN AND DEADLY LIGHTNING. A COLD FRONT WILL PASS OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA EARLY WEDNESDAY AND THE THREAT OF STRONG STORMS WILL END THIS EVENING BEFORE THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. ...RIP CURRENT IMPACT... GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS AND CONTINUED MODERATE OCEAN SWELLS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A MODERATE RIP CURRENT THREAT AT AREA BEACHES. WIND CONDITIONS WILL PRODUCE A LONGSHORE CURRENT AND THIS WILL COMBINE WITH CHOPPY WAVES THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS AT AREA BEACHES. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH QUICKLY THIS EVENING ACROSS NEARSHORE WATERS AS WINDS BECOME OFFSHORE IN DIRECTION. PERSONS SHOULD NOT ENTER THE WATER ALONE. AVOID ENTERING THE SURF BEYOND YOUR ABILITY TO SAFELY GET BACK TO SHORE. ...MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT... WIDELY SCATTERED LIGHTNING STORMS WILL MOVE OFFSHORE THIS AFTERNOON. STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS EXCEEDING 34 KNOTS. MARINERS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO SEEK SAFE HARBOR IF A MARINE WARNING IS ISSUED. ...WIND AND SEA IMPACT... WIND AND SEA CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS FOR SMALL CRAFT...ESPECIALLY IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS WHERE A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT. WITHIN 20 MILES OF THE COAST SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FOR SEAS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED INTO THE WEEKEND. NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY. SEDLOCK
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL 522 PM EST TUE NOV 7 2006 FLZ045-053-072300- ORANGE-OSCEOLA- 522 PM EST TUE NOV 7 2006 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE FUNNEL CLOUDS AND STRONG WINDS OVER NORTHERN OSCEOLA AND WESTERN AND SOUTHERN ORANGE COUNTIES... AT 521 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG STORM OVER INTERCESSION CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STRONG STORM INCLUDE KISSIMMEE...SAINT CLOUD...AND SOUTH ORLANDO. ANOTHER STRONG STORM WAS MOVING INTO THE DISNEY AND ATTRACTIONS AREAS OF WESTERN ORANGE COUNTY. THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH...WHICH CAN CAUSE UNSECURED OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND...SNAP TREE LIMBS OR CAUSE POWER OUTAGES. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL TEMPORARILY REDUCE VISIBILITY. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. FUNNEL CLOUDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. CRISTALDI
The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 85 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:52 UTC.
2 tornado. Local standard time, as filed.
An F0 tornado touched down in Orlando just east of Lake Baldwin damaging roofs and windows of 5 apartment buildings. The tornado skipped east about a mile into Winter Park, damaging roofs on another apartment and three houses. A large cab-over truck was overturned.
An F1 tornado touched down in southern Seminole County just north of Aloma Avenue and moved northeast, crossing the 417 Beltway and lifting along West Chapman Road. The tornado severly damaged four homes. Eight homes had moderate damage and 32 homes and mobile homes had minor damage.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for Florida, 2006Warnings in Florida, November 2006
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 6488, 6530.