Funnel Cloud in Florida, July 20, 2006

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1010 AM EDT THU JUL 20 2006

.DISCUSSION...MORNING RAOBS AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUE TO
INDICATE PRESENCE OF DEEP MOISTURE ACROSS ALL EXCEPT THE EXTREME
NORTHERN CWA. OF NOTE...XMR SOUNDING APPEARS OVERLY MOIST LIKELY DUE
TO TRAJECTORY NEAR/THROUGH EARLY MORNING COASTAL TSRA. HINT OF
RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL TROUGH AXIS TRAILING FROM TS BERYL TO NE PORTION
OF CWA. SLOW/GRADUAL STRENGTHENING OF RIDGE AXIS SHOULD PROMOTE A
LIGHT SE STEERING FLOW THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT DEVELOPMENT OF
SCATTERED CONVECTION BY MID DAY...BECOMING NUMEROUS OVER SOUTHERN
PORTION OF CWA EARLY/MID AFTERNOON WHERE DEEPEST MOISTURE RESIDES.
GREATEST STORM THREATS THIS AFTERNOON LIKELY TO BE FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL. NO CHANGES REQUIRED TO ZFP
BUT WILL UPDATE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK SHORTLY.

&&

.MARINE...CONTINUED BENIGN BOATING CONDITIONS TODAY OUTSIDE OF
MARINE SHRA/TSRA WITH 5-10KT/1-2FT.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL GIVE WAY TO SCATTERED-NUMEROUS
MVFR-IFR SHRA AND TSRA FROM ABOUT 16Z ONWARD...WITH HIGHEST COVERAGE
SOUTH OF MCO-TTS.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...SPRATT/BUCKEY
LONG TERM....BRAGAW

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1055 AM EDT THU JUL 20 2006

AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
210300-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
1055 AM EDT THU JUL 20 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL RETURN NORTHWARD ACROSS LAKE...VOLUSIA...AND
SEMINOLE COUNTIES...WHICH HAVE RECEIVED MINIMAL RAINFALL COVERAGE
OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. DAYTIME HEATING ALONG WITH THE EAST
COAST SEA BREEZE AND RESIDUAL BOUNDARIES FROM EARLIER PRECIPITATION
WILL PROMOTE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS
BY LATE MORNING. SCATTERED STORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON
AND WILL BECOME NUMEROUS ACROSS AREAS SOUTH OF ORLANDO AND COCOA.
THE COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT INTO THE INTERIOR OF
CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON...BUT A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY
LINGER CLOSE TO THE EAST COAST. STORMS WILL FAVOR A SLOW NORTHWEST
MOTION. THE GREATEST STORM THREAT TODAY WILL BE FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG AND PRODUCE BRIEF
GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.

...FLOOD IMPACT...
DUE TO THE DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE...ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AN HOUR IN SOME AREAS TODAY. SUCH RAINFALL
RATES WILL LEAD TO PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND LOW LYING
SPOTS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS WHICH HAVE EXPERIENCED POOR DRAINAGE
FROM RECENT RAINS.

...WATERSPOUT IMPACT...
LIGHT WINDS COUPLED WITH DEEP MOISTURE MAY ALLOW AN ISOLATED
WATERSPOUT TO FORM OVER THE INTRACOASTAL AND NEAR SHORE ATLANTIC
TODAY...MAINLY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL REMAIN GENEROUS ACROSS ALL OF
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH THE HIGHEST COVERAGE OF
STORMS GRADUALLY SHIFTING BACK TOWARD THE EAST COAST SATURDAY
THROUGH MONDAY. COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL DECREASE TO NEAR OR BELOW
NORMAL LEVELS FROM TUESDAY ONWARD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY.

SPRATT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1100 AM EDT THU JUL 20 2006

FLZ147-201600-
NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
1100 AM EDT THU JUL 20 2006

...STORM PRODUCING FUNNEL CLOUDS OVER NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY...

AT 1055 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SEVERAL SHOWERS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FUNNEL CLOUDS NEAR PLAYALINDA
BEACH AND ADJACENT NORTH MERRITT ISLAND...MOVING NORTHWEST AT LESS
THAN 5 MPH.

REPORTS OF FUNNEL CLOUDS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED IN ASSOCATION WITH THESE
SHOWERS.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE SHOWERS WHICH MAY EXPERIENCE FUNNEL
CLOUDS AND POSSIBLY GUSTY WINDS INCLUDE KLONDIKE BEACH...MERRITT
ISLAND WILDLIFE REFUGE...AND THE KENNEDY SPACE CENTER.

SPRATT