Arizona, 2006

Flash Flood in Arizona, July 28, 2006

July 28, 2006 · NWS TWC · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$10,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 28, 2:28 PM MST, 2 hours 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 28, 2:28 PM MST, 2 hours 7 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 28, 2:51 PM MST, 1 hour 44 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
251 PM MST FRI JUL 28 2006

AZZ029-291400-
SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-
251 PM MST FRI JUL 28 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS
EVENING...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM MST SATURDAY
EVENING...

AN UPPER LOW THAT CURRENTLY RESIDES ALONG THE ARIZONA AND NEW
MEXICO BORDER WILL CONTINUE TO SPIN ACROSS THE REGION AND WILL
SLOWLY MOVE FARTHER WEST INTO ARIZONA DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE CURRENTLY MOVING SOUTH OFF THE MOGOLLON
RIM AND WILL MAKE THEIR WAY INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. SOME OF THE STORMS THAT
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND.

WITH THE LOW EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE GENERAL VICINITY FOR THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO THE COMBINATION OF THE LIFTING ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS SYSTEM...THE DEEP RESIDUAL MOISTURE PRESENT ACROSS SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA...AND ALREADY SATURATED SOILS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASED
RISK OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS THAT COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM MST SATURDAY
EVENING...

THE UPPER LOW WILL LINGER ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING CONTINUING THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY
AND INTO THE EVENING ON SATURDAY. DURING THE LATTER PART OF THE
WEEKEND THE LOW SHOULD WEAKEN SUFFICIENTLY TO ALLOW THE STORMS
THAT DEVELOP TO BE SCATTERED IN NATURE AND WITH WEAKER UPPER LEVEL
SUPPORT THE THREAT FOR FLOODING SHOULD NOT BE AS GREAT FOR SUNDAY.
HOWEVER...REFER TO STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE THAT WILL BE ISSUED TONIGHT AND SATURDAY FOR MORE
INFORMATION REGARDING THE FLOODING POTENTIAL DURING THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEKEND.

BY EARLY IN THE WEEK AND CONTINUING THROUGH LATE WEEK...A TROUGH
OVER THE PACIFIC WILL TRY TO WORK ITS WAY EAST. DRIER AIR WILL
FILTER INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND PERHAPS WESTERN ARIZONA.
HOWEVER...THE LATEST COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE THAT THERE WILL
STILL BE SUFFICIENT MOISTURE IN PLACE TO GENERATE ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING EACH DAY THROUGH FRIDAY. ALTHOUGH A FEW OF THE STORMS THAT
DEVELOP DURING THAT TIME COULD BRIEFLY REACH OR EXCEED SEVERE
LIMITS...ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

AZZ019-030>035-291400-
NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-
WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-TOHONO OODHAM NATION-
TUCSON METRO/MARANA/GREEN VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ COUNTY-COCHISE COUNTY-
251 PM MST FRI JUL 28 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM MST SATURDAY
EVENING...

AN UPPER LOW THAT CURRENTLY RESIDES ALONG THE ARIZONA AND NEW
MEXICO BORDER WILL CONTINUE TO SPIN ACROSS THE REGION AND WILL
SLOWLY MOVE FARTHER WEST INTO ARIZONA DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY.
WITH THE LOW EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE GENERAL VICINITY FOR THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO THE COMBINATION OF THE LIFTING ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS SYSTEM...THE DEEP RESIDUAL MOISTURE PRESENT ACROSS SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA...AND ALREADY SATURATED SOILS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASED
RISK OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS THAT COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM MST SATURDAY
EVENING...

THE UPPER LOW WILL LINGER ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING CONTINUING THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY
AND INTO THE EVENING ON SATURDAY. DURING THE LATTER PART OF THE
WEEKEND THE LOW SHOULD WEAKEN SUFFICIENTLY TO ALLOW THE STORMS
THAT DEVELOP TO BE SCATTERED IN NATURE AND WITH WEAKER UPPER LEVEL
SUPPORT THE THREAT FOR FLOODING SHOULD NOT BE AS GREAT FOR SUNDAY.
HOWEVER...REFER TO STATEMENTS THAT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY FOR MORE INFORMATION
REGARDING THE FLOODING POTENTIAL DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND.

BY EARLY IN THE WEEK AND CONTINUING THROUGH LATE WEEK...A TROUGH
OVER THE PACIFIC WILL TRY TO WORK ITS WAY EAST. DRIER AIR WILL
FILTER INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND PERHAPS WESTERN ARIZONA.
HOWEVER...THE LATEST COMPUTER MODELS INDICATE THAT THERE WILL
STILL BE SUFFICIENT MOISTURE IN PLACE TO GENERATE ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING EACH DAY THROUGH FRIDAY. ALTHOUGH A FEW OF THE STORMS THAT
DEVELOP DURING THAT TIME COULD BRIEFLY REACH OR EXCEED SEVERE
LIMITS...ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 28, 2:54 PM MST, 1 hour 41 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
254 PM MST FRI JUL 28 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     FLOOD            ELOY                    32.74N 111.61W
07/28/2006                   PINAL              AZ   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            FLOODING REPORTED IN ELOY OF TWO HOUSING DEVELOPMENTS.
            WATER ALSO REPORTED TO BE IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO 1-10.
            WATER LIKELY ORIGINATED FROM THE SANTA CRUZ RIVER FROM A
            LARGE AREA OF 2 TO 3 INCH RAINFALL NEAR REDROCK...PICACHO
            PEAK...AND ELOY.

&&

SCHAFFNER

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 83 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:36 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Cochise

When
July 28, 4:35 PM MST to 5:20 PM MST
Where
Cochise County, 18 mi NNW of Pirtleville
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
LAW ENFORCEMENT
Coordinates
31.880, -109.751 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A Sheriff's Department Official reported that a vehicle was stuck in a flooded roadway on Davis Road west of the Community of McNeal.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, July 2006

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-10-01. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5522684.