Virginia, 2005

Flash Flood in Virginia, July 15, 2005

July 15, 2005 · NWS LWX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A moist, tropical airmass led to the development of thunderstorms. Some heavy rainfall caused a few reports of road closures, plus a report of a water rescue incident.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS LWX wrote it up.

A moist, tropical airmass led to the development of thunderstorms. Some heavy rainfall caused a few reports of road closures, plus a report of a water rescue incident.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 15, 1:10 PM EST, 2 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 15, 1:10 PM EST, 2 hours 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
210 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2005

.SHORT TERM...

NO MAJOR CHANGES SYNOPTICALLY THRU TOMORROW. SFC AND UPPER TROF
OUT TO OUR WEST IN THE MISS VALLEY... AND HIGH OUT IN THE ATLANTIC.
RESULTING SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL KEEP CURRENT AIRMASS INTACT. 500MB
HEIGHTS DO START TO RISE SLOWLY FROM 589 TO 591 DM. EXPECT ANOTHER
ROUND OF MODERATE FOG OVERNIGHT WITH MCLOUDY CONDITIONS CONTINUING.
RADAR PRECIP ALGORITHMS WERE RESET DURING THE MIDDAY SINCE THEY WERE
CARRYING THREE DAYS OF RAIN DURING OUR CURRENT RAINY PERIOD.
HURRICANE EMILY CONTINUES TO CROSS THE CARRIBEAN AND ANOTHER
TROPICAL WAVE WAY OUT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME OUR F STORM SOON.

&&

.AVIATION...

NOT TOO MUCH IN THE WAY OF CHGS OVER THE NEXT 24 HRS. A PERIOD OF
VFR CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON FROM TIME TO TIME...THIS WILL LIKELY
SPARK MORE TSRA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THAT WILL BE REPLACED BY
CIGS OF 020 TO 030 AGAIN. ALSO EXPECTING MVFR FOG TO ROLL BACK
OVERNIGHT AS WELL. AREAS OF IFR VSBY AND CIGS DURING THE EARLY MORN
POSSIBLE AT MRB AND CHO.

&&

.MARINE...

NO MARINE CONCERNS THROUGH DAY 5 OTHER THAN SCT TSRA AND REDUCED
VSBY FROM HAZE.

&&

.LONG TERM...

THE BEGINNING OF THE LONG TERM IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE MUCH DIFFERENT
THAN THE PAST FEW DAYS...EXCEPT THE COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD
BE A LITTLE LESS THAN RECENT DAYS AND WILL BE MORE DIURNAL IN
NATURE. THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN VERY MOIST...WITH PRECIPITABLE
WATERS ABOVE 2 INCHES IN A THETA-E RICH ENVIRONMENT...AND
INSTABILITY WILL BUILD EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AS CAPES RISE
INTO THE 1500-2500 J/KG RANGE. IN ADDITION...WEAK VORT FEATURES
RIDING OVER THE UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST CONUS WILL HELP TO
KICK OFF CONVECTION. THEREFORE...HAVE CHC POPS DURING DAYTIME
THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH SLGT CHC POPS AT NIGHT.

THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR IN DROPPING A COLD FRONT SOUTH
INTO THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY...WITH LOWER PRECIPITABLE
WATERS AND LOWER SURFACE DEWPOINTS TRYING TO WORK THEIR WAY SOUTH
BEHIND THE FRONT FOR THURSDAY/FRIDAY. A LITTLE UNCERTAINTY REMAINS
WITH THE COLD FRONTAL TIMING...AND HAVE CHC POPS IN TUESDAY NIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY. GFS THEN SHOWS POST-FRONTAL HIGH PRESSURE SUPPORTING
AFOREMENTIONED DECREASES IN PRECIPITABLE WATERS AND DEWPOINTS. GIVEN
TIME OF YEAR AND LACK OF SUPER STRONG HIGH PRESSURE...NOT SURE FRONT
TOTALLY IS PUSHED SOUTH OF OUR CWA. THEREFORE...HAVE KEPT SLGT CHC
POPS FOR MOST PLACES WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY WITH SOME
DECREASE IN SURFACE DEWPOINTS AND TEMPERATURES IN GRIDDED DATABASE
(MAXIMIZED ACROSS OUR NORTH AND WEST).

&&

.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...NONE.
MD...NONE.
VA...NONE.
WV...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&

STRONG/PELOQUIN
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 15, 10:15 AM EST, 5 hours 5 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1115 AM EDT FRI JUL 15 2005

ANZ530>537-DCZ001-MDZ002>007-009>011-013-014-016>018-VAZ021-
025>031-036>042-050>057-WVZ048>055-161515-
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-ALLEGANY-WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-
NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-
PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-HIGHLAND-
AUGUSTA-ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-
NELSON-ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-FAUQUIER-LOUDOUN-
ORANGE-CULPEPER-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-
KING GEORGE-GRANT-MINERAL-HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-JEFFERSON-
PENDLETON-HARDY-
1115 AM EDT FRI JUL 15 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MARYLAND WEST OF THE
EASTERN SHORE INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND EAST OF GARRETT
COUNTY...EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
WASHINGTON DC AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON...AS A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY REMAINS STRETCHED ACROSS THE REGION. LOCALLY VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL COULD CAUSE SOME FLOODING PROBLEMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE WILL BE CHANCES FOR STORMS EACH DAY IN THIS PERIOD. TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL COULD OCCUR...WHICH MAY POSE A THREAT FOR LOCALIZED
FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

STRONG

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 19 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:22 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Fairfax

When
July 15, 3:20 PM EST to 4:17 PM EST
Where
Fairfax County, Great Falls
Reported by
TRAINED SPOTTER
Coordinates
39.000, -77.267

Flash flooding was reported at Arnon Chapel and Walker Roads. Center Street in Vienna was flooded. Flooding was also reported at Lawyers Road and Gunnell Road.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Virginia in 2005Every state in 2005This day in weather historyWarnings in Virginia, July 2005

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5463786.