Virginia, 2005Flash Flood in Virginia, July 15, 2005
July 15, 2005 · NWS LWX · 1 event in 1 county or zone
A moist, tropical airmass led to the development of thunderstorms. Some heavy rainfall caused a few reports of road closures, plus a report of a water rescue incident.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A moist, tropical airmass led to the development of thunderstorms. Some heavy rainfall caused a few reports of road closures, plus a report of a water rescue incident.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 15, 1:10 PM EST, 2 hours 10 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 15, 1:10 PM EST, 2 hours 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
210 PM EDT FRI JUL 15 2005
.SHORT TERM...
NO MAJOR CHANGES SYNOPTICALLY THRU TOMORROW. SFC AND UPPER TROF
OUT TO OUR WEST IN THE MISS VALLEY... AND HIGH OUT IN THE ATLANTIC.
RESULTING SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL KEEP CURRENT AIRMASS INTACT. 500MB
HEIGHTS DO START TO RISE SLOWLY FROM 589 TO 591 DM. EXPECT ANOTHER
ROUND OF MODERATE FOG OVERNIGHT WITH MCLOUDY CONDITIONS CONTINUING.
RADAR PRECIP ALGORITHMS WERE RESET DURING THE MIDDAY SINCE THEY WERE
CARRYING THREE DAYS OF RAIN DURING OUR CURRENT RAINY PERIOD.
HURRICANE EMILY CONTINUES TO CROSS THE CARRIBEAN AND ANOTHER
TROPICAL WAVE WAY OUT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME OUR F STORM SOON.
&&
.AVIATION...
NOT TOO MUCH IN THE WAY OF CHGS OVER THE NEXT 24 HRS. A PERIOD OF
VFR CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON FROM TIME TO TIME...THIS WILL LIKELY
SPARK MORE TSRA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THAT WILL BE REPLACED BY
CIGS OF 020 TO 030 AGAIN. ALSO EXPECTING MVFR FOG TO ROLL BACK
OVERNIGHT AS WELL. AREAS OF IFR VSBY AND CIGS DURING THE EARLY MORN
POSSIBLE AT MRB AND CHO.
&&
.MARINE...
NO MARINE CONCERNS THROUGH DAY 5 OTHER THAN SCT TSRA AND REDUCED
VSBY FROM HAZE.
&&
.LONG TERM...
THE BEGINNING OF THE LONG TERM IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE MUCH DIFFERENT
THAN THE PAST FEW DAYS...EXCEPT THE COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD
BE A LITTLE LESS THAN RECENT DAYS AND WILL BE MORE DIURNAL IN
NATURE. THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN VERY MOIST...WITH PRECIPITABLE
WATERS ABOVE 2 INCHES IN A THETA-E RICH ENVIRONMENT...AND
INSTABILITY WILL BUILD EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AS CAPES RISE
INTO THE 1500-2500 J/KG RANGE. IN ADDITION...WEAK VORT FEATURES
RIDING OVER THE UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST CONUS WILL HELP TO
KICK OFF CONVECTION. THEREFORE...HAVE CHC POPS DURING DAYTIME
THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH SLGT CHC POPS AT NIGHT.
THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE FAIRLY SIMILAR IN DROPPING A COLD FRONT SOUTH
INTO THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY...WITH LOWER PRECIPITABLE
WATERS AND LOWER SURFACE DEWPOINTS TRYING TO WORK THEIR WAY SOUTH
BEHIND THE FRONT FOR THURSDAY/FRIDAY. A LITTLE UNCERTAINTY REMAINS
WITH THE COLD FRONTAL TIMING...AND HAVE CHC POPS IN TUESDAY NIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY. GFS THEN SHOWS POST-FRONTAL HIGH PRESSURE SUPPORTING
AFOREMENTIONED DECREASES IN PRECIPITABLE WATERS AND DEWPOINTS. GIVEN
TIME OF YEAR AND LACK OF SUPER STRONG HIGH PRESSURE...NOT SURE FRONT
TOTALLY IS PUSHED SOUTH OF OUR CWA. THEREFORE...HAVE KEPT SLGT CHC
POPS FOR MOST PLACES WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY WITH SOME
DECREASE IN SURFACE DEWPOINTS AND TEMPERATURES IN GRIDDED DATABASE
(MAXIMIZED ACROSS OUR NORTH AND WEST).
&&
.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...NONE.
MD...NONE.
VA...NONE.
WV...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
STRONG/PELOQUIN
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 15, 10:15 AM EST, 5 hours 5 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1115 AM EDT FRI JUL 15 2005
ANZ530>537-DCZ001-MDZ002>007-009>011-013-014-016>018-VAZ021-
025>031-036>042-050>057-WVZ048>055-161515-
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD-
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD-
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA-
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-ALLEGANY-WASHINGTON-FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-
NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-
PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-HIGHLAND-
AUGUSTA-ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE-
NELSON-ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-FAUQUIER-LOUDOUN-
ORANGE-CULPEPER-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-
KING GEORGE-GRANT-MINERAL-HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY-JEFFERSON-
PENDLETON-HARDY-
1115 AM EDT FRI JUL 15 2005
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MARYLAND WEST OF THE
EASTERN SHORE INCLUDING THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND EAST OF GARRETT
COUNTY...EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
WASHINGTON DC AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON...AS A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY REMAINS STRETCHED ACROSS THE REGION. LOCALLY VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL COULD CAUSE SOME FLOODING PROBLEMS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
THERE WILL BE CHANCES FOR STORMS EACH DAY IN THIS PERIOD. TORRENTIAL
RAINFALL COULD OCCUR...WHICH MAY POSE A THREAT FOR LOCALIZED
FLOODING.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
STRONG
Flash Flood, Fairfax
- When
- July 15, 3:20 PM EST to 4:17 PM EST
- Where
- Fairfax County, Great Falls
- Reported by
- TRAINED SPOTTER
- Coordinates
- 39.000, -77.267
Flash flooding was reported at Arnon Chapel and Walker Roads. Center Street in Vienna was flooded. Flooding was also reported at Lawyers Road and Gunnell Road.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flooding and Heavy Rain in Mississippi, July 15, 2005$5.0 million · 3 events
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Texas, July 15, 2005$88,000 · 61 kt wind · 15 events
- Flash Flood in West Virginia, July 15, 2005$60,000 · 1 event
- Flash Flood in Louisiana, July 15, 2005$50,000 · 1 event
- Flash Flood in Louisiana, July 15, 2005$50,000 · 1 event
- Heavy Rain in Indiana, July 15, 2005$35,000 · 1 event
- Lightning Strike in Ohio, July 15, 2005$30,000 · 1 event
- Lightning Strike in West Virginia, July 15, 2005$25,000 · 1 event
- Lightning Strike in Georgia, July 15, 20052 injured · 1 event
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Colorado, July 15, 20051.75 in hail · 11 events
- Damaging Winds in Montana, July 15, 200577 kt wind · 6 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Florida, July 15, 20051 in hail · 4 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5463786.