Hail in Texas, March 26, 2005

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
325 AM CST SAT MAR 26 2005

.DISCUSSION...BUSY MORNING SO WILL BE BRIEF. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
REDEVLOPING EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS EXTEDNING
SOUTHWARD INTO THE EDWARDS PLATEAU.  THIS IS ALL IN RESPONSE TO DISTURBANCES
MOVING EAST IN THE SUBTROPICAL JET INTERACTING WITH A NEARLY STATIONARY
FRONT OVER OUR NORTHERN TIER. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 84 HAS BEEN
ISSUED TIL 8 AM FOR MUCH OF THE HILL COUNTRY AS THE DISTURBANCE HEADS EAST.
AS THE LOW DIGS SOUTHEAST INTO WEST TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON...ELEVATED CONVECTION
WILL OCCUR AND WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES ALOFT..SEVERE ACTIVITY IS AGAIN
POSSIBLE ALONG THE DRY LINE AND COLD FRONT.  A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THE
ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT WITH SOME ELEVATED CONVECTION MAINLY OVER EASTERN SECTIONS.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA SUNDAY WITH COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS.
RIDGING ALOFT WILL BUILD IN OVER THE REGION MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY IN RESPONSE TO NEXT TROUH DIGGING
INTO NEW MEXICO.  THUNDERSTORMS MAY RETURN TO THE REGION LATE THURSDAY...FRIDAY
AS THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES EAST ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS WITH AN ASSOCIAITED
COLD FRONT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              71  46  66  45 /  50  30  10   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  71  46  67  35 /  50  30  10   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           79  48  73  44 /  20  10   0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       74  47  66  41 /  40  10   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL 6 PM CST SATURDAY
      FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...DIMMIT...EDWARDS...KINNEY...
      MAVERICK...REAL...UVALDE...VAL VERDE...AND ZAVALA.
     SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 84 IN EFFECT TIL 8 AM FOR EDWARDS
      PLATEAU AND MUCH OF HILL COUNTRY.
&&

02/19

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
658 AM CST SAT MAR 26 2005

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-271200-
ATASCOSA-BANDERA-BASTROP-BEXAR-BLANCO-BURNET-CALDWELL-COMAL-DE WITT-
DIMMIT-EDWARDS-FAYETTE-FRIO-GILLESPIE-GONZALES-GUADALUPE-HAYS-KARNES-
KENDALL-KERR-KINNEY-LAVACA-LEE-LLANO-MAVERICK-MEDINA-REAL-TRAVIS-
UVALDE-VAL VERDE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-ZAVALA-
658 AM CST SAT MAR 26 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE HILL COUNTRY
ALONG WITH THE NORTHERN COUNTIES OF THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS REGION
AND PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS ALONG THE ESCARPMENT UNTIL 2PM
THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY AND ADJACENT
COUNTIES OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. A COLD FRONT HAS STALLED ACROSS THE
HILL COUNTRY AND THIS FEATURE WILL BE THE FOCUS OF THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY
WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE. AN ISOLATED TORNADO
IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
903 AM CST SAT MAR 26 2005

TXZ186-261600-
KERR-
903 AM CST SAT MAR 26 2005

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING EAST ACROSS KERR COUNTY WILL BRING WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINS WITH RAINFALL RATES UP TO 2
INCHES PER HOUR TO THE TOWNS OF HUNT...INGRAM AND KERRVILLE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
937 AM CST SAT MAR 26 2005

TXZ183-261615-
VAL VERDE-
937 AM CST SAT MAR 26 2005

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 85 CANCELLED FOR VAL VERDE COUNTY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TEXAS HAS
CANCELLED THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR VAL VERDE COUNTY. THE
LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAS MOVED EAST OF VAL VERDE
COUNTY.