Flood in Pennsylvania, January 6, 2005

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
210 AM EST THU JAN 6 2005

.SHORT TERM (THROUGH THURSDAY)...
FOR TODAY WILL BE EXTENDING THE WSW UNTIL 9AM AS TEMPS ARE SLOW TO
CLIMB. ALSO WILL BE REISSUING ALL FLW UNTIL 1PM AS RAIN WILL
CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE MORNING HOURS AND WILL BRING ADDITIONAL
QPF. GFS SEEMS TO HAVE A PRETTY GOOD HANDLE ON CURRENT CONDITIONS
...USED GFS SOLUTION FOR TIMING TODAY BRINGING FRONT AND COLDER
AIR EAST A BIT FASTER THAN ETA.

&&

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
MODELS STILL TRYING TO GET A HANDLE ON NEXT SYSTEM FOR WEEKEND.
GFS MOST AGGRESSIVE PUSHING PRECIP NORTH AND HOLDING IN COLDER AIR
IN MY NORTHERN CWA AS WELL. NEXT FRONT MOVES IN ON TUESDAY WITH
ANOTHER WAVE MOVING UP ALONG IT.

&&

.AVIATION...
IFR TO MVFR CONDTIONS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE DAY. CEILINGS WILL
RISE A BIT JUST AHEAD OF FRONT. SFC WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF
FRONT AS WELL.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... (ISSUED 1010 PM EST WED JAN 5 2005)

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT.  WINTER STORM WARNING FOR FREEZING
IN SAME NORTHERN AREAS.  AREA OF RAIN MOVES EAST OVERNIGHT AND
TAPERS OFF DURING TOMORROW MORNING.  WARMER AIR SHOULD MOVE IN TO THE
WATCH AREAS BY AFTER MIDNIGHT ENDING THE FREEZING PRECIP.

LONG TERM (FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE.  SYSTEM FROM SOUTH OVER WEEKEND
IS PROJECTED TO COME IN FASTER NOW WITH CHANCE OF PRECIP SATURDAY
AND SAT NIGHT.  THEN CHC SMALL CHANCES OF RAIN SHOWERS THRU DAY 7.

AVIATION...
IFR CONDITIONS WITH CIGS BELOW 1000 AND VSBY BELOW 3.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...FLOOD WATCH FOR MDZ001 FROM 1 AM THURSDAY UNTIL 4 PM THURSDAY.
OH...NONE.
PA...FLOOD WATCH FOR PAZ007-PAZ008-PAZ009-PAZ013-PAZ015-PAZ016-
     PAZ032 FROM 1 AM THURSDAY UNTIL 4 PM THURSDAY.
  ...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR PAZ007-PAZ008-PAZ009-PAZ015-PAZ016
     FROM 1 AM THURSDAY UNTIL 9 AM THURSDAY.
WV...FLOOD WATCH FOR WVZ022-WVZ023 FROM 1 AM THURSDAY UNTIL 4 PM
     THURSDAY.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
437 AM EST THU JAN 6 2005

MDZ001-OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-
029>032-WVZ001>004-012-021>023-041-070935-
ALLEGHENY PA-ARMSTRONG PA-BEAVER PA-BELMONT OH-BROOKE WV-BUTLER PA-
CARROLL OH-CLARION PA-COLUMBIANA OH-COSHOCTON OH-FAYETTE PA-
FOREST PA-GARRETT MD-GREENE PA-GUERNSEY OH-HANCOCK WV-HARRISON OH-
INDIANA PA-JEFFERSON PA-JEFFERSON OH-LAWRENCE PA-MARION WV-
MARSHALL WV-MERCER PA-MONONGALIA WV-MONROE OH-MUSKINGUM OH-NOBLE OH-
OHIO WV-PRESTON WV-TUCKER WV-TUSCARAWAS OH-VENANGO PA-WASHINGTON PA-
WESTMORELAND PA-WETZEL WV-
437 AM EST THU JAN 6 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA
EAST CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND
GARRETT COUNTY MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO FALL ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. THIS WILL ONLY
WORSEN THE FLOODING. FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE UNTIL MID MORNING
ACROSS FAR NORTHERN SECTIONS OF WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA. WARMER
TEMPERATURES WILL EVENTUALLY MAKE IT TO THE NORTH TURNING THE
FREEZING RAIN BACK TO ALL RAIN. RAINFALL ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA
SHOULD TAPER OFF THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TODAY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
410 AM EST THU JAN 06 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 AM     FLOOD            EAST LIVERPOOL          40.63N 80.57W
01/06/2005                   COLUMBIANA         OH   SKYWARN SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS ROADS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING AROUND THE TOWN.

0100 AM     FLOOD            10 W HOMER CITY         40.54N 79.35W
01/06/2005                   INDIANA            PA   SKYWARN SPOTTER

            OLD ROUTE 56 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING IN CENTER TOWNSHIP.
            NUMEROUS BASEMENTS FLOODED.

0200 AM     FLOOD            NEW CASTLE              41.00N 80.35W
01/06/2005                   LAWRENCE           PA   SKYWARN SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS REPORTS OF MINOR ROAD FLOODING IN AND AROUND THE
            CITY OF NEW CASTLE.

0230 AM     FLOOD            8 S ALIQUIPPA           40.50N 80.25W
01/06/2005                   ALLEGHENY          PA   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            RACCOON CREEK OUT OF BANKS AND FLOODING 30 TO 40 ACRES OF
            FIELDS. HOOKSTOWN GRADE ROAD, PARK ROAD AND ROUTE 151
            CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

0245 AM     FLOOD            JEWETT                  40.37N 81.00W
01/06/2005                   HARRISON           OH   SKYWARN SPOTTER

            2.25 INCHES RAINFALL IN PAST 24 HOURS. ROUTE 151 CLOSED
            DUE TO FLOODINGH AS WELL AS UPPER CLEAR FORK ROAD AND
            LOWER CLEAR FORK ROAD.

&&

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