Hail in North Carolina, March 27, 2005

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1154 AM EST SUN MAR 27 2005

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014-
019-281100-
ABBEVILLE SC-ALEXANDER NC-ANDERSON SC-AVERY NC-BUNCOMBE NC-BURKE NC-
CABARRUS NC-CALDWELL NC-CATAWBA NC-CHEROKEE SC-CHESTER SC-
CLEVELAND NC-DAVIE NC-ELBERT GA-FRANKLIN GA-GASTON NC-GRAHAM NC-
GREATER GREENVILLE SC-GREATER OCONEE SC-GREATER PICKENS SC-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS SC-GREENWOOD SC-HABERSHAM GA-HART GA-HAYWOOD NC-
HENDERSON NC-IREDELL NC-LAURENS SC-LINCOLN NC-MACON NC-MADISON NC-
MCDOWELL NC-MECKLENBURG NC-MITCHELL NC-NORTHERN JACKSON NC-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS SC-PICKENS MOUNTAINS SC-POLK NC-RABUN GA-ROWAN NC-
RUTHERFORD NC-SOUTHERN JACKSON NC-SPARTANBURG SC-STEPHENS GA-
SWAIN NC-TRANSYLVANIA NC-UNION SC-UNION NC-YANCEY NC-YORK SC-
1150 AM EST SUN MAR 27 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...

THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT FOR ALL OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE WESTERN CAROLINAS.  THE
THREAT INCLUDES DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL...AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES.  THE GREATEST RISK OF THIS SEVERE WEATHER IS IN THE
FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT.  THERE IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY HEAVY
RAIN WHICH WOULD RESULT IN RAPID RISES ON AREA STREAMS AND CREEKS.
FOR MORE DETAILS ON THIS SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN THREAT REFER
TO...CAESPSGSP.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

EXPECT THE WIND TO INCREASE FOR MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...WITH
SUSTAINED WIND OF 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH GUSTS OVER 30
MPH.  WIND IN THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT WILL BE BREEZY AT 10 TO 20
MPH AND GUSTY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING AS
THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE PASSES TO OUR NORTH WITH THE ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT CROSSING FROM WEST TO EAST.  NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED
ON SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT.

14

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
257 PM EST SUN MAR 27 2005

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014-
019-280400-
ABBEVILLE SC-ALEXANDER NC-ANDERSON SC-AVERY NC-BUNCOMBE NC-BURKE NC-
CABARRUS NC-CALDWELL NC-CATAWBA NC-CHEROKEE SC-CHESTER SC-
CLEVELAND NC-DAVIE NC-ELBERT GA-FRANKLIN GA-GASTON NC-GRAHAM NC-
GREATER GREENVILLE SC-GREATER OCONEE SC-GREATER PICKENS SC-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS SC-GREENWOOD SC-HABERSHAM GA-HART GA-HAYWOOD NC-
HENDERSON NC-IREDELL NC-LAURENS SC-LINCOLN NC-MACON NC-MADISON NC-
MCDOWELL NC-MECKLENBURG NC-MITCHELL NC-NORTHERN JACKSON NC-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS SC-PICKENS MOUNTAINS SC-POLK NC-RABUN GA-ROWAN NC-
RUTHERFORD NC-SOUTHERN JACKSON NC-SPARTANBURG SC-STEPHENS GA-
SWAIN NC-TRANSYLVANIA NC-UNION SC-UNION NC-YANCEY NC-YORK SC-
257 PM EST SUN MAR 27 2005

...SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK...

THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER CONTINUES FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.

RAIN COOLED AIR HAS LEFT A BOUNDARY SEPARATING COOL STABLE
AIR TO THE NORTH...AND WARMER MOIST AIR TO THE SOUTH.  THIS BOUNDARY
HAS PERSISTED ALL DAY...BUT HAS WEAKENED A BIT IN EASTERN SECTIONS OF
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND THE SOUTHERN PIEDMONT IN NORTH CAROLINA.
THE TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT HAVE BEEN GRADUALLY RISING THROUGH THE
DAY AT MANY STATIONS.  THE COOL AIR REMAINED FIRMLY ENTRENCHED...FROM
AROUND GREENVILLE TO ANDERSON...AND ALONG THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE
MOUNTAINS...TO ABOUT SHELBY AND SPARTANBURG...BACK TO GREENVILLE.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVING NORTHEAST FROM ALABAMA AND
GEORGIA WILL ENTER THE SOUTHWEST PART OF THE FORECAST AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...AND SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AREA DURING
THE EVENING.  THERE IS A THREAT OF LARGE HAIL...EVEN AFTER THE STORMS
START MOVING OVER THE COLDER AIR AT AND NEAR THE SURFACE.  THE STORMS
WILL TEND TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY HOWEVER...AS LONG AS THE COLD AIR REMAINS
ENTRENCHED.

LATER THIS EVENING...THE BOUNDARY MAY ERODE MORE ALONG ITS SOUTHERN
EDGE...AND PLACES FROM HARTWELL AND ELBERTON...TO
GREENWOOD...LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...AND MONROE...MAY GET INTO THE
WARMER AIR JUST TO THE SOUTH.  STORMS MOVING ALONG THIS BOUNDARY
COULD BE QUITE PRONE TO PRODUCE TORNADOES...AS WELL AS DAMAGING WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL.

A LARGE COMPLEX...OR LINE OF STORMS...IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TONIGHT
TO THE WEST...AND MOVE ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA.  THIS
COMPLEX WILL BE CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND POSSIBLY
SOME TORNADOES.  IT IS POSSIBLE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP
AGAIN MONDAY...AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS.

IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY TONIGHT...WITH SOME FLASH
FLOODING OR URBAN FLOODING POSSIBLY DEVELOPING.

THIS COULD BECOME A DANGEROUS SEVERE WEATHER SITUATION
TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY FOR FOOTHILL AND PIEDMONT SECTIONS OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.  COMMUNICATORS IN THOSE AREAS ARE
URGED TO BRIEF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS ON THIS LATEST
INFORMATION...AND ON ANY SEVERE WEATHER WATCHES WHICH MAY BE ISSUED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE MEDIA FOR THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION OR SEVERE WEATHER WATCHES OR WARNINGS.

JONES

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