Hail in North Carolina, June 6, 2005

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
330 PM EDT MON JUN 6 2005

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT)...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING TO
TRACK NORTH INTO THE MRX CWA THIS AFTERNOON.  SOME OF THE STORMS ARE
QUITE STRONG AND ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.
THESE STORMS ARE FORMING IN A RATHER STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH
THE AID OF MOISTURE AND LIFT PUSHING IN ADVANCE OF A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY.  EXPECT STORMS TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT WITH LOSS OF DIURNAL
HEATING.

.LONG TERM......(TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...CONTINUED UNSETTLED
WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK WITH NORMAL SUMMERTIME
AFTERNOON/EVENING CONVECTION POSSIBLE EACH DAY.

&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             88  70  87  69 /  50  30  40  20
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  86  68  87  67 /  50  30  40  20
OAK RIDGE, TN                       86  68  86  67 /  50  30  40  20
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              84  65  86  64 /  50  30  40  30

&&
.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC......NONE.
TN......NONE.
VA......NONE.

&&

MJB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
340 AM EDT MON JUN 6 2005

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-005-
006-008-070900-
ANDERSON-BLEDSOE-BLOUNT SMOKY MTN-BRADLEY-CAMPBELL-CHEROKEE-
CLAIBORNE-CLAY-COCKE SMOKY MTN-EAST POLK-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-HAMILTON-
HANCOCK-HAWKINS-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-KNOX-LEE-LOUDON-MARION-MCMINN-
MEIGS-MORGAN-NORTH SEVIER-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST COCKE-
NORTHWEST GREENE-NORTHWEST MONROE-NW BLOUNT-RHEA-ROANE-RUSSELL-
SCOTT TN-SCOTT VA-SEQUATCHIE-SEVIER SMOKY MTN-SOUTHEAST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-SULLIVAN-UNICOI-UNION-
WASHINGTON TN-WASHINGTON VA-WEST POLK-WISE-
340 AM EDT (240 AM CDT) MON JUN 6 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...

AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND
TENNESSEE VALLEY WILL ALLOW THE COVERAGE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS TO INCREASE AS WELL.  SINCE THE STORMS
WITH TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL BE DRIFTING VERY SLOWLY...LOCALIZED
HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE PRODUCING ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING.

ALSO...SOME OF THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH
THE MAIN THREAT BEING DAMAGING DOWNBURSTS WINDS AND HAIL UP TO
PENNY SIZE.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN (SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...

SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE WEEK...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.  HEAVY RAINS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN
CONCERN...BUT ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE.  THE
MAIN THREAT FROM THE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING DOWNBURSTS
WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY...BUT MAINLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.  COVERAGE OF THE SEVERE
STORMS SHOULD REMAIN ISOLATED.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MRX.

DH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
305 PM EDT MON JUN 6 2005

TNZ099-100-062004-
BRADLEY TN-HAMILTON TN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHATTANOOGA AND CLEVELAND
305 PM EDT MON JUN 6 2005

A VERY STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER HAMILTON COUNTY WILL LIKELY HAVE
WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH WITH HAIL UP TO 1/2 INCH POSSIBLE.  THIS IS A
LITTLE LESS THAN SEVERE LEVEL THUNDERSTORMS WHICH HAVE 58 MPH WINDS
AND GREATER AND HAIL 3/4 INCH OR LARGER...HOWEVER THESE ARE STRONG
ENOUGH TO PUSH OVER SOME WINDS.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THIS STORM AND IF FURTHER STRENGTHENING OCCURS...ISSUE A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WARNING IF NEEDED.