1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 8, 12:24 AM EST, 6 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 1224 AM EST TUE MAR 8 2005 .AVIATION... BACK INTO THE THROES OF WINTER. MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS FOR TAF SITES REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT EXCEPT FOR LOCAL MVFR CEILINGS DTW/DET FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS. AGAIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON...19Z TO 00Z...WILL MENTION CHANCE MVFR CONDITIONS FOR 5 MILES IN SNOW AND CEILINGS 25 HUNDRED FEET ALL SITES...WITH THIS DIURNAL ENHANCEMENT DYING DOWN TO SOLID VFR...SCATTERED CLOUDS...BY 02Z. && .UPDATE...ISSUED 937 PM EST MON EARLIER UPDATE COVERED AN EXPANDING AREA OF SNOW SHOWERS FROM AROUND PONTIAC SOUTH TO THE OHIO BORDER. THIS ACTIVITY IS SUPPORTED BY LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE THROUGH THE INVERTED SURFACE TROF ANALYZED OVER SOUTHERN LOWER INTO NORTHERN OHIO. EXPECT IT TO DIMINISH/MOVE SOUTH WITH THE TROF AROUND MIDNIGHT AFTER DROPPING A DUSTING OF ACCUMULATION. COLD AND DRY AIR WILL CONTINUE TO POUR INTO SE MICHIGAN OVERNIGHT. THIS, ALONG WITH A NEARLY NORTH WIND INTO THE THUMB, LEAVES LAKE EFFECT SNOW POTENTIAL TO DEAL WITH IN THE SHORT TERM. AS USUAL, THE LAKE EFFECT WILL BE VERY SENSITIVE TO WIND DIRECTION AND INSTABILITY. THE LATEST SURFACE OBS SUGGEST BOTH WILL BE A CLOSE CALL FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW OVERNIGHT. THE LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SUPPORTS THE NAM12 AND OUR LOCAL WRFGL SUGGESTING A MODE OF MULTIPLE BANDS EARLY IN THE OVERNIGHT TRANSITIONING TO A MORE DOMINANT MID LAKE BAND LATER, AS THE GRADIENT FLOW DECREASES. THIS WILL OCCUR AS INSTABILITY INCREASES BUT BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE DECREASES AND FORCES LOWER CONVECTIVE DEPTH/INVERSION HEIGHT. THE TENDENCY FOR SHALLOWER CONVECTION AND AN OFFSHORE DOMINANT BAND SUGGESTS 1 TO 2 INCH ACCUMULATIONS LOOK GOOD. AWAY FROM THE LAKESHORE, SURFACE WINDS FROM AROUND 330 DEGREES WILL FOSTER SOME CLEARING SKY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, BUT THERE WILL BE JUST ENOUGH GRADIENT WIND TO KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM PLUMMETING. EXPECT LOWS TO RANGE FROM AROUND 10 ABOVE IN THE TRI CITIES TO THE MID TEENS NEAR THE OHIO BORDER. && .SHORT TERM... TONIGHT AND TUESDAY ISSUED AT 345 PM EST MON DEEP SURFACE LOW OVER SOUTHERN GEORGIAN BAY RACING EASTWARD WHILE ARCTIC FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE SAGINAW VALLEY CONTINUES TO PLOW SOUTHEAST. FRONT SHOULD BE THROUGH THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA BY 6PM. VERY FRIGID AND DRY AIR WILL POUR THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS SETUP ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN LOWER. WINDS WILL BECOME MORE NORTHERLY OVERNIGHT WHICH WILL PUT MOST OF SOUTHEAST LOWER IN UNFAVORABLE POSITION FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS. EXCEPTION WILL BE THE THUMB AND ALONG LAKE HURON SHORELINE. SURFACE CONVERGENCE SHOULD SETUP BEST AFTER MIDNIGHT THROUGH SUNRISE JUST OFF SHORE SO WILL GO WITH NUMEROUS NEAR THE LAKE AND SCATTERED INLAND. TOUGH CALL ON SNOW AMOUNTS. THINK HEAVIEST WILL STAY OFF SHORE...OTHER LIMITING FACTOR IS SOUNDING OVERWATER/ICE DOESNT SHOW TOO DEEP OF AN INVERSION AND AIRMASS ALSO VERY DRY. THINK POSSIBLY AN INCH OR TWO NEAR THE SHORELINE WITH LESSER AMOUNTS ACROSS THE THUMB. SHOULD SEE A GOOD AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE THE FIRST PART OF THE DAY WITH DRY AIRMASS AND WEAK SUBSIDENCE. SURFACE TROUGHING SETS UP ACROSS THE AREA IN THE AFTERNOON. THIS COMBINED WITH MARCH DIURNAL HEATING ...INSTABILITY SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE MORE CLOUDS AND A CHANCE FOR FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS. WINDS WILL CONTINUE STRONG AND GUSTY OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS TEMPS WILL PLUMMET INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT AND STRUGGLE TO THE 20S TUESDAY. WIND CHILLS SHOULD DROP TO AROUND ZERO. && .LONG TERM... TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...ISSUED 345 PM EST MON LAKE EFFECT POTENTIAL WILL DIMINISH TUESDAY NIGHT AS A LAKE INDUCED SURFACE PRESSURE TROF SETS UP OVER LAKE SUPERIOR AND LAKE HURON. THIS WILL BACK THE FLOW ENOUGH TOWARD THE NW TO KEEP LAKE EFFECT OFFSHORE IN THE THUMB. THIS TYPE OF NW FLOW IS ALSO CONDUCIVE FOR SOME CLEARING AT NIGHT OVER INLAND LOCATIONS, AND ALONG WITH LIGHT GRADIENT WIND, WILL RESULT IN COLD OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPS. WERE NOT QUITE READY TO GO WITH SINGLE DIGIT LOWS IN THE ABSENCE OF FRESH SNOW COVER, BUT OUR GOING FORECAST NEAR 10 ABOVE LOOKS GOOD WITH SOME SINGLE DIGITS IN THE LOWER END OF TH RANGE. THE 12Z MODELS FORECAST RESIDUAL WEAKLY CYCLONIC FLOW TO LINGER OVER SE MICHIGAN ON WEDNESDAY. THIS, ALONG WITH 850 TEMPS AROUND -18C, CAUSES SOME CONCERN FOR ENOUGH DIURNAL INSTABILITY FOR A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS AND RH FIELDS SUGGEST MOISTURE AVAILABILITY MAY BE A LIMITING FACTOR FOR PRECIP, BUT STRATOCU WILL BE NO PROBLEM AND WILL KEEP HIGH TEMPS FROM BREAKING THE FREEZING MARK. THERE IS A SLOWER TREND DEVELOPING ON THE ARRIVAL OF THE NEXT CLIPPER SYSTEM. IF THIS CAN HOLD, THEN WE MAY BE ABLE TO DELAY THE ONSET OF WARM ADVECTION DRIVEN SNOW LATER INTO THURSDAY. FOR NOW, WELL KEEP THE CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT, BUT WITH THE BETTER CHANCE ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. PLAN TO KEEP AN EYE OUT FOR LIGHT ACCUMS AS WELL, WITH MODEL QPF RUNNING AROUND 0.1 DURING THIS TIME. AFTER A BREAK IN THE ACTION ON FRIDAY, YET ANOTHER NW FLOW SHORT WAVE IS EXPECTED AROUND THE SATURDAY PERIOD. TIMING, TRACK, AND STRENGTH DIFFERENCES ARE APPARENT WITH THIS SYSTEM IN THE LATEST MODEL RUNS. THE 12Z GFS IS TRENDING TOWARD SLOWER AND FARTHER WEST TIMING AND TRACK, MORE IN LINE WITH THE EURO AND OUR LOCAL WRFXX. THE DIFFERENCES STILL REQUIRE SOME CAUTIOUS WORDING IN TERMS OF THE POP FORECAST, BUT DO SUPPORT STICKING WITH A COLDER TEMPERATURE SOLUTION. FOR NOW WELL SHY AWAY FROM THE WARMER MEX MOS AND HANG IN THERE WITH OUR GOING FORECAST OF HIGHS AROUND 30 WITH ALL SNOW. AFTER THE SATURDAY SYSTEM, THERE IS GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT REGARDING SOME CHANGES TAKING SHAPE REGARDING THE LARGE SCALE UPPER AIR PATTERN. HEIGHT FALLS OVER THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WILL HELP THE HIGH AMPLITUDE/BLOCKING PATTERN RETROGRADE WITH A REX BLOCK SETTING UP FROM THE GULF OF AK SOUTHWARD TOWARD HAWAII. UNFORTUNATELY, WITHOUT MUCH OF A RIDGE OVER THE EAST COAST OR WESTERN ATLANTIC, WELL FIND SE MICHIGAN UNDER SHORT ZONAL OR BROADLY CYCLONIC UPPER FLOW AND IN THE VICINITY OF THE POLAR BAROCLINIC ZONE. RIPPLES MOVING ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE WILL PUT OUR AREA IN A MORE ACTIVE PATTERN FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK. && .DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... .MI...NONE. .LAKE HURON... SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...OVERNIGHT...NEARSHORE WATERS LAKE HURON AND FOR SAGINAW BAY. .LAKE ST CLAIR...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...OVERNIGHT. .MI WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...OVERNIGHT. && UPDATE...BT AVIATION...BT SHORT TERM...DRC LONG TERM...BT
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 413 PM EST MON MAR 7 2005 MIZ047-048-053-054-060>062-068>070-075-076-082-083-081000- BAY MI-GENESEE MI-LAPEER MI-LENAWEE MI-LIVINGSTON MI-MACOMB MI- MIDLAND MI-MONROE MI-OAKLAND MI-SAGINAW MI-SHIAWASSEE MI-TUSCOLA MI- WASHTENAW MI-WAYNE MI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ADRIAN...ANN ARBOR...BAY CITY...CARO... DOWNTOWN DETROIT...FLINT...HOWELL...LAPEER...MIDLAND...MONROE... MOUNT CLEMENS...OWOSSO...PONTIAC AND SAGINAW 413 PM EST MON MAR 7 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN OUTSIDE OF THE THUMB. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAY TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. MIZ049-055-063-081000- HURON MI-SANILAC MI-ST. CLAIR MI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE...PORT HURON AND SANDUSKY 413 PM EST MON MAR 7 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE THUMB. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT. ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 2 INCHES IS POSSIBLE NEAR THE LAKE HURON SHORELINE...TAPERING OFF TO LESS THAN AN INCH FOR INLAND LOCATIONS. AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH LOW PRESSURE IN QUEBEC WILL BRING MUCH COLDER AIR INTO SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN. THIS WILL RESULT IN UNSTABLE AIR OVER LAKE HURON AND TRIGGER NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. .DAY TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. LCZ422-423-460-LEZ444-LHZ421-422-441>443-462>464-081000-LAKE HURON-SAGINAW BAY-LAKE HURON NEARSHORE FROM PORT AUSTIN TO PORT HURON-ST CLAIR RIVER-LAKE ST CLAIR-DETROIT RIVER-MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE- 413 PM EST MON MAR 7 2005 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SAGINAW BAY...SOUTHERN LAKE HURON...THE ST CLAIR RIVER...LAKE ST CLAIR...THE DETROIT RIVER...AND THE MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE HURON TONIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT FOR ALL NEAR SHORE WATERS. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECAST FOR DETAILS. .DAY TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE REQUIRED TUESDAY FOR ALL NEAR SHORE WATERS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. BT
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Shiawassee River near Fergus went above its 10 foot flood stage at 1230 am EST on the 8th. The river crested at 11.0 feet at 9 am EST on the 8th, then fell back below flood stage at 730 pm EST on the 8th.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Michigan in 2005Every state in 2005This day in weather historyWarnings in Michigan, March 2005
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5441746.