Michigan, 2005

Flood in Michigan, January 13 to 15, 2005

January 13 to 15, 2005 · NWS DTX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 13, 4:18 PM EST, 42 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 13, 4:18 PM EST, 42 minutes before
.SHORT TERM...

COLD AIR FILTERING INTO THE AREA THIS EVENING WITH RAIN SNOW LINE
FROM JACKSON TO PONTIAC TO SANDUSKY. THIS LINE WILL PROGRESS
SOUTHEAST WITH RAIN SWITCHING TO SNOW IN DETROIT AROUND 6PM. UPPER
LEVEL WAVE PUSHING NORTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN ILLINOIS WITH
SEVERAL LOCATIONS THIS AFTERNOON REPORTING MODERATE SNOW WITH VISBYS
DOWN AROUND A HALF MILE. THIS BETTER SNOW IS OCCURRING ALONG AN AREA
OF GOOD MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS THAT WILL WEAKEN AS IT WORKS
NORTHEAST INTO OUR AREA. SNOW WILL TAKE A WHILE TO START
ACCUMULATING THIS EVENING AS GROUND TEMPS ROSE TO AROUND 38 DEGREES
TODAY. IT WILL LIKELY TAKE 1-2 HOURS AFTER THE CHANGE TO SNOW BEFORE
ACCUMULATIONS START ON THE GRASSY AND COLD SURFACES. DESPITE
THIS...BUFKIT TIME HEIGHTS SHOWING GOOD OMEGA EXTENDING INTO THE
REGION OF GOOD SNOW GROWTH BELOW -14C. WITH THAT IN MIND EXPECT SNOW
TO CONTINUE LONG ENOUGH INTO THE EVENING FOR ACCUMULATIONS WITH
HIGHER AMOUNTS FROM I-94 NORTH TO THE TRI-CITIES AREA. THIS MAY MAKE
FOR A SLICK COMMUTE FOR AREAS NORTH OF LIVINGSTON AND OAKLAND
COUNTIES.

WITH PRECIPITATION SWITCHING OVER TO SNOW HAVE DROPPED FLOOD WATCH
BUT WILL CONTINUE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM ADVISORY ACROSS
SOUTHEASTERN CWA IN AREAS THAT MELTED THE MOST SNOW LAST NIGHT.
ADDITIONAL QPF WILL BE BETWEEN .20 TO .40(FURTHER SOUTHEAST) IN MOST
AREAS THIS EVENING.

DRY AIR USHERS IN QUICKLY BEHIND THIS SYSTEM OVERNIGHT. EXPECT CLOUD
COVER TO BE STARTING TO BREAK UP BY SUNRISE ALLOWING TEMPS TO DROP
DOWN INTO THE LOWER TEENS. 850MB TEMPS WILL BE DOWN TO AROUND -20C
OVER LAKE HURON SO WILL BE ABLE TO GENERATE SOME LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS
ON FRIDAY. LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BE ALMOST WESTERLY THOUGH SO THIS
SNOW WILL FALL OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO. WE WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR
BANDS OFF OF LAKE MICHIGAN BRINGING SOME CLOUDS AND FLURRIES TO
SOUTHEASTERN MICHIGAN.

&&

.LONG TERM...  (FRIDAY NIGHT THRU THURSDAY)
MODELS INDICATE 500 MB HEIGHTS TO SLOWLY FALL THOUGH
SUNDAY...HELPING TO DRIVE BAROCLINIC ZONE FURTHER INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY. SEVERAL UPPER WAVES ROTATING THROUGH THE DEEP TROF OVER THE
GREAT LAKES THROUGH SUNDAY...HOWEVER THEY SHEAR OUT OVER THE
NORTHERN GREAT LAKES. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE SUNDAY NIGHT...AS VORT
SHEAR AXIS FINALLY DROPS A LITTLE FURTHER SOUTH.

WILL CONTINUE WITH MENTION OF JUST FLURRIES FOR FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY ACROSS MAINLY THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE CWA...IN AREA OF
WEAK BUT PERSISTENT 850 MB FRONTOGENESIS AND RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF
300 MB JET. BAROCLINIC ZONE FURTHER SOUTH WITH THIS MODEL RUN AND
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AS WELL. EXTREMELY COLD AIR OVER LAKE
MICHIGAN...BUT INVERSION HEIGHTS BELOW 3K FEET AND PERSISTENT
WESTERLY FLOW...SO NOT MUCH CONTRIBUTION FROM THE LAKES. LACK OF LES
AND LAKE CLOUDS OVER SOUTHEAST LOWER...SO WILL DROP TEMPERATURES 3-5
DEGREES BELOW GUIDANCE FOR BOTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH THE GFS A LITTLE MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH
CLIPPER SYSTEM TRACKING ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES ON TUESDAY.
GFS CONTINUES TO BE THE MOST UNSTABLE OF THE MEDIUM RANGE
MODELS...FLIP FLOPPING FROM A MORE ZONAL TO A MORE AMPLIFIED PATTERN
WITH THE 00Z CYCLE...SO WILL LEAN TOWARD SLIGHTLY WARMER
EUROPEAN/CANADIAN GEM SOLUTIONS. HOWEVER ALL MODELS SHOW A TEMPORARY
END TO SPLIT FLOW AND DRIVE THE SUBTROPICAL JET SOUTH TO THE GULF
COAST WITH THE GREAT LAKES REMAINING IN THE POLAR BRANCH THROUGH THE
EXTENDED PERIOD...LOOKS LIKE A COLD WEEK AHEAD OF US.

&&

.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

.MI...NONE.
.LAKE HURON...GALE WARNING...NORTH HALF OF LAKE HURON...TONIGHT.
.LAKE ST CLAIR...NONE.
.MI WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...NONE.

&&

KEK/GSS
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 13, 4:30 PM EST, 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
430 PM EST THU JAN 13 2005

MIZ069>070-075>076-082>083-141030-
LENAWEE MI-MACOMB MI-MONROE MI-OAKLAND MI-WASHTENAW MI-WAYNE
MI-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ADRIAN...ANN ARBOR...DETOIT...
MONROE...MOUNT CLEMANS AND PONTIAC
430 PM EST THU JAN 13 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR FAR SOUTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

AN URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM.
PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD STATEMENT
FOR DETAILS.

SNOW WILL TAPER OFF TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS BETWEEN 8 AND 10 PM.
ACCUMULATIONS THIS EVENING WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH THE
LESSER AMOUNTS FROM DETROIT SOUTHWARD.

AS ARCTIC AIR POURS INTO THE REGION TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BACK
BELOW THE FREEZING MARK EARLY THIS EVENING. UP TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW
IS POSSIBLE...MAINLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND
OVERPASSES. ALSO WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING BELOW THE FREEZING MARK
EARLY THIS EVENING...STANDING WATER WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
QUICKLY FREEZE.

.DAY TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ARCTIC AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH FRIDAY.
FRIDAY NIGHT...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BACK INTO LOWER SINGLE DIGITS
AND WIND SPEEDS WILL BE AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS WILL CAUSE WIND
CHILL READINGS TO APPROACH 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT PLANNED AT THIS TIME...BUT SPOTTERS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR FLOODING OBSERVED IN
THE AREA.

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068-141030-
BAY MI-GENESEE MI-HURON MI-LAPEER MI-LIVINGSTON MI-MIDLAND MI-
SAGINAW MI-SANILAC MI-SHIAWASSEE MI-ST. CLAIR MI-TUSCOLA MI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE...BAY CITY...CARO...FLINT...
HOWELL...LAPEER...MIDLAND...OWOSSO...PORT HURON...SAGINAW AND
SANDUSKY
430 PM EST THU JAN 13 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SNOW WILL TAPER OFF TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS BETWEEN 7 AND 8 PM.
ACCUMULATIONS THIS EVENING WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH THE
LESSER AMOUNTS FROM DETROIT SOUTHWARD.

AS ARCTIC AIR POURS INTO THE REGION TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BACK
BELOW THE FREEZING MARK EARLY THIS EVENING. UP TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW
IS POSSIBLE...MAINLY ON ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND
OVERPASSES. ALSO WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING BELOW THE FREEZING MARK
EARLY THIS EVENING...STANDING WATER WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
QUICKLY FREEZE.

.DAY TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ARCTIC AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH FRIDAY.
FRIDAY NIGHT...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BACK INTO LOWER SINGLE DIGITS
AND WIND SPEEDS WILL BE AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS WILL CAUSE WIND
CHILL READINGS TO APPROACH 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW ZERO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT PLANNED AT THIS TIME...BUT SPOTTERS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR FLOODING OBSERVED IN
THE AREA.

LCZ422-423-460-LEZ444-LHZ421-422-441>443-462>464-141030-
SAGINAW BAY-SOUTHERN LAKE HURON-LAKE HURON NEARSHORE FROM PORT
AUSTIN TO PORT HURON-ST CLAIR RIVER-LAKE ST CLAIR-DETROIT
RIVER-MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE-
430 PM EST THU JAN 13 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SAGINAW BAY...SOUTHERN LAKE
HURON...THE ST CLAIR RIVER...LAKE ST CLAIR...THE DETROIT RIVER...AND
THE MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN LAKE HURON TONIGHT.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE SAGINAW BAY...THE
NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKES HURON AND ERIE...AND FOR LAKE SAINT CLAIR
THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAY TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/DTX  (ALL LOWER CASE)

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Wayne

When
January 13, 5:00 PM EST to January 15, 10:00 PM EST
Where
Wayne forecast zone
Reported by
AWOS,ASOS,MESONET,ETC
Coordinates
42.285, -83.261 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Lower Rouge River at Inkster went above its 10 foot flood stage at 5 pm EST on the 13th. The river crested at 11.05 feet at 915 am EST on the 14th, then fell back below flood stage at 10 pm EST on the 15th.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Michigan in 2005Every state in 2005This day in weather historyWarnings in Michigan, January 2005

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5436511.